Anthony Huezo
OF Fayetteville Woodpeckers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | A+/ROKHOU | 171 | .160/.284/.319 | 5 | 8 | -1 | — | .093/.189/.185 |
| 2025 | 19 | A/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 366 | .284/.391/.497 | 14 | 21 | 99 | — | .181/.271/.303 |
| 2026 | 20 | A+/AHOU | 490 | .248/.348/.495 | 22 | 46 | 74 | — | .191/.268/.373 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBHOU | 578 | .194/.266/.355 | 18 | 25 | 74 | -0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBHOU | 156 | .202/.276/.372 | 5 | 7 | 80 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 23 | MLBHOU | 245 | .207/.281/.382 | 8 | 11 | 84 | 0.0 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | FCL Astros | — | 51 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 333 | 244 | 577 | 73 | 207 | 22 | 18 | 285 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 29 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 310 | 400 | 710 | 200 | 308 | 38 | 14 | 319 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Astros | — | 142 | 119 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 57 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 151 | 279 | 303 | 581 | 151 | 233 | 40 | 11 | 268 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 91 | 83 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 301 | 363 | 410 | 772 | 108 | 404 | 26 | 9 | 348 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Astros | — | 160 | 130 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 51 | 10 | 12 | 3 | 231 | 369 | 485 | 853 | 254 | 329 | 32 | 12 | 377 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 115 | 97 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 340 | 443 | 588 | 1.031 | 247 | 386 | 18 | 15 | 450 | 191 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 169 | 149 | 37 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 49 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 248 | 337 | 477 | 814 | 228 | 315 | 29 | 11 | 359 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 321 | 271 | 67 | 20 | 4 | 14 | 39 | 96 | 6 | 30 | 10 | 247 | 353 | 506 | 859 | 258 | 321 | 30 | 12 | 371 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 51 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 136 | 255 | 205 | 459 | 68 | 169 | 29 | 12 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 29 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 154 | 241 | 308 | 549 | 154 | 256 | 52 | 10 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 142 | 125 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 82 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 179 | 160 | 339 | 80 | 173 | 58 | 7 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 91 | 86 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 256 | 297 | 326 | 622 | 70 | 403 | 36 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 160 | 138 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 75 | 10 | 12 | 3 | 138 | 256 | 290 | 546 | 152 | 246 | 47 | 8 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 169 | 156 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 64 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 199 | 260 | 385 | 645 | 186 | 281 | 38 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 321 | 284 | 53 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 131 | 6 | 30 | 10 | 187 | 271 | 366 | 637 | 180 | 286 | 41 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 51 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 136 | 255 | 205 | 459 | 68 | 179 | 29 | 12 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | FCL Astros | — | 51 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 333 | 244 | 577 | 73 | 207 | 22 | 18 | 285 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 171 | 152 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 96 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 92 | 183 | 184 | 368 | 92 | 200 | 56 | 7 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 171 | 144 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 68 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 160 | 284 | 319 | 603 | 160 | 247 | 40 | 12 | 277 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 366 | 330 | 61 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 157 | 11 | 21 | 6 | 185 | 265 | 309 | 574 | 124 | 321 | 43 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | 3 teams | — | 366 | 310 | 88 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 44 | 96 | 11 | 21 | 6 | 284 | 391 | 497 | 887 | 213 | 370 | 26 | 12 | 393 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 490 | 440 | 84 | 23 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 195 | 8 | 46 | 12 | 191 | 267 | 373 | 640 | 182 | 289 | 40 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 490 | 420 | 104 | 30 | 4 | 22 | 57 | 145 | 8 | 46 | 12 | 248 | 348 | 495 | 843 | 248 | 319 | 30 | 12 | 367 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros | — | 51 | 44 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 136 | 255 | 205 | 459 | 68 | 169 | 29 | 12 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 171 | 152 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 96 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 92 | 183 | 184 | 368 | 92 | 187 | 56 | 7 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 366 | 327 | 61 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 157 | 11 | 21 | 6 | 187 | 265 | 312 | 577 | 125 | 303 | 43 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 490 | 441 | 84 | 23 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 195 | 8 | 46 | 12 | 190 | 267 | 372 | 639 | 181 | 284 | 40 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 171 | 152 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 