Ronny Ugarte — OGILVIE

Ronny Ugarte1B ACL Rockies

Age 21 L/R 6'3" / 205 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION220 act + 146 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .302 / .367

PA146

HR3

K%28

BB%8

BABIP320

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	190	168	30	13	0	3	14	55	6	3	1	179	266	310	575	131	241	29	7	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	190	161	44	18	0	7	21	38	6	3	1	273	378	516	893	242	314	20	11	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	186	170	43	13	0	2	13	38	2	2	0	253	314	365	678	112	313	20	7	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	186	164	55	16	0	3	19	28	2	2	0	335	411	488	899	152	388	15	10	398	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	238	218	54	12	0	4	16	54	2	1	1	248	305	358	663	110	309	23	7	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	238	206	69	19	0	4	28	39	2	1	1	335	419	485	905	150	394	16	12	401	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	ROK	COL	—	220	198	51	9	1	6	18	69	2	2	0	258	326	404	730	146	360	31	8	316	100	+0	+0	+0	-4	+6	0.3
YTD	21	ROK	COL	—	220	187	65	13	1	8	29	48	2	2	0	348	440	556	997	209	429	22	13	434	191	+23	+0	+0	-4	+6	2.6
ROS	21	ROK	COL	0%	146	133	32	6	1	3	11	41	1	2	0	239	302	367	669	127	313	28	8	295	84	-3	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.1
ROS	21	MLB	COL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		337	—	—	309	95	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	21	ROK	COL	—	220	199	51	9	1	6	18	69	2	2	0	256	326	402	728	146	357	31	8	316	100	+0	+0	+0	-4	+6	0.3
TOT	21	ROK	COL	—	366	331	83	15	2	9	29	110	3	4	0	250	316	389	705	139	343	30	8	308	94	-3	+1	+0	-7	+10	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	COL	34%	351	318	77	15	2	8	27	95	3	4	1	242	307	377	685	135	312	27	8	301	89	-5	+0	+0	-6	+10	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	COL	48%	424	384	93	18	2	10	33	112	4	5	1	242	309	378	686	135	311	26	8	306	92	-4	+1	+0	-8	+12	0.1
2029	24	MLB	COL	53%	472	428	104	20	2	12	37	123	4	6	2	243	309	383	692	140	311	26	8	309	94	-3	+0	+0	-8	+13	0.2
2030	25	MLB	COL	55%	495	448	109	21	2	13	39	128	5	6	2	243	311	386	697	143	310	26	8	310	96	-2	+0	+0	-9	+14	0.3
2031	26	MLB	COL	56%	508	458	112	22	2	13	40	131	5	6	2	245	312	386	699	142	310	26	8	311	96	-2	+0	+0	-9	+14	0.3
2032	27	MLB	COL	55%	511	460	112	22	2	13	41	133	5	7	2	243	312	385	697	141	310	26	8	311	96	-2	+1	+0	-9	+14	0.4
2027	22	MLB	COL	34%	121	110	29	6	1	3	9	33	1	1	0	264	325	418	743	155	336	27	7	316	100	+0	+0	+0	-2	+3	0.2
2028	23	MLB	COL	48%	205	185	49	10	1	6	16	54	2	2	1	265	330	427	757	162	335	26	8	321	104	+1	+0	+0	-4	+6	0.3
2029	24	MLB	COL	53%	249	226	59	12	1	7	19	65	2	3	1	261	324	416	740	155	335	26	8	325	107	+2	+0	+0	-4	+7	0.5
2030	25	MLB	COL	55%	271	245	64	13	1	8	21	70	3	3	1	261	327	420	748	159	335	26	8	326	108	+2	+0	+0	-5	+8	0.6
2031	26	MLB	COL	56%	283	256	66	13	1	8	22	73	3	4	1	258	324	410	734	152	334	26	8	327	108	+3	+0	+0	-5	+8	0.6
2032	27	MLB	COL	55%	281	253	66	13	1	8	23	73	3	4	1	261	330	415	745	154	334	26	8	326	108	+3	+0	+0	-5	+8	0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1410	1276	333	67	6	40	110	368	14	17	5	261	327	417	744	156	335	26	8	325	107	+10	+1	+0	-25	+40	2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	153	31	3	18	51	170	6	8	2	260	326	415	741	155	335	26	8	325	107	+5	+1	+0	-12	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	3521	3185	766	162	13	81	271	910	37	42	12	240	307	376	683	135	309	26	8	303	90	-40	+4	+0	-63	+100	0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	141	30	2	15	50	168	7	8	2	240	307	374	681	134	308	26	8	303	90	-7	+1	+0	-12	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	190	161	44	18	7	21	38	6	3	1	273	378	516	893	242	314	20	11	389	156	+12	+0	—	—	+5	1.8
2023	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	186	164	55	16	3	19	28	2	2	0	335	411	488	899	152	388	15	10	398	163	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.9
2025	20	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	238	206	69	19	4	28	39	2	1	1	335	419	485	905	150	394	16	12	401	165	+17	-0	—	—	+7	2.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#2Eric Karroslast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,197 PA	5	2,197	73	13	255	317	418	-19	-17	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	22	4	255	317	418	-5.7	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 4
