Héctor Rodríguez

Héctor RodríguezLF Louisville Bats

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 22 L/R 5'10" / 200 lbs AAA HR +9%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.2 · 2031

wRC+†98

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .282 / .379

PA237

HR6

K%19

BB%5

MLB%40%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40↗53

PWR

45↗47

SPD

45↗52

FLD

45↗48

EYE

37↘20

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.3peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.0	$9M	+$8M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.1	$10M	+$9M
2031	Arb-3	$2M	+1.2	$11M	+$9M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.0	$10M	+$6M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+0.8	$4M	-$0.0M
Totals		$12M		$46M	+$34M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	141	129	30	5	2	3	7	27	3	6	8	.233	.288	.372	.660	.140	.267	19	5	.281	73	-4	-2	+0	-2	+4	-0.4
2022	18	ROK	2 teams	196	187	48	9	6	2	8	28	0	16	6	.257	.287	.401	.688	.144	.291	14	4	.295	84	-4	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2023	19	A	3 teams	688	647	150	27	10	17	29	182	9	23	9	.232	.274	.383	.658	.151	.296	26	4	.283	75	-19	+1	+0	-7	+19	-0.6
2024	20	A+	2 teams	637	604	139	25	7	8	22	107	2	14	7	.230	.260	.334	.594	.104	.264	17	3	.254	53	-34	+0	+0	-7	+18	-2.3
2025	21	AA	3 teams	703	662	168	24	5	22	31	133	5	18	9	.254	.292	.405	.697	.151	.285	19	4	.298	86	-11	+0	+0	-8	+20	0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	AAA	Louisville Bats	112	99	25	4	1	4	10	23	1	1	1	.253	.327	.434	.762	.182	.284	21	9	.325	107	+1	-0	+0	-1	+3	0.3
ROS	22	MLB	CIN	125	116	29	5	1	4	7	25	1	2	1	.250	.298	.414	.712	.164	.278	20	6	.302	89	-2	+0	-0	-1	+4	0.0
TOT	22	MLB	CIN	237	215	54	9	2	8	17	48	2	3	2	.251	.312	.423	.735	.172	.284	20	7	.313	98	-1	-0	-0	-3	+7	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 58%	CIN	610	563	138	23	5	17	37	107	5	11	5	.245	.298	.394	.692	.149	.271	18	6	.304	91	-6	+0	-1	-7	+17	0.4
2028	24	MLB 76%	CIN	650	598	147	25	5	19	42	114	5	11	5	.246	.301	.400	.700	.154	.273	18	6	.310	95	-3	+0	-1	-7	+18	0.7
2029	25	MLB 91%	CIN	674	617	153	26	5	20	46	119	6	12	5	.248	.306	.404	.710	.156	.274	18	7	.314	98	-1	+0	-1	-7	+19	1.0
2030	26	MLB	CIN	687	628	156	27	5	21	48	122	6	12	5	.248	.308	.408	.716	.159	.275	18	7	.316	100	-0	+0	-1	-7	+19	1.1
2031	27	MLB	CIN	690	630	157	27	5	21	49	123	6	12	5	.249	.309	.408	.717	.159	.275	18	7	.316	100	-0	+0	-1	-7	+20	1.2
2032	28	MLB	CIN	687	627	155	26	5	21	49	124	6	11	5	.247	.308	.405	.713	.158	.275	18	7	.315	99	-1	+0	-2	-7	+19	1.0
2033	29	MLB	CIN	679	619	152	26	5	20	49	125	6	9	4	.246	.307	.401	.708	.155	.274	18	7	.313	98	-2	+0	-3	-7	+19	0.8
2034	30	MLB	CIN	669	610	148	25	4	20	49	125	5	8	3	.243	.304	.395	.699	.152	.273	19	7	.310	95	-4	+0	-3	-7	+19	0.5
2035	31	MLB	CIN	655	598	143	24	4	19	47	125	5	4	2	.239	.300	.388	.688	.149	.272	19	7	.306	92	-6	+0	-4	-7	+19	0.2
2036	32	MLB	CIN	637	581	137	23	4	17	46	125	5	2	1	.236	.297	.377	.674	.141	.271	20	7	.301	89	-8	+0	-5	-7	+18	-0.1
2037	33	MLB	CIN	608	555	129	21	4	16	44	123	4	0	0	.232	.294	.371	.665	.139	.269	20	7	.296	85	-10	+0	-5	-7	+17	-0.5
2038	34	MLB	CIN	559	510	116	19	3	14	40	118	4	0	0	.227	.289	.359	.648	.131	.268	21	7	.290	80	-13	+0	-6	-6	+16	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10295	9481	2295	387	85	281	650	1952	83	171	80	.242	.296	.390	.686	.148	.276	19	6	.302	89	-128	+2	-33	-110	+292	2.3
/ 162G	—			650	599	144	24	5	18	41	123	5	11	5	.240	.295	.387	.682	.147	.273	19	6	.302	89	-8	+0	-2	-7	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	141	123	37	8	2	3	13	17	3	6	8	.301	.381	.472	.853	.171	.324	12	9	.374	144	+7	-2	—	—	+4	0.9
2022	18	A	Daytona Tortugas	55	52	14	4	2	0	3	10	0	1	1	.269	.309	.423	.732	.154	.333	18	5	.322	104	+0	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	141	131	47	8	6	3	9	10	0	15	5	.359	.400	.580	.980	.221	.370	7	6	.423	182	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
2023	19	A+	Dayton Dragons	55	51	15	2	1	0	1	10	1	0	1	.294	.321	.373	.693	.078	.349	18	2	.300	87	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2023	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	444	410	120	23	9	16	27	84	7	18	5	.293	.347	.510	.857	.217	.335	19	6	.375	145	+23	+2	—	—	+13	3.8
2023	19	INTL	Dominican Republic	189	179	51	10	4	3	8	29	1	5	3	.285	.319	.436	.755	.151	.327	15	4	.331	112	+3	-0	—	—	+5	0.8
2024	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	541	507	139	24	7	12	26	72	2	12	6	.274	.312	.420	.732	.146	.297	13	5	.321	104	+2	+0	—	—	+15	1.8
2024	20	INTL	Leones del Escogido	96	91	23	3	0	1	2	15	0	2	1	.253	.269	.319	.587	.066	.286	16	2	.255	54	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	21	AAA	Louisville Bats	230	215	56	8	1	7	12	38	2	9	2	.260	.306	.405	.710	.144	.287	17	5	.315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+7	0.8
2025	21	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	345	312	93	15	3	12	28	48	2	6	5	.298	.360	.481	.840	.183	.318	14	8	.368	140	+16	-1	—	—	+10	2.5
2025	21	INTL	Leones del Escogido	128	113	34	5	3	4	13	13	1	3	2	.301	.378	.504	.882	.204	.309	10	10	.385	153	+8	-0	—	—	+4	1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Héctor Rodríguez (OGILVIE)	22	40→53	45→47	45→52	20	.240/.282/.379	.139	.277	6	4	19%	5%	83	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Felix Pie 2007 · AAA	22	48→55	48→50	49→60	40	.241/.282/.388	.147	.307	14	15	26%	5%	85	+0.7	.249/.294/.387	.138	.309	13	16	23%	6%	89	+1.0	.256/.309/.411	.155	.305	15	25	21%	6%	99	+1.1
✕Fernando Martinez 2011 · MLB	22	46→55	48→50	47→45	40	.234/.281/.378	.143	.286	15	6	24%	4%	82	+0.5	.236/.285/.384	.148	.302	17	4	27%	4%	86	+0.8	.243/.291/.392	.149	.314	17	1	27%	4%	87	+0.5
●Corey Patterson 2002 · MLB	22	44→54	49→55	51→60	43	.227/.285/.370	.144	.270	18	13	24%	6%	82	+0.5	.257/.296/.415	.158	.312	17	19	23%	4%	98	+1.6	.265/.306/.437	.171	.323	18	24	23%	5%	103	+1.8
●Cedric Mullins 2018 · AA	23	43→53	49→55	50→60	41	.221/.256/.369	.148	.262	16	14	23%	4%	69	-0.4	.225/.272/.354	.129	.266	13	18	20%	6%	72	-0.2	.254/.323/.426	.171	.293	19	27	19%	8%	108	+2.3
●Shane Peterson 2010 · AA	22	51→58	42→50	55→50	41	.246/.296/.353	.108	.308	9	11	23%	5%	82	+0.5	.235/.300/.340	.105	.310	9	12	25%	7%	80	+0.4	.247/.322/.364	.117	.346	10	13	29%	9%	94	+1.1
●Jesse Castillo 2006 · AAA	23	46→56	47→45	51→50	43	.232/.284/.366	.134	.287	14	11	24%	6%	80	+0.4	.259/.322/.349	.090	.318	6	6	19%	8%	91	+1.1	.280/.342/.409	.128	.327	14	13	18%	8%	115	+2.2
✕Leo German 2015 · AAA	22	45→55	43→45	50→55	39	.225/.276/.334	.110	.287	11	16	26%	4%	69	-0.4	.239/.285/.336	.097	.309	8	25	24%	4%	72	-0.2	.282/.316/.373	.091	.363	7	23	23%	4%	90	+0.6
●Brandon Jones 2007 · AA	23	47→53	49→55	48→50	44	.237/.286/.386	.149	.291	16	11	24%	6%	86	+0.8	.246/.297/.388	.142	.311	13	11	24%	6%	91	+1.1	.249/.304/.384	.135	.313	12	10	23%	7%	92	+1.1
●Josh Kroeger 2006 · MLB	23	43→53	44→50	51→50	38	.217/.257/.336	.119	.283	12	15	28%	5%	61	-1.0	.231/.270/.368	.137	.290	14	11	25%	5%	75	-0.0	.257/.303/.411	.154	.301	18	15	21%	6%	97	+1.3
✕Caleb Gindl 2011 · AA	22	48→54	45→50	48→50	45	.237/.294/.366	.130	.302	12	10	25%	7%	85	+0.7	.239/.296/.367	.128	.298	12	7	23%	7%	85	+0.7	.237/.294/.369	.133	.295	13	4	23%	7%	81	+0.4
✕Yancarlo Angulo 2009 · AAA	22	43→53	45	53→55	42	.214/.280/.345	.130	.280	13	14	28%	6%	74	-0.1	.215/.272/.314	.099	.270	8	19	22%	6%	62	-0.9	.246/.302/.357	.110	.307	10	7	22%	4%	84	+0.5
✕Carlos Alvarez 2009 · AAA	21	45	44→45	49→45	44	.225/.270/.340	.115	.269	12	10	21%	6%	67	-0.5	.229/.288/.342	.113	.291	12	12	24%	7%	76	+0.1	.249/.327/.336	.087	.300	6	6	18%	9%	89	+0.4
●Tyler Colvin 2009 · AA	23	47→53	48→60	51→45	39	.235/.269/.383	.148	.287	14	9	24%	4%	79	+0.3	.230/.272/.399	.169	.283	18	8	25%	5%	84	+0.6	.229/.273/.429	.200	.283	22	7	27%	5%	88	+0.6
✕Gavin Lux 2020 · MLB	22	50→58	49→50	50	47	.250/.307/.403	.153	.310	16	12	25%	8%	99	+1.7	.249/.315/.391	.142	.314	15	9	24%	9%	100	+1.7	.263/.338/.380	.117	.334	8	5	22%	10%	103	+1.6
●Domonic Brown 2010 · AA	22	50→55	46→55	52→55	46	.247/.303/.381	.133	.304	13	17	23%	7%	92	+1.2	.253/.313/.405	.152	.311	16	16	23%	8%	102	+1.9	.252/.317/.416	.164	.286	19	11	19%	8%	101	+1.4
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	41→47	49→55	51→55	43	.211/.270/.356	.146	.270	16	12	28%	7%	72	-0.2	.223/.290/.386	.163	.284	18	19	27%	8%	89	+0.9	.223/.295/.390	.167	.282	18	22	27%	9%	89	+0.8
✕Jake Bauers 2018 · AAA	22	47→50	45→60	48→55	50	.233/.300/.357	.124	.280	12	12	21%	8%	85	+0.7	.223/.305/.368	.145	.285	15	13	26%	10%	90	+1.0	.216/.314/.413	.198	.284	25	18	31%	12%	99	+0.9
●Dylan Carlson 2021 · MLB	22	44→53	49→55	49→50	45	.223/.289/.378	.155	.282	17	11	27%	8%	86	+0.8	.243/.320/.403	.160	.302	15	6	23%	9%	105	+2.1	.242/.327/.396	.154	.296	14	4	22%	9%	105	+1.6
✕Ricardo Vazquez 2008 · AAA	23	49	47→55	49→45	39	.247/.275/.385	.138	.290	15	8	21%	3%	81	+0.4	.255/.288/.376	.121	.299	12	10	19%	4%	84	+0.6	.290/.322/.423	.133	.319	14	2	14%	3%	108	+0.5
✕Jordan Schafer 2009 · AA	22	47→53	47→50	50→65	41	.231/.280/.376	.144	.314	13	13	30%	6%	81	+0.4	.218/.281/.322	.104	.301	8	17	28%	8%	67	-0.5	.212/.291/.289	.077	.286	5	53	26%	10%	57	-0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)