Héctor Rodríguez

Héctor RodríguezLF Louisville Bats

Age 22 L/R 5'10" / 200 lbs MLB HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION569 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP259

ISO139

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 53 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT53

xAVG

100.213

POWER47

Barrel%

386.6

Avg EV

3788.1

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED52

Sprint

6828.2

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%23%▼▼27% over 88 PA (30d) · proj 18%

BB%5%▲6% over 114 PA (60d) · proj 5%

ISO.151▲.170 over 106 AB (60d) · proj .139

HR/BB4.9%▲6.6% over 76 BBE (60d) · proj 3.8%

BABIP.247▲.296 over 71 BIP (60d) · proj .243

SLASH.215/.262/.366·proj .222/.263/.361

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	141	123	37	8	2	3	13	17	3	6	8	301	381	472	853	171	324	12	9	374	139	+7	-2	—	—	+3	0.8
2022	18	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	55	52	14	4	2	0	3	10	0	1	1	269	309	423	732	154	333	18	5	322	104	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	141	131	47	8	6	3	9	10	0	15	5	359	400	580	980	221	370	7	6	423	172	+12	+1	—	—	+3	1.7
2023	19	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	55	51	15	2	1	0	1	10	1	0	1	294	321	373	693	78	349	18	2	300	89	-1	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	444	410	120	23	9	16	27	84	7	18	5	293	347	510	857	217	335	19	6	375	140	+21	+2	—	—	+10	3.3
2023	19	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	189	179	51	10	4	3	8	29	1	5	3	285	319	436	755	151	327	15	4	331	110	+2	-0	—	—	+4	0.6
2024	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	541	507	139	24	7	12	26	72	2	12	6	274	312	420	732	146	297	13	5	321	103	+2	+0	—	—	+12	1.4
2024	20	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	96	91	23	3	0	1	2	15	0	2	1	253	269	319	587	66	286	16	2	255	59	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	21	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	230	215	56	8	1	7	12	38	2	9	2	260	306	405	710	144	287	17	5	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	21	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	345	312	93	15	3	12	28	48	2	6	5	298	360	481	840	183	318	14	8	368	135	+15	-1	—	—	+7	2.2
2025	21	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	128	113	34	5	3	4	13	13	1	3	2	301	378	504	882	204	309	10	10	385	147	+7	-0	—	—	+3	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	141	129	30	5	2	3	7	26	3	6	8	233	288	372	660	140	253	18	5	277	74	-4	-2	—	—	+3	-0.3
2022	18	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	55	53	11	3	1	0	2	14	0	1	1	208	236	302	538	94	299	25	4	256	59	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	141	135	36	6	4	2	5	14	0	15	5	267	293	415	708	148	284	10	4	312	97	-0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	19	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	55	51	14	2	1	0	1	14	1	0	1	275	302	353	655	78	317	25	2	262	63	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	444	417	95	18	6	12	20	119	7	18	5	228	275	386	661	158	291	27	5	287	80	-10	+2	—	—	+10	0.1
2024	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	541	515	117	21	5	8	18	97	2	12	6	227	256	334	590	107	257	18	3	254	58	-27	+0	—	—	+12	-1.6
2025	21	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	230	219	48	7	1	5	8	47	2	9	2	219	253	329	582	110	250	20	3	253	57	-12	+1	—	—	+5	-0.6
2025	21	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	345	322	88	12	3	9	18	58	2	6	5	273	316	413	729	140	302	17	5	316	100	+0	-1	—	—	+7	0.7
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	141	129	30	5	2	3	7	26	3	6	8	233	288	372	660	140	265	18	5	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 1	—	141	123	37	8	2	3	13	17	3	6	8	301	381	472	853	171	324	12	9	374	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	196	187	48	9	6	2	8	28	0	16	6	257	287	401	688	144	291	14	4	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	196	183	61	12	8	3	12	20	0	16	6	333	374	536	910	202	360	10	6	395	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	688	647	150	27	10	17	29	183	9	23	9	232	274	383	658	151	296	27	4	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	3 teams	—	688	640	186	35	14	19	36	123	9	23	9	291	337	478	815	188	334	18	5	357	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	637	604	136	24	6	9	22	114	2	14	7	225	255	329	584	104	260	18	3	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	637	598	162	27	7	13	28	87	2	14	7	271	306	405	710	134	295	14	4	311	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	703	662	166	23	5	18	31	128	5	18	9	251	289	382	672	131	284	18	4	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA RAW	3 teams	—	703	640	183	28	7	23	53	99	5	18	9	286	345	459	805	173	306	14	8	354	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	141	130	30	5	2	3	7	26	3	6	8	231	288	369	657	138	253	18	5	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	196	186	48	9	6	2	8	28	0	16	6	258	287	403	690	145	288	14	4	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	688	645	150	27	10	17	29	183	9	23	9	233	274	384	659	152	294	27	4	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	637	608	136	24	6	9	22	114	2	14	7	224	255	327	582	104	257	18	3	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	703	661	166	23	5	18	31	128	5	18	9	251	289	383	672	132	281	18	4	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	688	645	150	27	10	17	29	183	9	23	9	233	274	384	659	152	294	27	4	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	637	608	136	24	6	9	22	114	2	14	7	224	255	327	582	104	257	18	3	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	703	661	166	23	5	18	31	128	5	18	9	251	289	383	672	132	281	18	4	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AAA MLE	CIN	—	569	525	120	16	4	23	35	141	6	6	2	229	284	406	690	177	266	25	6	299	89	-8	+0	+0	-6	+12	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	22	MLB RAW	CIN	—	114	106	26	3	0	5	7	30	1	0	0	245	298	415	713	170	296	26	6	317	89	-2	+0	+0	-6	+2	-0.5
YTD	22	AAA RAW	CIN	—	455	405	111	16	4	27	42	93	5	6	2	274	350	533	883	259	292	20	9	383	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	MLB RAW	CIN	—	114	106	26	3	0	5	7	30	1	0	0	245	298	415	713	170	296	26	6	317	101	+0	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
ROS	22	AAA MLE	CIN	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		256	20	10	292	84	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
ROS	22	MLB CTX	CIN	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		259	20	10	292	84	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	MLB A+C	CIN	—	124	115	27	3	0	5	8	32	1	0	0	235	290	391	682	157	282	26	6	315	89	-2	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.0
TOT	22	AAA MLE	CIN	—	579	534	121	16	4	23	36	143	6	6	2	227	283	401	684	174	264	25	6	299	89	-8	+0	-0	-6	+13	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	621	573	133	19	4	23	37	134	6	8	2	232	286	400	685	168	259	22	6	299	89	-8	+1	-1	-7	+13	-0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	648	597	139	20	4	24	40	138	6	8	2	233	288	400	688	168	262	21	6	305	93	-6	+1	-1	-7	+14	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	648	595	140	21	4	24	42	137	6	8	2	235	292	405	697	170	264	21	6	309	95	-4	+1	-1	-7	+14	0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	648	594	141	21	4	25	43	137	6	8	2	237	295	412	708	175	264	21	7	310	96	-3	+1	-1	-7	+14	0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	643	589	138	20	4	24	43	136	6	8	2	234	293	404	697	170	264	21	7	310	96	-3	+1	-1	-7	+14	0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	635	581	136	20	4	24	43	136	6	8	2	234	294	406	700	172	263	21	7	309	95	-4	+1	-2	-7	+14	0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	623	569	132	19	4	23	43	134	6	7	2	232	293	401	694	169	262	22	7	307	94	-5	+1	-2	-7	+13	0.0
2034	30	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	611	558	127	18	3	22	42	133	6	6	2	228	289	389	678	161	260	22	7	304	92	-6	+0	-3	-7	+13	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	404	373	88	12	3	16	24	87	4	5	1	236	289	413	702	177	262	22	6	300	89	-5	+1	-1	-4	+9	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	421	388	92	13	3	17	26	90	4	5	1	237	292	418	709	180	265	21	6	306	93	-4	+1	-1	-5	+9	0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	421	387	93	14	3	17	27	89	4	5	1	240	297	424	720	183	267	21	6	309	95	-2	+1	-1	-5	+9	0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	421	386	93	14	3	17	28	89	4	5	1	241	299	425	724	184	267	21	7	311	96	-2	+1	-1	-5	+9	0.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	418	383	93	14	3	17	28	89	4	5	1	243	301	428	729	185	267	21	7	311	96	-2	+1	-1	-4	+9	0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	413	378	90	13	2	17	28	88	4	5	1	238	298	418	716	180	266	21	7	310	95	-2	+1	-1	-4	+9	0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	405	370	87	13	2	16	28	87	4	5	1	235	296	411	707	176	265	21	7	308	94	-3	+1	-2	-4	+9	0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	397	363	85	12	2	16	27	87	4	4	1	234	294	410	705	176	264	22	7	304	92	-4	+0	-2	-4	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3310	3037	722	105	21	133	217	708	32	39	8	238	295	418	713	180	266	21	7	307	88	-25	+5	-8	-35	+72	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	142	21	4	26	43	139	6	8	2	238	296	418	714	180	267	21	7	307	88	-5	+1	-2	-7	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7452	6894	1617	246	60	238	431	1566	67	138	55	235	286	391	677	157	269	21	6	298	88	-38	+6	-13	-55	+110	1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	141	21	5	21	38	137	6	12	5	235	287	391	678	156	268	21	6	298	88	-5	+1	-2	-7	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	8.5	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
/162	664	19	6	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#3Eddie Rosariolast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,347 PA	6.5	4,347	169	65	262	298	450	-47	-39	7.0	8.7
/162	664	26	10	-7.1	-6.0	1.1	pk7: 10
#4Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Craig Monroelast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,898 PA	4.4	2,898	114	19	253	302	443	-28	-32	3.8	4.3
/162	664	26	4	-6.5	-7.4	0.9	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.6	3,694	137	46	234	287	403	-40	-4	3.5	3.4
/162	664	25	8	-7.1	-0.8	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Héctor Rodríguez (OGILVIE)	22	40→53	45→47	45→52	20	224/274/382	158	256	10	4	22%	6%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Corey Patterson 2002 · MLB	22	44→54	49→55	52→60	43	226/283/367	141	268	18	14	24%	6%	83	+0.1	259/298/420	161	315	17	20	23%	5%	100	+1.3	265/306/437	171	323	18	24	23%	5%	103	+1.4
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Fernando Martinez 2011 · MLB	22	45→55	46→50	47→45	40	227/276/360	133	278	13	6	24%	5%	78	-0.3	235/285/376	141	304	16	4	27%	5%	86	+0.3	240/289/384	144	312	16	1	28%	4%	87	+0.2
●Willie Calhoun 2017 · AA	22	45→51	52→55	46→40	48	231/281/393	162	242	20	2	15%	6%	88	+0.5	240/287/401	161	255	20	4	15%	6%	92	+0.7	243/295/410	167	256	21	3	15%	6%	94	+0.8
✕Lonnie Chisenhall 2011 · AA	22	46→56	50→55	49→45	44	234/285/385	151	271	18	4	21%	6%	88	+0.4	241/289/387	146	283	15	4	20%	5%	89	+0.5	279/336/448	169	324	15	7	18%	7%	116	+1.2
✕Brandon Jones 2007 · AA	23	47→53	48→50	49→50	44	237/286/381	144	293	15	11	24%	6%	86	+0.3	245/296/376	131	311	11	11	24%	7%	89	+0.5	248/303/372	125	312	10	10	23%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Jarred Kelenic 2021 · AA	22	44→54	53→60	53→50	42	230/285/405	175	295	20	14	29%	7%	92	+0.7	223/288/402	179	283	21	13	28%	8%	93	+0.8	223/292/404	181	286	20	15	29%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Abraham Toro 2019 · AA	22	39→49	47→50	47→45	45	202/268/344	142	252	15	6	26%	7%	72	-0.7	236/307/383	147	281	15	7	21%	7%	96	+1.0	236/307/384	148	268	16	7	18%	8%	93	+0.7
●Nolan Gorman 2022 · AAA	22	42→43	49→60	49→45	38	220/264/363	143	289	18	6	31%	5%	75	-0.5	226/290/425	199	301	29	7	34%	8%	99	+1.3	216/289/434	218	283	32	7	35%	9%	100	+1.1
✕Brendan Rodgers 2019 · AAA	22	46→54	47→50	47→45	39	233/276/368	135	287	14	8	24%	4%	80	-0.1	241/287/377	136	299	15	6	24%	5%	86	+0.3	256/311/394	138	303	15	0	20%	6%	98	+0.8
●Josh Kroeger 2006 · MLB	23	43→53	44→50	51→50	39	217/258/337	120	283	12	15	28%	5%	66	-1.1	233/274/367	134	292	14	10	24%	5%	79	-0.2	256/302/400	145	301	16	15	20%	6%	94	+0.8
✕Brandon Allen 2009 · AA	23	42→47	52→55	50	39	218/267/390	172	289	20	9	32%	6%	82	+0.0	227/300/403	176	290	21	9	28%	9%	97	+1.1	223/306/403	180	284	21	9	28%	10%	97	+1.0
✕Hunter Morris 2012 · AA	23	44→47	49→55	49→40	38	225/255/380	155	266	16	7	23%	3%	75	-0.5	221/259/375	154	279	17	4	27%	4%	76	-0.4	213/253/365	152	270	18	2	28%	4%	68	-0.8
●Felix Pie 2007 · AAA	22	49→55	47→50	49→60	40	241/282/382	141	307	13	15	26%	5%	85	+0.2	249/295/386	137	308	13	15	23%	6%	91	+0.7	251/305/391	141	302	12	25	21%	6%	93	+0.5
✕Chris Lubanski 2007 · AA	22	48→50	50→55	51→45	44	240/293/406	166	299	16	9	26%	7%	95	+1.0	216/267/359	143	287	14	8	29%	7%	74	-0.5	198/250/345	148	275	16	8	33%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2022 · AA	23	36→46	52→55	45	41	201/254/364	163	248	21	7	29%	6%	72	-0.7	224/286/392	168	277	21	8	26%	8%	90	+0.6	220/286/384	164	268	21	8	26%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Josh Rojas 2018 · AAA	24	42→52	48→50	51→55	42	216/266/356	140	267	16	4	26%	6%	74	-0.6	228/293/362	134	278	12	23	21%	8%	85	+0.2	253/331/399	146	310	14	22	22%	10%	104	+1.5
✕Reid Brignac 2008 · AA	22	46→52	48→50	49→50	43	232/278/375	144	279	16	10	24%	6%	82	+0.0	230/271/355	125	286	11	8	23%	5%	75	-0.5	233/272/351	118	291	10	6	23%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Jason Martin 2018 · AA	22	43→49	48→60	47→50	40	217/266/366	149	290	16	13	31%	6%	76	-0.4	227/272/356	129	296	12	12	26%	6%	75	-0.5	219/286/408	189	272	25	8	29%	8%	91	+0.4
✕David Lough 2009 · A	23	46→56	46→50	48→50	43	231/273/369	138	263	13	9	18%	4%	79	-0.2	257/297/386	129	297	12	13	17%	4%	91	+0.7	270/310/397	127	310	10	14	16%	4%	96	+0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps