Adrián Lunar

C DSL Royals Ventura

Age 18 L/R ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	145	.336/.421/.369	0	6	63	—	.244/.314/.268
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBKC	255	.236/.297/.297	1	4	70	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBKC	72	.237/.301/.306	1	1	75	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBKC	167	.240/.305/.318	2	3	80	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%99

Whiff%98

Z-Con%98

wOBA59

wRC+50

Speed32

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsHector Osorio (age 18) · Meibrys Viloria (age 18) · Moisés Ballesteros (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 121 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .294 / .294

PA121

HR1

K%19

BB%7

ISO61

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$40M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.4M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$11M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	145	122	41	4	0	0	16	8	2	6	1	336	421	369	790	33	347	6	11	353	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	145	127	31	3	0	0	11	10	2	6	1	244	314	268	582	24	244	7	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	145	127	31	3	0	0	11	10	2	6	1	244	314	268	582	24	256	7	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	145	122	41	4	0	0	16	8	2	6	1	336	421	369	790	33	347	6	11	353	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	145	131	31	3	0	0	11	10	2	6	1	237	314	260	574	23	244	7	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	145	131	31	3	0	0	11	10	2	6	1	237	314	260	574	23	244	7	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	KC	0%	255	233	54	7	1	1	18	48	2	4	1	236	297	297	593	61	288	19	7	271	70	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	KC	34%	210	191	46	6	1	2	15	40	2	4	1	239	302	310	612	71	290	19	7	279	75	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2029	20	MLB MLE	KC	48%	345	313	76	10	2	4	25	65	4	6	2	242	307	322	628	80	292	19	7	286	80	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.6
2030	21	MLB MLE	KC	54%	447	405	98	13	2	6	33	84	6	8	3	244	310	332	642	88	293	19	7	291	83	-9	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2031	22	MLB MLE	KC	57%	519	468	116	16	3	8	39	98	7	10	3	246	312	341	654	95	294	19	8	296	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2032	23	MLB MLE	KC	58%	520	469	117	16	3	9	39	99	7	10	3	248	314	349	663	101	294	19	8	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	KC	57%	520	469	117	16	3	9	39	99	7	10	3	249	316	353	669	104	295	19	8	302	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	KC	57%	520	469	117	16	3	9	39	99	7	10	3	250	316	355	672	106	295	19	8	303	91	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2035	26	MLB MLE	KC	57%	520	469	118	16	3	10	39	99	7	10	4	250	316	357	673	107	295	19	8	303	92	-5	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2036	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	520	470	117	16	3	9	39	100	6	9	4	249	315	354	670	106	295	19	8	302	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2037	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	520	470	117	16	3	9	39	101	6	9	4	247	313	350	663	103	294	19	8	299	89	-7	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.3
2038	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	520	470	115	16	2	9	39	102	6	9	4	244	310	343	653	99	292	20	8	295	86	-9	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2039	30	MLB MLE	KC	53%	520	470	113	15	2	8	39	104	6	9	5	241	307	335	642	94	291	20	8	291	83	-11	-0	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2040	31	MLB MLE	KC	52%	504	456	108	14	2	7	37	103	6	8	7	237	302	325	627	88	288	20	7	284	79	-13	-1	-3	+9	+11	0.3
2041	32	MLB MLE	KC	52%	489	446	102	13	2	6	35	102	5	7	10	232	295	313	608	81	284	21	7	277	74	-15	-3	-4	+9	+11	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	KC	34%	72	66	16	2	0	1	5	14	1	1	0	237	301	306	607	69	288	19	7	277	75	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	KC	48%	167	151	37	5	1	2	12	31	2	3	1	240	305	318	622	78	290	19	7	283	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	21	MLB CTX	KC	54%	242	219	53	7	1	3	18	46	3	5	2	242	308	327	635	85	291	19	7	289	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	22	MLB CTX	KC	57%	294	266	65	9	2	4	22	56	4	5	2	244	310	336	646	92	292	19	7	293	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	23	MLB CTX	KC	58%	299	271	67	9	2	5	22	57	4	6	2	245	312	343	655	98	292	19	7	296	89	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2033	24	MLB CTX	KC	57%	296	268	66	9	2	5	22	56	4	5	2	247	313	347	660	100	293	19	7	298	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2034	25	MLB CTX	KC	57%	295	267	66	9	2	5	22	56	4	5	2	247	314	349	663	102	293	19	7	299	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2035	26	MLB CTX	KC	57%	294	266	66	9	2	5	22	56	4	5	2	247	314	350	664	103	293	19	7	300	92	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2036	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	289	261	65	9	2	5	22	55	4	5	2	246	313	348	661	102	293	19	8	298	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2037	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	286	259	63	9	1	5	22	55	3	5	2	244	311	343	654	99	292	19	8	296	89	-4	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2038	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	278	252	60	8	1	4	21	55	3	5	2	242	308	337	645	95	290	20	8	292	86	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.6
2039	30	MLB CTX	KC	53%	274	249	59	8	1	4	20	55	3	4	3	239	304	329	634	91	288	20	7	287	83	-6	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2040	31	MLB CTX	KC	52%	263	239	57	8	1	4	19	54	3	4	3	234	299	320	619	85	286	21	7	281	79	-7	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2041	32	MLB CTX	KC	52%	254	231	53	7	1	3	18	53	3	4	5	229	293	308	601	78	282	21	7	274	74	-8	-1	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3603	3265	793	108	19	55	267	699	45	62	30	243	309	338	647	95	292	19	7	292	85	-61	+0	-6	+64	+78	7.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	142	19	3	10	48	126	8	11	5	241	307	334	641	93	290	19	7	292	85	-11	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6940	6273	1534	205	35	106	515	1328	85	127	57	245	310	339	650	95	293	19	7	293	85	-120	+2	-10	+121	+147	14.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	143	19	3	10	48	124	8	12	5	243	309	337	646	94	290	19	7	293	85	-12	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.6	3,724	58	66	246	308	341	+66	+32	10.5	8.8
/162	664	10	12	+11.9	+5.7	1.9	pk7: 7
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Ed Ott'74-'81 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,961 PA	3.0	1,961	33	14	254*	309*	395*	+34	+1	6.3	6.3
/162	664	11	5	+11.5	+0.3	2.1	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrián Lunar (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	234/294/294	60	288	1	2	19%	7%	70	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	43→48	38→45	46→40	50	204/277/287	83	255	5	5	21%	9%	62	-1.4	233/285/320	87	295	6	3	22%	6%	72	-0.7	246/292/359	114	319	10	2	25%	5%	80	-0.1
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	43→53	38→50	50→40	55	201/288/280	79	244	5	8	19%	10%	65	-1.2	227/293/354	127	281	14	4	23%	8%	84	+0.1	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	44→46	37→40	50→60	55	207/289/284	77	258	3	13	20%	10%	66	-1.1	207/297/275	68	283	3	18	25%	11%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	45→55	36→45	50→45	54	206/294/278	71	267	2	9	22%	10%	67	-1.1	203/252/261	58	256	2	6	21%	5%	46	-2.6	279/319/373	94	320	8	6	15%	4%	96	+0.8
✕Juan Centeno 2008 · A	18	41	37→45	49→40	43	197/253/266	68	259	4	6	25%	6%	48	-2.5	199/258/259	60	256	3	6	22%	6%	48	-2.5	279/317/335	56	337	1	3	17%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	39	37→55	49→40	48	186/260/257	71	244	4	5	25%	8%	49	-2.4	197/286/284	87	296	6	4	32%	10%	65	-1.2	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Roynier Hernandez 2023 · A	18	41→51	34→40	46→50	55	191/273/241	51	235	1	8	18%	10%	51	-2.3	223/295/275	52	280	1	9	19%	9%	65	-1.2	252/319/319	67	324	3	6	21%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Samuel Zavala 2022 · A	18	42→44	38→45	48→50	50	199/273/290	91	249	4	11	21%	8%	61	-1.5	196/285/316	120	290	11	11	33%	10%	72	-0.7	193/290/301	108	265	12	12	29%	11%	68	-0.8
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	45→46	37→55	49→50	47	212/272/292	80	272	4	8	22%	7%	61	-1.5	214/265/314	100	290	7	9	27%	6%	63	-1.4	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Dario Laverde 2023 · A	18	44→34	36→40	52→30	50	203/277/273	70	242	2	11	16%	7%	59	-1.7	212/279/291	79	295	3	6	27%	7%	63	-1.3	201/265/276	74	289	4	2	30%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Nolan Beltran 2023 · A	18	42→49	34→40	45	57	191/281/246	55	225	2	7	15%	10%	55	-1.9	191/264/265	74	240	5	6	21%	8%	52	-2.2	203/286/287	84	248	7	4	20%	9%	63	-0.5
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	45→50	38→50	46→50	42	213/268/289	76	296	6	6	29%	6%	58	-1.7	211/263/305	94	290	8	8	28%	6%	60	-1.6	238/300/387	148	320	15	11	29%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	47	199/261/264	65	252	4	6	22%	7%	50	-2.3	222/286/323	101	271	7	5	20%	8%	74	-0.6	252/305/320	67	286	2	0	12%	6%	75	-0.1
✕Jason Martin 2014 · A	18	45→52	36→60	49→50	49	208/274/278	70	270	2	11	22%	8%	58	-1.7	218/278/323	105	286	7	11	25%	8%	70	-0.8	226/292/414	187	279	24	8	28%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Abrahan Ramirez 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→55	47	215/290/297	83	299	3	10	27%	8%	69	-0.9	222/312/294	72	300	3	13	24%	11%	77	-0.3	217/314/281	64	302	1	14	25%	12%	73	-0.3

Adrián Lunar

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps