Gabriel Rosario

OF DSL Orioles Orange

Age 18 L/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Orioles O…	191	.250/.426/.444	6	1	56	—	.148/.298/.245
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	301	.216/.301/.313	4	2	77	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	84	.221/.306/.326	1	0	82	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	181	.224/.311/.337	3	1	86	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%84

ISO82

wOBA76

wRC+73

BB%73

K%62

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsHector Osorio (age 18) · Ronny Ugarte (age 18) · Tirso Ornelas (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 161 proj PA

wRC+77

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .299 / .310

PA161

HR2

K%25

BB%9

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	191	144	36	10	0	6	36	36	8	1	1	250	426	444	870	194	288	19	19	390	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	191	155	23	6	0	3	25	44	8	1	1	148	298	245	543	97	174	23	13	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	191	155	23	6	0	3	25	44	8	1	1	148	298	245	543	97	182	23	13	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	191	144	36	10	0	6	36	36	8	1	1	250	426	444	870	194	288	19	19	390	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	191	156	23	6	0	3	25	44	8	1	1	147	298	244	541	96	174	23	13	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	191	156	23	6	0	3	25	44	8	1	1	147	298	244	541	96	174	23	13	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	301	266	58	11	2	4	27	77	5	2	1	216	301	313	614	97	286	26	9	281	77	-8	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	245	217	47	9	1	4	22	62	4	1	1	221	306	326	632	105	289	25	9	289	82	-5	-0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	373	329	73	14	2	6	34	93	7	2	1	224	311	337	648	113	290	25	9	295	86	-6	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	468	413	94	18	3	9	43	115	9	2	2	227	314	347	661	120	291	25	9	300	89	-6	-0	+0	-3	+10	0.1
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	536	472	109	21	3	11	49	131	10	3	2	230	316	355	671	125	292	24	9	304	92	-5	-0	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	581	512	119	23	3	12	53	141	11	3	2	232	317	362	680	130	293	24	9	307	94	-4	-0	+0	-3	+13	0.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	611	539	126	24	4	13	56	148	11	3	2	234	319	366	684	132	294	24	9	309	95	-4	-0	+0	-4	+13	0.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	625	552	130	25	4	14	57	151	11	3	2	234	319	368	687	134	294	24	9	310	96	-3	-0	+0	-4	+14	0.7
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	633	559	131	25	4	14	58	153	11	3	2	234	319	369	689	135	294	24	9	310	96	-3	-0	+0	-4	+14	0.7
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	633	559	131	25	4	14	58	154	11	3	3	233	318	367	685	133	293	24	9	309	95	-4	-1	+0	-4	+14	0.6
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	59%	629	555	129	25	3	14	58	154	11	3	5	231	316	362	678	131	292	24	9	306	93	-5	-1	-1	-4	+14	0.3
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	61%	619	546	125	24	3	13	57	154	11	2	14	229	313	355	668	127	291	25	9	302	91	-7	-5	-1	-4	+13	-0.4
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	62%	609	539	121	23	3	12	55	153	10	2	42	225	309	347	657	122	289	25	9	297	87	-9	-16	-2	-4	+13	-1.8
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	84	74	15	3	0	1	8	21	2	0	0	221	306	326	632	105	289	25	10	289	82	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	181	159	36	7	1	3	17	45	3	1	1	224	311	337	648	113	290	25	9	295	86	-3	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	254	224	51	10	1	5	23	63	5	1	1	227	314	347	661	120	291	25	9	300	89	-3	-0	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	303	266	62	12	2	6	28	74	6	2	1	230	316	355	671	125	292	24	9	304	92	-3	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	335	295	68	13	2	7	31	81	6	2	1	232	317	362	680	130	293	24	9	307	94	-2	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.3
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	348	307	72	14	2	8	32	84	6	2	1	234	319	366	684	132	294	24	9	309	95	-2	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	354	312	73	14	2	8	33	86	6	2	1	234	319	368	687	134	294	24	9	310	96	-2	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	358	316	74	14	2	8	33	87	6	2	1	234	319	369	689	135	294	24	9	310	96	-2	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	351	310	73	14	2	8	32	85	6	2	2	233	318	367	685	133	293	24	9	309	95	-2	-0	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	59%	372	328	76	15	2	8	34	91	7	1	3	231	316	362	678	131	292	24	9	306	93	-3	-1	-0	-2	+8	0.1
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	61%	377	333	77	15	2	8	35	94	6	1	8	229	313	355	668	127	291	25	9	302	91	-4	-3	-1	-2	+8	-0.2
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	62%	379	336	76	14	2	8	34	95	6	1	26	225	309	347	657	122	289	25	9	297	87	-6	-10	-1	-2	+8	-1.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3696	3260	753	145	20	78	340	906	65	17	46	231	316	360	675	129	294	25	9	305	91	-34	-15	-3	-22	+80	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	134	26	4	14	60	159	11	3	8	234	318	366	685	133	297	24	9	305	91	-6	-3	-0	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6914	6089	1389	268	38	141	640	1694	128	32	79	228	315	354	669	126	291	25	9	302	91	-67	-25	-4	-40	+146	1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	131	25	4	13	60	159	12	3	7	229	315	355	670	126	293	24	9	302	91	-6	-2	-0	-4	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Robert Fick'98-'07 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,658 PA	4.0	2,658	69	6	249*	318*	393*	-24	-10	3.9	5.0
/162	664	17	1	-6.0	-2.4	1.0	pk7: 6
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.8	3,858	79	18	231	312	358	-23	+0	3.1	3.4
/162	664	14	3	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 4
#3Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#4Dan Johnson'05-'15 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,625 PA	2.4	1,625	57	1	226*	330*	401*	-30	-3	2.2	2.8
/162	664	23	0	-12.2	-1.2	0.9	pk7: 3
#5Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Preston Ward'48-'59 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,346 PA	3.5	2,346	50	7	244*	314*	385*	-32	-0	0.5	1.1
/162	664	14	2	-8.9	-0.1	0.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Rosario (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	214/299/310	96	286	2	1	25%	9%	77	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	39	41→45	47→30	46	193/268/298	105	252	7	6	26%	8%	61	-1.5	208/273/298	90	262	5	5	21%	7%	63	-1.4	229/293/323	94	294	8	2	24%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Tirso Ornelas 2019 · A	19	44→54	41→50	50→45	45	214/282/314	100	297	8	5	30%	8%	70	-0.9	195/261/274	79	285	5	5	31%	8%	53	-2.1	262/321/391	130	320	13	7	22%	7%	99	+1.1
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	45→50	38→50	46→50	42	213/268/289	76	296	6	6	29%	6%	58	-1.7	211/263/305	94	290	8	8	28%	6%	60	-1.6	238/300/387	148	320	15	11	29%	7%	91	+0.5
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2022 · A	18	40→44	41→60	48→30	43	194/269/292	98	274	9	7	31%	7%	61	-1.5	193/270/310	117	291	12	5	35%	8%	65	-1.2	207/300/402	195	286	26	2	35%	10%	96	+0.8
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Kelvin Alcantara 2024 · A	18	43	36→50	44→40	56	202/293/272	70	258	3	5	21%	11%	65	-1.2	208/281/309	101	286	9	4	28%	8%	69	-0.9	203/276/316	112	270	13	2	28%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→51	43→55	48→45	42	203/262/304	101	271	11	4	29%	6%	61	-1.5	241/298/398	157	309	18	7	27%	7%	95	+1.0	240/301/413	173	300	21	6	27%	7%	98	+0.9
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	45→46	37→55	49→50	47	212/272/292	80	272	4	8	22%	7%	61	-1.5	214/265/314	100	290	7	9	27%	6%	63	-1.4	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
●Jon Singleton 2010 · A	18	46→54	41→50	49→45	51	221/288/321	101	265	7	5	19%	8%	74	-0.6	248/319/391	143	325	15	5	26%	9%	101	+1.4	248/324/396	147	332	17	5	28%	9%	104	+1.4
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	45→51	39→50	44→50	49	210/310/300	90	269	6	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	217/319/344	127	291	11	8	27%	9%	93	+0.8	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Anthony Huezo 2024 · A	18	43→36	39→55	50→60	46	203/278/285	82	291	6	7	30%	9%	62	-1.4	177/252/293	116	322	12	17	45%	7%	55	-1.9	169/246/315	146	284	17	26	44%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Hendry Mendez 2023 · A	19	48→57	38→45	42→45	53	224/303/299	75	281	5	6	21%	10%	75	-0.5	238/304/328	90	293	7	5	20%	8%	81	-0.1	262/336/372	110	313	10	6	18%	9%	101	+1.0
✕Cam Collier 2024 · A	19	46→44	40→45	47→40	46	215/292/308	93	309	8	5	31%	9%	72	-0.7	214/289/325	111	309	11	3	32%	9%	76	-0.4	204/279/320	116	291	12	1	32%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Max Clark 2024 · A	19	44→53	42→45	51→55	48	207/292/314	106	308	9	11	33%	10%	74	-0.5	238/314/357	119	306	11	17	24%	9%	92	+0.7	245/323/369	124	304	11	19	22%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	49	220/298/335	114	290	7	10	25%	9%	80	-0.1	201/274/317	116	305	8	13	34%	9%	68	-1.0	238/319/386	148	309	15	24	26%	11%	100	+0.9
✕Héctor Rodríguez 2022 · A	18	43→52	39→50	43→50	47	207/265/299	91	246	6	9	19%	6%	60	-1.6	235/273/360	125	283	10	13	20%	4%	76	-0.4	243/284/388	145	281	17	9	20%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Lewin Díaz 2015 · A	18	40→46	41→60	47→30	53	193/277/291	98	230	7	4	19%	9%	64	-1.3	204/257/321	117	263	11	3	26%	6%	62	-1.4	206/256/398	192	235	26	1	25%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42→45	41→50	46→45	44	206/261/296	90	269	9	9	26%	7%	57	-1.8	207/257/302	95	281	7	7	27%	6%	57	-1.8	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	43→51	39→45	47→45	49	205/283/297	92	259	5	4	22%	8%	67	-1.1	204/276/286	82	286	4	4	28%	7%	61	-1.5	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1

Gabriel Rosario

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps