Ronny Ugarte

1B ACL Rockies
Age 22 L/R 6'3" / 205 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202318ROKDSL Colorado186.335/.411/.4883261—.213/.281/.290
202520ROKCOL238.335/.419/.4854158—.208/.275/.287
202621A/ROKCOL365.329/.418/.48910289—.255/.319/.373
2027PROJMLE22MLBCOL475.225/.289/.3318676-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBCOL103.239/.304/.3662179-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
K%73
wOBA62
wRC+60
BB%52
Whiff%52
Chase%49
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.2, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 94%
CompsDominic D'Anna (age 23) · Austin Gallagher (age 22) · Joe White (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†76
AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .287 / .328
PA210
HR3
K%25
BB%8
ISO107
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.4-0.22728
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT55
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL Colorado — 190161 441807 21386 31 273378516893 242314 2011 389 47 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Colorado — 186164 551603 19282 20 335411488899 152388 1510 398 61 — — — — — —
202520 ROKDSL Rockies — 238206 691904 28392 11 335419485905 150394 1612 401 58 — — — — — —
202621 AFresno Grizzlies — 121104 32302 15240 01 308395394789 87375 2012 355 90 — — — — — —
202621 ROKACL Rockies — 244209 711518 31522 20 340430536966 196417 2113 423 89 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 190167 271103 15466 31 162255281537 120199 248 238 47 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 186169 361001 14332 20 213281290571 77256 188 258 61 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 238216 451102 18462 11 208275287562 79250 198 254 58 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 121109 30302 10330 01 275336358694 83357 278 301 90 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 244221 541016 19752 20 244310380690 136335 318 300 89 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 190167 271103 15466 31 162255281537 120200 248 238 47 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL Colorado — 190161 441807 21386 31 273378516893 242314 2011 389 47 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 186169 361001 14332 20 213281290571 77257 188 258 61 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWDSL Colorado — 186164 551603 19282 20 335411488899 152388 1510 398 61 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 238216 451102 18462 11 208275287562 79253 198 254 58 — — — — — —
202520 ROK RAWDSL Rockies — 238206 691904 28392 11 335419485905 150394 1612 401 58 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLE2 teams — 365330 841317 291082 21 255319364682 109352 308 300 89 — — — — — —
202621 ROK RAW2 teams — 365313 10318110 46762 21 329418489907 160403 2113 400 89 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 190167 271103 15466 31 162255281537 120199 248 238 47 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 186168 361001 14332 20 214281292573 77256 188 258 61 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 238216 451102 18462 11 208275287562 79250 198 254 58 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLE2 teams — 365331 841317 291082 21 254319363681 109342 308 300 89 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202520 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 238216 451102 18462 11 208275287562 79250 198 254 58 — — — — — —
202621 ROK MLE2 teams — 365331 841317 291082 21 254319363681 109342 308 300 89 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLECOL 0% 475432 971828 361194 62 225289331621 107289 258 280 76 -14 +0 +0 -8 +10 -0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLECOL 34% 300272 621116 23742 41 228293341634 113290 258 286 79 -7 +0 +0 -5 +6 -0.6
202823 MLB CTXCOL 34% 10393 22412 8261 10 239304366670 127304 258 300 79 -3 +0 +0 -2 +2 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 10393 22412 8261 10 237304366670 129303 258 300 71 -3 +0 +0 -2 +2 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 13925613 501646 60 237303366669 129303 258 300 71 -16 +1 +0 -12 +14 -1.2
Career— MLE — 14891344 29664322 11536016 155 220289321611 101281 248 274 71 -13 +1 +0 -9 +11 -1.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650587 12928110 501577 72 220289322611 102280 248 274 71 -17 +1 +0 -12 +14 -1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Rockies · 244 PAwOBA .415 → .300 (−115)K% 21.3% → 30.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.31%÷1.000×1.440——30.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.70%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9757.68%
HBP% /PA0.82%—×0.720—×0.9750.58%
Singles /BIP29.94%÷1.000×0.820×1.050×0.97525.13%
Doubles /BIP9.55%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×0.9757.04%
Triples /BIP0.64%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×0.9750.47%
Home runs /BIP5.10%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9753.88%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .415 → .300; ISO .196 → .140; BABIP .417 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AFresno Grizzlies · 121 PAwOBA .352 → .301 (−51)K% 19.8% → 27.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.83%÷1.000×1.360——26.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.40%÷1.000×0.690——8.55%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP33.75%÷1.000×0.920×1.050—32.60%
Doubles /BIP3.75%÷1.000×0.830×1.050—3.27%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.050—0.00%
Home runs /BIP2.50%÷1.000×0.800——2.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .352 → .301; ISO .087 → .070; BABIP .375 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rockies · 238 PAwOBA .392 → .254 (−138)K% 16.4% → 19.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.39%÷1.026×1.220——19.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.34%÷1.007×0.700—×0.9757.69%
HBP% /PA0.84%—×0.700—×0.9750.57%
Singles /BIP27.54%÷1.026×0.680×1.050×0.97518.69%
Doubles /BIP11.38%÷1.107×0.600×1.050×0.9756.31%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×1.050×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP2.40%÷0.864×0.470—×0.9751.27%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 105, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 105, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 18.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .392 → .254; ISO .150 → .085; BABIP .394 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Colorado · 186 PAwOBA .390 → .258 (−132)K% 15.1% → 17.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.05%÷1.030×1.220——17.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.22%÷0.967×0.700—×0.9957.36%
HBP% /PA1.08%—×0.700—×0.9950.75%
Singles /BIP26.47%÷1.049×0.680×1.050×0.99517.92%
Doubles /BIP11.76%÷0.968×0.600×1.050×0.9957.62%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×1.050×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP2.21%÷1.146×0.470—×0.9950.90%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 110, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .390 → .258; ISO .152 → .087; BABIP .388 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Colorado · 190 PAwOBA .383 → .238 (−145)K% 20.0% → 24.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷1.002×1.220——24.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.05%÷0.967×0.700—×1.0088.06%
HBP% /PA3.16%—×0.700—×1.0082.23%
Singles /BIP15.45%÷1.048×0.680×1.047×1.00810.57%
Doubles /BIP14.63%÷1.007×0.600×1.047×1.0089.20%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.939×0.600×1.047×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP5.69%÷1.271×0.470—×1.0082.12%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 110, 2B 101, 3B 88, K 100, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.

Result: wOBA .383 → .238; ISO .242 → .120; BABIP .314 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).