96 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 92 | 183 | 184 | 368 | 92 | 187 | 56 | 7 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 366 | 327 | 61 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 157 | 11 | 21 | 6 | 187 | 265 | 312 | 577 | 125 | 303 | 43 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 490 | 441 | 84 | 23 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 195 | 8 | 46 | 12 | 190 | 267 | 372 | 639 | 181 | 284 | 40 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | HOU | 0% | 578 | 521 | 102 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 44 | 206 | 8 | 25 | 7 | 194 | 266 | 355 | 621 | 161 | 275 | 36 | 8 | 277 | 74 | -18 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +13 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | HOU | 34% | 455 | 411 | 82 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 157 | 6 | 20 | 5 | 200 | 274 | 370 | 644 | 170 | 276 | 35 | 8 | 286 | 80 | -11 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | HOU | 48% | 506 | 454 | 93 | 20 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 170 | 7 | 23 | 6 | 205 | 279 | 380 | 660 | 176 | 278 | 34 | 8 | 293 | 84 | -9 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | HOU | 53% | 552 | 495 | 103 | 22 | 3 | 20 | 44 | 181 | 8 | 25 | 7 | 209 | 283 | 387 | 670 | 178 | 280 | 33 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -8 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | HOU | 55% | 576 | 517 | 110 | 23 | 4 | 21 | 46 | 186 | 8 | 26 | 7 | 211 | 286 | 390 | 676 | 179 | 280 | 32 | 8 | 300 | 89 | -8 | +2 | -0 | -3 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | HOU | 56% | 589 | 528 | 113 | 24 | 4 | 21 | 48 | 187 | 8 | 26 | 7 | 213 | 288 | 391 | 678 | 178 | 281 | 32 | 8 | 301 | 90 | -7 | +2 | -0 | -4 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | HOU | 55% | 589 | 528 | 112 | 24 | 3 | 21 | 48 | 188 | 8 | 26 | 7 | 212 | 287 | 388 | 675 | 176 | 280 | 32 | 8 | 299 | 89 | -8 | +2 | -0 | -4 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | HOU | 55% | 580 | 521 | 108 | 23 | 3 | 20 | 47 | 186 | 7 | 23 | 6 | 210 | 285 | 383 | 668 | 174 | 279 | 32 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -9 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +13 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | HOU | 53% | 564 | 506 | 104 | 22 | 3 | 19 | 46 | 183 | 7 | 19 | 5 | 207 | 282 | 377 | 659 | 170 | 277 | 32 | 8 | 293 | 84 | -10 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +12 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | HOU | 53% | 551 | 495 | 102 | 22 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 180 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 204 | 278 | 369 | 647 | 165 | 275 | 33 | 8 | 288 | 81 | -12 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +12 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | HOU | 34% | 156 | 141 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 54 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 202 | 276 | 372 | 648 | 170 | 281 | 35 | 8 | 288 | 80 | -4 | +1 | -0 | -1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | HOU | 48% | 245 | 221 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 82 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 207 | 281 | 382 | 663 | 175 | 283 | 33 | 8 | 294 | 84 | -5 | +1 | -0 | -1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | HOU | 53% | 291 | 262 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 95 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 211 | 285 | 389 | 674 | 178 | 285 | 33 | 8 | 299 | 87 | -4 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | HOU | 55% | 315 | 283 | 60 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 102 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 213 | 288 | 392 | 680 | 178 | 285 | 32 | 8 | 301 | 89 | -4 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | HOU | 56% | 328 | 294 | 63 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 104 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 215 | 290 | 392 | 682 | 178 | 286 | 32 | 8 | 302 | 90 | -4 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | HOU | 55% | 324 | 291 | 62 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 103 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 214 | 289 | 390 | 678 | 176 | 285 | 32 | 8 | 301 | 89 | -4 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | HOU | 55% | 317 | 284 | 60 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 102 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 212 | 287 | 385 | 672 | 173 | 284 | 32 | 8 | 298 | 87 | -5 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | HOU | 53% | 301 | 270 | 57 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 97 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 209 | 284 | 379 | 662 | 169 | 282 | 32 | 8 | 295 | 84 | -6 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | HOU | 53% | 290 | 261 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 95 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 206 | 280 | 371 | 651 | 165 | 280 | 33 | 8 | 290 | 81 | -6 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +6 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2567 | 2307 | 485 | 108 | 17 | 86 | 205 | 834 | 33 | 104 | 28 | 210 | 284 | 384 | 668 | 173 | 285 | 32 | 8 | 297 | 80 | -42 | +10 | -4 | -15 | +56 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 122 | 27 | 4 | 22 | 52 | 211 | 8 | 26 | 7 | 209 | 283 | 382 | 664 | 173 | 282 | 32 | 8 | 297 | 80 | -11 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6250 | 5610 | 1129 | 241 | 38 | 209 | 495 | 2156 | 94 | 288 | 77 | 201 | 277 | 370 | 647 | 168 | 281 | 34 | 8 | 286 | 80 | -90 | +20 | -8 | -31 | +112 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 118 | 25 | 4 | 22 | 51 | 224 | 10 | 30 | 8 | 202 | 278 | 372 | 650 | 170 | 282 | 34 | 8 | 286 | 80 | -11 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +14 | 0.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 321 PAwOBA .366 → .281 (−85)K% 29.9% → 40.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 40.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.87% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.015 | 15.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.015 | 9.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×1.015 | 2.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 6.50% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .366 → .281; ISO .258 → .196; BABIP .321 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Asheville Tourists · 169 PAwOBA .350 → .273 (−77)K% 29.0% → 38.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.99% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 37.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 6.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.044 | ×1.027 | 17.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.044 | ×1.027 | 8.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.044 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 7.23% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .350 → .273; ISO .228 → .186; BABIP .315 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Astros · 160 PAwOBA .368 → .235 (−132)K% 31.9% → 46.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.87% | ÷0.984 | ×1.440 | — | — | 46.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.88% | ÷0.992 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 7.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 4.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.19% | ÷0.956 | ×0.820 | ×0.968 | ×0.995 | 12.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.39% | ÷0.982 | ×0.720 | ×0.968 | ×0.995 | 8.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.80% | ÷1.030 | ×0.720 | ×0.968 | ×0.995 | 2.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.59% | ÷1.023 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 5.76% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 96, 3B 106, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .368 → .235; ISO .254 → .155; BABIP .329 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 91 PAwOBA .339 → .283 (−55)K% 26.4% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.37% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.79% | ÷1.072 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 5.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.59% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×1.044 | ×1.030 | 35.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.035 | ×0.830 | ×1.044 | ×1.030 | 1.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷0.953 | ×0.910 | ×1.044 | ×1.030 | 1.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.39% | ÷1.005 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.78% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 91, K 99, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .339 → .283; ISO .108 → .085; BABIP .404 → .403. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Astros · 142 PAwOBA .265 → .156 (−109)K% 40.1% → 57.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.14% | ÷1.006 | ×1.440 | — | — | 57.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.27% | ÷1.033 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.52% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.52% | ÷0.984 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 11.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 4.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷0.936 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 1.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.111 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 4.56% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 87, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .265 → .156; ISO .151 → .081; BABIP .233 → .173. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Asheville Tourists · 29 PAwOBA .311 → .215 (−96)K% 37.9% → 50.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.93% | ÷0.991 | ×1.310 | — | — | 50.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.79% | ÷0.977 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.050 | 8.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.988 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 13.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.079 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 10.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.073 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.050 | 6.15% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 100, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .311 → .215; ISO .200 → .139; BABIP .308 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Astros · 51 PAwOBA .279 → .194 (−85)K% 21.6% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.57% | ÷1.058 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.007 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 11.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.96% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.022 | 16.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.939 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.379 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 1.93% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 176, 1B 103, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 112, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .279 → .194; ISO .073 → .042; BABIP .207 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .