Héctor Rodríguez

Héctor RodríguezLF Louisville Bats

Age 22 L/R 5'10" / 200 lbs AAA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION396 act + 264 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .282 / .404

PA264

HR10

K%22

BB%6

BABIP263

ISO171

MLB%40%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.5M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$7M	+$5M
2030	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$7M	+$4M
2031	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$7M	+$3M
Totals		$14M		$27M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	141	129	30	5	2	3	7	27	3	6	8	233	288	372	660	140	267	19	5	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	141	123	37	8	2	3	13	17	3	6	8	301	381	472	853	171	324	12	9	374	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	2 teams	—	196	187	47	9	6	2	8	28	0	16	6	251	282	396	678	144	285	14	4	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	2 teams	—	196	183	61	12	8	3	12	20	0	16	6	333	374	536	910	202	360	10	6	395	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	3 teams	—	688	648	144	25	9	16	28	182	9	23	9	222	264	363	627	140	283	26	4	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	3 teams	—	688	640	186	35	14	19	36	123	9	23	9	291	337	478	815	188	334	18	5	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	2 teams	—	637	604	134	26	6	7	22	113	2	14	7	222	252	320	571	98	259	18	3	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	2 teams	—	637	598	162	27	7	13	28	87	2	14	7	271	306	405	710	134	295	14	4	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	3 teams	—	703	663	170	22	5	22	30	133	5	18	9	256	294	404	698	148	288	19	4	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	3 teams	—	703	640	183	28	7	23	53	99	5	18	9	286	345	459	805	173	306	14	8	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AAA	CIN	—	396	362	89	12	4	19	27	96	4	6	2	246	305	459	764	213	280	24	7	327	108	+4	+0	+0	-4	+11	1.1
YTD	22	AAA	CIN	—	396	348	99	14	4	23	41	80	4	6	2	284	366	546	912	261	306	20	10	395	160	+27	+0	+0	-4	+11	3.5
ROS	22	AAA	CIN	40%	264	245	57	8	2	10	15	57	2	4	2	233	282	404	687	171	262	22	6	306	92	-2	+0	-0	-3	+7	0.2
ROS	22	MLB	CIN	40%	106	98	23	3	1	4	6	23	1	2	1	235	286	408	694	173	264	22	6	303	90	-1	+0	-0	-1	+3	0.1
FULL	22	AAA	CIN	—	502	460	112	15	5	23	33	119	5	8	3	243	301	448	749	204	276	24	7	322	105	+3	+0	-0	-5	+14	1.2
TOT	22	AAA	CIN	—	660	607	146	20	6	29	42	153	6	10	4	241	296	437	733	196	273	23	6	319	102	+2	+0	-0	-7	+19	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CIN	51%	581	536	126	18	4	23	35	125	5	9	3	235	288	412	701	177	263	22	6	309	95	-3	+1	-1	-6	+16	0.7
2028	24	MLB	CIN	54%	609	561	134	19	5	25	38	130	5	9	4	239	293	424	717	185	266	21	6	314	99	-1	+0	-1	-7	+17	0.9
2029	25	MLB	CIN	55%	627	575	139	20	5	26	41	133	6	10	4	242	299	430	729	188	267	21	7	317	101	+1	+0	-1	-7	+18	1.1
2030	26	MLB	CIN	56%	636	583	141	21	5	26	42	135	6	10	4	242	300	429	728	187	268	21	7	319	102	+1	+0	-1	-7	+18	1.2
2031	27	MLB	CIN	55%	631	577	140	21	5	26	43	134	6	10	4	243	302	432	733	189	268	21	7	319	102	+1	+0	-1	-7	+18	1.2
2032	28	MLB	CIN	55%	626	572	136	20	4	25	43	134	6	9	3	238	298	418	716	180	267	21	7	317	101	+1	+1	-2	-7	+18	1.1
2033	29	MLB	CIN	53%	617	564	134	20	4	25	43	133	5	8	3	238	297	420	718	183	266	22	7	315	99	-0	+0	-2	-7	+17	0.9
2034	30	MLB	CIN	53%	607	555	131	19	4	24	42	133	5	7	3	236	296	414	710	178	264	22	7	312	97	-2	+0	-3	-7	+17	0.6
2027	23	MLB	CIN	51%	295	273	64	9	2	12	18	64	2	5	2	234	287	414	701	179	265	22	6	307	93	-2	+0	-0	-3	+8	0.3
2028	24	MLB	CIN	54%	328	301	73	11	2	14	21	70	3	5	2	243	298	432	730	189	268	21	6	312	97	-1	+0	-1	-4	+9	0.4
2029	25	MLB	CIN	55%	346	317	78	11	3	15	23	73	3	5	2	246	303	442	745	196	270	21	7	315	99	-0	+0	-1	-4	+10	0.5
2030	26	MLB	CIN	56%	355	325	80	12	3	15	24	75	3	5	2	246	304	440	744	194	270	21	7	316	100	-0	+0	-1	-4	+10	0.6
2031	27	MLB	CIN	55%	348	318	78	12	2	15	24	74	3	5	2	245	304	437	741	192	270	21	7	316	100	-0	+0	-1	-4	+10	0.6
2032	28	MLB	CIN	55%	343	314	75	11	2	14	23	73	3	5	2	239	297	420	717	182	269	21	7	315	99	-0	+0	-1	-4	+10	0.5
2033	29	MLB	CIN	53%	329	300	73	11	2	14	23	71	3	4	2	243	304	433	737	190	268	22	7	313	97	-1	+0	-1	-4	+9	0.4
2034	30	MLB	CIN	53%	319	291	69	10	2	13	22	70	3	4	1	237	297	419	717	182	267	22	7	310	95	-2	+0	-2	-3	+9	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2769	2537	613	90	19	116	184	593	24	40	16	242	299	429	728	188	270	21	7	312	97	-8	+2	-7	-30	+78	3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	143	21	4	27	43	139	6	9	4	240	298	424	723	185	267	21	7	312	97	-2	+0	-2	-7	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	7563	6999	1663	253	66	260	437	1597	65	153	69	238	289	404	693	166	271	21	6	303	90	-85	+3	-13	-81	+214	3.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	143	22	6	22	38	137	6	13	6	238	290	404	694	166	271	21	6	303	90	-7	+0	-1	-7	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	141	123	37	8	2	3	13	17	3	6	8	301	381	472	853	171	324	12	9	374	144	+7	-2	—	—	+4	0.9
2022	18	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	55	52	14	4	2	0	3	10	0	1	1	269	309	423	732	154	333	18	5	322	104	+0	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	141	131	47	8	6	3	9	10	0	15	5	359	400	580	980	221	370	7	6	423	182	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
2023	19	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	55	51	15	2	1	0	1	10	1	0	1	294	321	373	693	78	349	18	2	300	87	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2023	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	444	410	120	23	9	16	27	84	7	18	5	293	347	510	857	217	335	19	6	375	145	+23	+2	—	—	+13	3.8
2023	19	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	189	179	51	10	4	3	8	29	1	5	3	285	319	436	755	151	327	15	4	331	112	+3	-0	—	—	+5	0.8
2024	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	541	507	139	24	7	12	26	72	2	12	6	274	312	420	732	146	297	13	5	321	104	+2	+0	—	—	+15	1.8
2024	20	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	96	91	23	3	0	1	2	15	0	2	1	253	269	319	587	66	286	16	2	255	54	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	21	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	230	215	56	8	1	7	12	38	2	9	2	260	306	405	710	144	287	17	5	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+7	0.8
2025	21	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	345	312	93	15	3	12	28	48	2	6	5	298	360	481	840	183	318	14	8	368	140	+16	-1	—	—	+10	2.5
2025	21	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	128	113	34	5	3	4	13	13	1	3	2	301	378	504	882	204	309	10	10	385	153	+8	-0	—	—	+4	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#3Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	11	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
	/162	664	19	6	262	304	417	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#4Eddie Rosariolast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,347 PA	10	4,347	169	65	262	298	450	-47	-39	7.0	8.7
	/162	664	26	10	262	298	450	-7.1	-6.0	1.1	pk7: 10
#5Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,791	112	42	239	292	421	-30	-3	4.5	4.4
	/162	664	27	10	239	292	421	-7.1	-0.8	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Eric Karroslast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,197 PA	5	2,197	73	13	255	317	418	-19	-17	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	22	4	255	317	418	-5.7	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Héctor Rodríguez (OGILVIE)	22	40→53	45→47	45→52	20	241/296/437	196	273	29	10	23%	6%	102	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Cedric Mullins 2018 · AA	23	43→53	49→55	50→60	40	223/257/375	152	266	17	14	24%	4%	71	-0.3	220/268/348	128	261	12	19	20%	6%	69	-0.4	250/319/421	170	288	19	27	19%	8%	106	+2.2
●Corey Patterson 2002 · MLB	22	44→54	49→55	52→60	43	226/283/367	141	269	18	14	24%	6%	81	+0.4	259/298/420	161	315	17	20	23%	5%	100	+1.7	265/306/437	171	323	18	24	23%	5%	103	+1.8
✕Fernando Martinez 2011 · MLB	22	45→54	48→50	47→45	40	229/278/370	142	279	15	6	24%	5%	79	+0.3	237/285/382	145	304	16	4	27%	4%	85	+0.7	243/290/390	147	314	17	1	27%	4%	87	+0.5
●Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	51→60	52→55	42	210/269/372	161	268	19	12	29%	7%	76	+0.1	228/295/407	179	286	20	20	27%	8%	95	+1.4	229/301/413	184	286	21	22	27%	9%	97	+1.3
●Jesse Castillo 2006 · AAA	23	46→56	46→45	51→50	43	231/283/365	134	285	14	10	24%	6%	80	+0.4	260/323/349	89	319	5	6	19%	8%	92	+1.2	272/333/394	122	321	13	13	18%	8%	107	+1.8
●Dylan Carlson 2021 · MLB	22	44→54	51→55	49→50	45	226/289/389	163	284	18	12	27%	7%	89	+0.9	244/322/398	154	303	15	6	23%	9%	105	+2.1	244/329/393	150	298	14	4	22%	9%	103	+1.5
●Jesus Romo 2007 · AAA	23	46→56	46→40	46→50	46	228/285/355	127	277	13	13	23%	7%	78	+0.2	225/279/305	80	260	6	12	15%	6%	62	-0.9	289/346/364	74	339	5	8	15%	7%	102	+1.2
●Abraham Toro 2019 · AA	22	39→49	48→50	47→45	44	200/267/344	143	252	15	6	27%	7%	68	-0.5	235/305/386	151	283	16	7	22%	7%	95	+1.4	240/309/396	156	273	17	9	18%	8%	96	+1.1
●Felix Pie 2007 · AAA	22	48→55	47→50	49→60	40	241/281/384	144	307	14	15	26%	5%	84	+0.6	249/294/386	137	308	13	15	23%	6%	89	+1.0	250/303/403	153	303	14	25	22%	6%	95	+0.9
●Willie Calhoun 2017 · AA	22	45→52	54→55	46→40	48	237/288/413	176	247	22	2	16%	6%	95	+1.4	240/288/401	161	255	20	4	15%	6%	92	+1.2	243/295/407	164	256	21	3	15%	6%	93	+1.1
✕Josh Rojas 2018 · AAA	24	42→52	47→50	51→55	43	213/264/345	132	262	15	4	25%	6%	66	-0.6	224/288/357	133	276	12	23	22%	8%	80	+0.4	250/329/393	142	309	13	22	22%	10%	102	+1.8
●Lonnie Chisenhall 2011 · AA	22	45→55	52→55	49→45	43	237/287/400	163	274	20	4	22%	6%	91	+1.1	241/288/391	150	284	16	4	21%	5%	89	+1.0	264/318/425	161	306	17	4	19%	6%	107	+1.6
●Brandon Jones 2007 · AA	23	47→53	48→55	49→50	43	237/287/385	147	294	15	11	25%	6%	86	+0.8	246/298/385	139	312	13	11	24%	7%	91	+1.1	249/305/383	134	313	12	10	23%	7%	91	+1.0
●Josh Kroeger 2006 · MLB	23	43→53	44→50	51→50	38	217/257/336	120	282	12	15	28%	5%	61	-1.0	234/274/373	139	292	15	10	25%	5%	78	+0.2	258/304/411	153	302	18	15	21%	6%	97	+1.3
●Josh VanMeter 2017 · AA	22	42→47	44→55	46→50	46	211/265/324	113	252	13	8	22%	7%	61	-1.0	219/271/343	124	274	12	12	24%	7%	69	-0.4	229/304/413	184	278	20	12	24%	9%	99	+1.3
●Alec Burleson 2022 · AAA	23	44→54	51→55	46→45	41	232/274/382	150	285	21	5	27%	6%	81	+0.4	249/293/396	147	279	18	6	18%	5%	92	+1.2	274/329/441	167	291	21	7	14%	7%	116	+2.4
●Josh Reddick 2010 · MLB	23	43→53	53→60	48→50	42	229/269/402	173	265	20	8	23%	5%	83	+0.6	229/275/418	189	257	23	7	21%	6%	91	+1.1	282/342/440	158	302	17	9	13%	8%	119	+2.7
●Nolan Gorman 2022 · AAA	22	41→43	52→60	49→45	37	220/262/376	156	288	21	6	32%	5%	74	-0.1	223/287/423	200	298	29	7	34%	8%	98	+1.6	213/287/426	213	282	31	7	35%	9%	96	+1.2
✕Hunter Morris 2012 · AA	23	44→48	50→55	49→40	38	229/258/392	164	269	17	7	22%	3%	76	+0.1	217/255/373	156	280	17	4	29%	4%	70	-0.3	208/247/360	152	270	18	2	30%	4%	61	-0.8
●David Lough 2009 · A	23	46→56	46→50	48→50	43	231/273/369	138	263	13	9	18%	4%	76	+0.1	259/298/390	131	300	12	13	18%	4%	92	+1.2	275/314/402	127	317	11	14	16%	4%	99	+1.4