#3Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	7	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	21	2	256	315	414	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4
#4Casey Kotchmanlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,391 PA	9	3,391	71	14	262	328	388	-61	-28	1.3	3.3
	/162	664	14	3	262	328	388	-11.9	-5.5	0.3	pk7: 5
#5Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	5	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	17	4	254	332	411	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,678	40	21	241	303	377	-30	-6	0.3	0.6
	/162	664	16	8	241	303	377	-11.9	-2.4	0.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ronny Ugarte (OGILVIE)	21	55	35	40	45	250/316/389	139	343	9	4	30%	8%	94	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Austin Gallagher 2010 · A	21	47→50	40→45	39→30	42	225/270/321	96	293	7	3	25%	6%	62	-0.9	234/291/352	118	298	12	2	24%	7%	79	+0.3	235/299/363	128	294	14	1	24%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Xavier Paul 2006 · A	21	45→55	43→45	39→55	40	214/275/328	114	319	10	4	34%	7%	66	-0.6	245/294/361	116	344	11	14	30%	6%	82	+0.5	265/315/384	119	354	10	18	27%	6%	94	+0.8
✕Michael Jones 2006 · A	21	47→57	40→45	44→30	43	226/284/322	96	289	7	5	24%	6%	69	-0.4	239/291/370	131	306	13	3	25%	6%	84	+0.6	254/300/374	120	313	12	2	22%	5%	86	+0.5
●Erik Komatsu 2010 · A	22	45→55	44→45	44→50	45	222/280/336	114	268	11	6	21%	6%	71	-0.3	256/319/364	108	299	8	15	16%	8%	94	+1.3	264/329/370	106	303	8	17	15%	8%	98	+1.1
✕Greg Garcia 2011 · A	21	46→54	40	44→50	43	222/277/317	96	274	7	8	22%	5%	65	-0.7	237/310/328	91	301	5	9	21%	8%	82	+0.5	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕Dario Unda 2017 · A	21	47	41→45	44→45	47	227/282/331	104	276	7	7	20%	7%	70	-0.3	221/273/336	115	290	10	7	26%	6%	67	-0.5	209/250/353	145	267	17	6	28%	5%	58	-0.3
●Bryan Byrne 2006 · A	22	44→54	40→45	42→40	47	210/283/302	92	287	6	5	28%	9%	63	-0.8	248/319/356	108	311	10	3	22%	9%	92	+1.2	262/335/375	112	320	11	2	20%	9%	102	+1.6
✕Herlis Rodriguez 2015 · A	21	50→52	39→45	39→50	41	237/275/321	85	306	6	7	24%	5%	63	-0.8	234/274/343	109	286	11	10	22%	4%	70	-0.3	226/269/337	111	277	12	10	22%	4%	64	-0.5
✕Noah Mendlinger 2022 · A	21	49→59	39→40	44→45	51	229/306/320	91	288	5	6	21%	9%	78	+0.2	243/331/320	77	296	4	8	18%	9%	89	+0.9	272/355/343	71	323	2	8	15%	8%	101	+1.3
✕Andrew Pullin 2015 · A	21	49	41→50	40	43	236/284/332	95	297	9	5	24%	6%	71	-0.3	236/275/357	121	292	12	3	23%	4%	74	-0.1	235/272/369	135	286	13	2	22%	4%	72	-0.2
✕Dominic Smith 2016 · A	21	50→52	37→50	42→40	43	237/278/314	77	299	4	4	21%	5%	63	-0.8	243/289/361	118	301	11	3	22%	6%	81	+0.4	266/332/451	185	318	22	2	23%	7%	120	+1.5
●Corban Joseph 2010 · A	21	51→57	40→50	47→45	48	242/298/342	99	295	5	6	19%	7%	79	+0.3	241/296/361	120	310	8	4	24%	7%	83	+0.6	270/320/411	142	296	13	3	13%	6%	105	+1.3
✕Kelly Dugan 2012 · A	21	49→52	39→50	47→40	43	231/288/320	89	304	5	10	25%	6%	69	-0.4	238/293/371	133	349	13	3	34%	5%	85	+0.7	250/312/362	112	329	10	2	26%	5%	89	+0.5
✕Raimel Tapia 2014 · A	20	52→62	39→45	46→55	43	248/288/340	93	295	6	11	18%	4%	74	-0.1	266/298/375	109	327	9	16	21%	4%	88	+0.9	280/306/404	124	335	9	19	19%	3%	96	+1.3
✕Nelson B Alvarez 2017 · A	21	44	40	43→40	48	211/286/302	91	281	6	3	26%	9%	65	-0.7	175/262/238	63	246	4	6	28%	10%	39	-2.5	105/215/128	23	151	2	6	28%	11%	-8	-1.4
✕Danry Vasquez 2015 · A	21	49→52	39→40	42→45	44	235/277/326	91	286	6	4	20%	5%	66	-0.6	236/278/322	86	287	5	9	19%	5%	65	-0.7	235/277/329	93	280	7	14	18%	5%	62	-0.4
✕John Drennen 2008 · A	21	45→55	43→50	42→45	43	220/278/329	109	283	11	6	26%	6%	69	-0.4	225/273/327	102	278	8	4	21%	5%	65	-0.7	246/296/375	130	293	10	1	19%	6%	85	+0.5
✕David Sutherland 2006 · A	21	53→49	39→40	49→40	50	250/307/338	88	288	6	5	15%	7%	82	+0.5	225/268/299	74	272	6	3	19%	5%	55	-1.4	220/258/283	63	263	6	1	18%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Brandon Wagner 2017 · A	21	42→49	46→45	42→30	44	211/277/341	130	286	14	5	30%	8%	71	-0.3	204/280/307	103	328	10	2	38%	8%	64	-0.8	184/268/280	95	308	10	1	40%	8%	50	-1.4
✕Adron Chambers 2008 · A	21	47→57	36→45	45→55	42	218/279/290	71	293	2	10	25%	6%	58	-1.2	224/290/312	88	301	3	13	25%	6%	69	-0.4	261/329/360	100	341	7	19	24%	7%	94	+1.0