Grant Lavigne — OGILVIE

Grant Lavigne1B Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 26 L/R 6'3" / 220 lbs AAA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .282 / .320

PA250

HR6

K%34

BB%9

ISO126

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 22 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT22

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	258	224	62	10	2	5	27	58	6	12	7	277	370	406	776	129	352	22	10	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	258	206	72	13	2	6	45	40	6	12	7	350	479	519	998	170	410	16	17	443	197	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	526	474	72	10	0	4	34	185	9	8	9	152	222	198	421	46	234	35	6	193	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	526	440	104	19	0	7	68	129	9	8	9	236	350	327	677	91	314	25	13	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	447	392	82	13	4	5	40	162	10	9	3	209	299	301	600	92	338	36	9	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	447	371	98	18	5	9	61	112	10	9	3	264	382	412	795	148	352	25	14	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	3 teams	—	595	536	112	20	4	8	50	209	4	5	5	209	281	306	587	97	322	35	8	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	3 teams	—	595	510	147	30	7	11	76	151	4	5	5	288	385	439	824	151	386	25	13	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	534	472	89	17	4	15	50	166	9	4	2	189	279	337	616	148	252	31	9	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	534	445	101	19	3	17	77	142	9	4	2	227	352	398	750	171	291	27	14	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	530	465	84	12	3	11	49	192	10	9	8	181	273	290	563	110	273	36	9	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	530	441	107	15	6	18	73	143	10	9	8	243	363	426	789	184	312	27	14	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	COL	—	250	221	44	7	2	6	23	86	4	3	2	199	286	330	617	131	287	34	9	277	70	-9	-0	+0	-4	+7	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	COL	31%	477	423	85	15	3	11	44	158	7	6	4	201	287	329	616	128	287	33	9	281	73	-14	-0	+0	-9	+14	-1.0
2028	28	MLB	COL	42%	496	440	90	16	3	12	46	161	7	6	4	205	290	336	626	132	287	32	9	283	75	-14	-0	-1	-9	+14	-1.0
2027	27	MLB	COL	31%	148	131	28	5	1	4	14	49	2	2	1	214	299	359	658	145	310	33	9	289	79	-3	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.2
2028	28	MLB	COL	42%	209	185	40	7	1	6	19	68	3	3	2	216	300	362	662	146	309	33	9	291	81	-4	-0	-0	-4	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	357	316	68	12	2	10	33	117	5	5	3	215	299	361	660	146	304	33	9	290	80	-8	-0	-0	-6	+10	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	124	22	4	18	60	213	9	9	5	216	300	362	661	146	305	33	9	290	80	-14	-0	-1	-12	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	4113	3647	720	120	25	77	363	1377	66	62	44	197	282	307	589	110	290	33	9	264	60	-186	-5	-1	-73	+117	-15.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	114	19	4	12	57	218	10	10	7	198	281	307	588	109	291	34	9	264	60	-29	-1	-0	-12	+18	-2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	258	206	72	13	2	6	45	40	6	12	7	350	479	519	998	170	410	16	17	443	197	+28	-0	—	—	+7	3.6
2019	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	526	440	104	19	0	7	68	129	9	8	9	236	350	327	677	91	314	25	13	311	96	-2	-2	—	—	+15	1.1
2021	21	A+	Spokane Indians	—	139	111	25	5	1	2	22	39	3	2	1	225	368	342	710	117	319	28	16	325	107	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2021	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	308	260	73	13	4	7	39	73	7	7	2	281	389	442	831	162	365	24	13	371	142	+15	+1	—	—	+9	2.5
2022	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	242	208	51	7	2	5	32	66	1	0	0	245	349	370	719	125	333	27	13	327	109	+2	+0	—	—	+7	0.9
2022	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	282	241	76	16	3	5	36	68	2	2	3	315	409	469	877	154	418	24	13	388	155	+18	-1	—	—	+8	2.5
2022	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	71	61	20	7	2	1	8	17	1	3	2	328	414	557	972	230	432	24	11	418	178	+6	-0	—	—	+2	0.8
2023	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	534	445	101	19	3	17	77	142	9	4	2	227	352	398	750	171	291	27	14	339	118	+11	+0	—	—	+15	2.6
2024	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	530	441	107	15	6	18	73	143	10	9	8	243	363	426	789	184	312	27	14	351	127	+16	-1	—	—	+15	3.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#4Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	382	9	5	203	287	333	-7	-2	-0.8	-0.4
	/162	664	16	9	203	287	333	-11.9	-2.6	-1.4	pk7: 0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	19	9	250	303	400	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Grant Lavigne (OGILVIE)	26	22	42	48	53	195/282/320	125	287	6	3	34%	9%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Skole 2015 · AA	26	39→40	46→50	48→40	47	197/277/324	128	281	14	5	34%	10%	67	-0.5	198/264/343	145	254	18	3	29%	8%	66	-0.6	188/253/341	153	230	21	2	28%	7%	60	-0.8
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	39	43→45	48→50	44	192/283/299	108	293	11	10	36%	9%	65	-0.7	194/282/315	121	288	13	11	34%	9%	68	-0.5	127/238/245	118	175	14	9	35%	11%	31	-1.0
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	41	43→45	45→55	45	199/286/310	111	301	11	8	35%	9%	68	-0.5	224/301/327	103	295	10	18	26%	8%	78	+0.2	228/306/322	93	290	9	25	23%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Josh Ockimey 2022 · AAA	26	39→43	48→50	44→30	48	196/290/334	138	294	17	3	36%	11%	76	+0.1	201/283/343	142	299	16	6	35%	10%	75	-0.0	178/268/326	148	256	17	3	35%	11%	62	-0.7
✕Dillon Paulson 2023 · AA	26	44→37	46→50	45→30	50	222/295/348	126	277	14	6	24%	9%	81	+0.4	222/286/335	113	294	10	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	218/282/326	107	289	9	0	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→37	44→50	47→55	38	184/248/300	115	271	12	13	35%	6%	49	-1.8	201/261/346	145	293	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Darick Hall 2021 · AA	26	39→40	48→55	48→40	41	200/272/344	144	271	15	5	31%	6%	71	-0.3	216/276/389	173	268	22	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6	216/275/395	180	259	24	2	27%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA	26	39→41	43→45	47→50	39	191/254/300	109	301	11	6	39%	7%	51	-1.7	203/285/337	134	323	15	9	38%	10%	74	-0.1	193/282/326	133	300	16	9	38%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Art Charles 2017 · AA	26	39→41	46→50	48→30	38	197/254/328	131	299	14	4	37%	7%	58	-1.2	242/305/458	216	333	28	5	34%	8%	114	+2.7	259/327/548	289	332	42	0	34%	9%	148	+1.6
✕Jason Cooper 2007 · AAA	26	39→38	50→55	45	39	205/263/360	155	279	18	6	33%	6%	71	-0.3	213/279/362	149	273	13	8	26%	7%	78	+0.2	216/290/376	160	265	13	7	23%	8%	85	+0.4
✕Nick Maton 2023 · MLB	26	43→42	47→50	48→45	47	216/290/357	141	287	13	7	29%	8%	81	+0.4	218/307/369	151	274	18	5	26%	10%	92	+1.2	208/307/357	149	255	19	3	25%	11%	86	+0.4
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	46→45	41	207/269/325	118	287	12	7	31%	7%	64	-0.8	206/275/323	117	358	13	8	42%	8%	66	-0.6	146/233/242	95	291	15	0	51%	8%	30	-0.7
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	43→45	51→50	42	184/258/300	116	276	11	10	36%	8%	53	-1.5	191/255/292	101	310	7	9	38%	7%	49	-1.8	158/216/249	91	298	0	4	44%	7%	17	-0.7
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA	26	41	47→50	48→50	45	204/288/334	129	286	15	9	32%	9%	76	+0.0	216/303/373	157	299	19	5	32%	9%	92	+1.2	212/305/392	180	282	23	1	32%	10%	92	+0.5
✕Vince Fernandez 2021 · AA	26	38→37	47→55	48→45	35	183/249/319	136	323	15	7	45%	7%	54	-1.4	199/270/367	168	316	20	6	41%	6%	76	+0.1	178/255/351	173	282	22	4	42%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Gabe Snyder 2021 · A	26	40→35	47→50	46→40	41	204/267/335	131	282	15	5	32%	7%	66	-0.6	212/284/358	146	304	15	8	33%	8%	79	+0.3	176/267/354	178	239	19	7	34%	10%	68	-0.1
✕Ryan Aguilar 2021 · AA	26	40	41→45	49→50	40	187/263/280	92	313	9	8	40%	8%	50	-1.7	191/281/309	118	321	13	13	41%	10%	66	-0.6	177/276/304	128	288	15	14	40%	11%	59	-0.6
✕Neil Medchill 2013 · AA	26	39→29	49→50	47→45	35	196/250/342	146	315	18	6	42%	6%	60	-1.0	210/263/324	114	343	12	8	40%	6%	60	-1.0	199/253/282	83	329	11	5	40%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Richie Shaffer 2017 · MLB	26	37→38	49→55	44→40	43	197/264/344	147	267	17	5	32%	8%	67	-0.5	177/244/305	128	291	15	5	42%	7%	49	-1.8	150/221/272	122	254	16	3	46%	7%	28	-2.1
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	39→36	50→45	48→45	43	206/272/358	152	269	18	10	30%	7%	74	-0.1	214/285/341	127	273	14	7	26%	8%	75	-0.0	193/283/277	84	242	8	0	22%	10%	55	-0.5