Kelvin AlcantaraOF
ACL Mariners
Age 20
L/L
6'0" / 165 lbs
ROK
HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.0 · 2032
wRC+†79
AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .290 / .345
PA205
HR5
K%26
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
30→30
SPD
40→40
EYE
48↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.9peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.0 | $19M | +$18M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.0 | $20M | +$19M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.8 | $18M | +$17M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.6 | $17M | +$14M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.4 | $15M | +$10M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.1 | $12M | +$7M |
| Totals | $16M | $101M | +$85M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 146 | 127 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .205 | .303 | .276 | .579 | .071 | .263 | 22 | 12 | .263 | 59 | -7 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 194 | 173 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 67 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .220 | .293 | .335 | .628 | .116 | .324 | 35 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 235 | 208 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 65 | 7 | 3 | 0 | .197 | .280 | .303 | .583 | .106 | .261 | 28 | 7 | .253 | 52 | -13 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +7 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | SEA | 205 | 185 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .227 | .296 | .362 | .658 | .135 | .286 | 26 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | SEA | 276 | 247 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 70 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .227 | .303 | .364 | .667 | .138 | .287 | 25 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | SEA | 384 | 341 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 93 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .235 | .315 | .387 | .702 | .152 | .288 | 24 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | SEA | 456 | 404 | 96 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 43 | 108 | 6 | 7 | 2 | .238 | .320 | .396 | .716 | .158 | .289 | 24 | 9 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | SEA | 503 | 444 | 108 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 48 | 118 | 6 | 8 | 2 | .243 | .325 | .410 | .735 | .167 | .289 | 23 | 10 | .323 | 106 | +3 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | SEA | 530 | 466 | 113 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 52 | 123 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .242 | .328 | .410 | .737 | .167 | .290 | 23 | 10 | .327 | 108 | +5 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 94% | SEA | 544 | 477 | 116 | 22 | 3 | 17 | 55 | 126 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .243 | .330 | .409 | .739 | .166 | .290 | 23 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +6 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 2.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 549 | 481 | 117 | 22 | 3 | 18 | 56 | 128 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .243 | .331 | .414 | .745 | .170 | .290 | 23 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +6 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.0 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 547 | 479 | 115 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 56 | 129 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .240 | .328 | .403 | .731 | .163 | .290 | 24 | 10 | .327 | 109 | +5 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 539 | 472 | 113 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 55 | 128 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .239 | .328 | .405 | .732 | .165 | .289 | 24 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 530 | 464 | 109 | 20 | 2 | 16 | 55 | 128 | 6 | 6 | 0 | .235 | .324 | .390 | .714 | .155 | .288 | 24 | 10 | .322 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +15 | 1.4 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 516 | 452 | 105 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 53 | 127 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .232 | .321 | .385 | .706 | .153 | .286 | 25 | 10 | .318 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +15 | 1.1 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 498 | 438 | 99 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 51 | 125 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .226 | .315 | .372 | .687 | .146 | .285 | 25 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +14 | 0.7 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 469 | 413 | 93 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 121 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .225 | .313 | .370 | .684 | .145 | .283 | 26 | 10 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 422 | 371 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 112 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .221 | .310 | .361 | .671 | .140 | .281 | 27 | 10 | .301 | 89 | -5 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +12 | -0.0 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 369 | 325 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 102 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .215 | .303 | .348 | .651 | .132 | .279 | 28 | 10 | .293 | 83 | -7 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +10 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7912 | 6967 | 1619 | 297 | 40 | 226 | 777 | 1956 | 99 | 94 | 13 | .232 | .318 | .384 | .702 | .151 | .288 | 25 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -18 | +14 | -25 | -47 | +224 | 15.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 572 | 133 | 24 | 3 | 19 | 64 | 161 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .233 | .318 | .385 | .703 | .152 | .288 | 25 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -2 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 1.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 146 | 115 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .261 | .414 | .357 | .770 | .096 | .315 | 16 | 20 | .358 | 132 | +5 | -1 | — | — | +4 | 0.9 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 194 | 164 | 47 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 45 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .287 | .387 | .433 | .820 | .146 | .364 | 23 | 13 | .364 | 136 | +8 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 1.4 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 235 | 198 | 51 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 45 | 7 | 3 | 0 | .258 | .366 | .394 | .760 | .136 | .309 | 19 | 11 | .342 | 120 | +5 | +1 | — | — | +7 | 1.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Kelvin Alcantara (OGILVIE) | 20 | 40 | 30 | 40 | 40 | .220/.290/.345 | .126 | .286 | 5 | 3 | 26% | 8% | 79 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jose Quero 2018 · A |
19 | 43 | 40 | 44→30 | 44 | .212/.272/.297 | .086 | .272 | 8 | 3 | 25% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .195/.254/.291 | .096 | .250 | 9 | 4 | 25% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .196/.247/.344 | .148 | .225 | 15 | 4 | 21% | 6% | 63 | -0.2 |
|
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A |
20 | 45→47 | 41→45 | 46→55 | 51 | .216/.301/.314 | .097 | .294 | 9 | 7 | 28% | 10% | 74 | -0.1 | .227/.294/.343 | .116 | .313 | 11 | 10 | 29% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .228/.299/.352 | .124 | .336 | 11 | 21 | 33% | 9% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Leopoldo Correa 2012 · A |
20 | 44 | 41→45 | 40→30 | 48 | .215/.280/.316 | .100 | .258 | 8 | 3 | 20% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .209/.264/.290 | .081 | .271 | 5 | 3 | 24% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .185/.234/.237 | .052 | .251 | 2 | 1 | 26% | 5% | 21 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jose Roman 2011 · A |
20 | 45 | 40 | 46→45 | 45 | .215/.275/.308 | .093 | .293 | 6 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .231/.290/.327 | .096 | .288 | 7 | 6 | 21% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .249/.309/.344 | .095 | .292 | 8 | 6 | 17% | 8% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A |
20 | 42 | 44→50 | 47→50 | 42 | .203/.279/.327 | .124 | .304 | 10 | 9 | 34% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .188/.266/.293 | .105 | .307 | 9 | 8 | 39% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .155/.246/.249 | .095 | .261 | 8 | 8 | 40% | 9% | 34 | -0.7 |
|
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A |
20 | 40 | 43→45 | 43→50 | 47 | .193/.290/.298 | .105 | .281 | 11 | 10 | 32% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .182/.264/.285 | .103 | .284 | 10 | 6 | 37% | 8% | 52 | -1.6 | .153/.236/.254 | .101 | .237 | 11 | 2 | 38% | 9% | 32 | -0.9 |
|
✕Greg Garcia 2011 · A |
21 | 46→53 | 40 | 45→50 | 43 | .222/.277/.317 | .095 | .275 | 7 | 8 | 22% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .237/.310/.330 | .093 | .300 | 5 | 9 | 21% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .241/.350/.334 | .093 | .308 | 6 | 3 | 21% | 13% | 99 | +0.8 |
|
✕Dario Unda 2016 · A |
20 | 46 | 40→45 | 42→45 | 44 | .219/.275/.322 | .102 | .282 | 6 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.277/.335 | .111 | .281 | 9 | 7 | 23% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .224/.275/.343 | .119 | .274 | 11 | 7 | 22% | 6% | 68 | -0.1 |
|
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A |
19 | 44 | 41→45 | 45 | 43 | .210/.282/.319 | .109 | .281 | 7 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .197/.255/.304 | .107 | .262 | 9 | 6 | 27% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .132/.175/.242 | .109 | .157 | 14 | 3 | 27% | 3% | 1 | -1.4 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A |
19 | 42 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .205/.277/.309 | .104 | .271 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.284/.326 | .102 | .290 | 5 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.280/.337 | .111 | .291 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Nelson B Alvarez 2016 · A |
20 | 44 | 40 | 46→40 | 48 | .209/.287/.305 | .096 | .294 | 7 | 5 | 29% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.273/.267 | .075 | .264 | 5 | 4 | 27% | 9% | 51 | -1.7 | .153/.246/.204 | .051 | .208 | 4 | 4 | 26% | 10% | 23 | -1.1 |
|
✕Austin Gallagher 2009 · A |
20 | 47→49 | 42→45 | 38→30 | 42 | .227/.272/.336 | .108 | .300 | 8 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .230/.279/.331 | .101 | .295 | 8 | 2 | 24% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .234/.299/.360 | .125 | .290 | 14 | 1 | 23% | 8% | 82 | +0.4 |
|
✕Nahum Hernandez 2010 · A |
20 | 41 | 40→45 | 44→50 | 41 | .201/.263/.286 | .086 | .274 | 7 | 5 | 28% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .238/.309/.343 | .105 | .312 | 8 | 9 | 25% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .294/.375/.424 | .129 | .362 | 9 | 15 | 19% | 9% | 127 | +1.2 |
|
✕Cornelius Randolph 2018 · A |
21 | 45→47 | 41→40 | 45 | 43 | .213/.281/.315 | .102 | .301 | 8 | 7 | 30% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .214/.275/.306 | .092 | .302 | 8 | 7 | 30% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .207/.268/.296 | .089 | .292 | 9 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 52 | -0.9 |
|
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A |
19 | 42→40 | 41→50 | 46→40 | 44 | .207/.262/.297 | .091 | .272 | 9 | 9 | 27% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .205/.256/.301 | .096 | .278 | 8 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .210/.263/.325 | .115 | .276 | 10 | 3 | 27% | 6% | 59 | -0.6 |
|
✕Wilmer Oberto 2013 · A |
20 | 41 | 42→50 | 42→45 | 46 | .202/.278/.303 | .101 | .257 | 9 | 7 | 24% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .207/.266/.321 | .114 | .276 | 11 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .196/.243/.315 | .119 | .264 | 12 | 0 | 30% | 5% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A |
20 | 41→50 | 41→45 | 47→55 | 46 | .198/.271/.297 | .099 | .267 | 8 | 10 | 28% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .198/.270/.283 | .085 | .271 | 5 | 16 | 27% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .229/.318/.327 | .099 | .300 | 9 | 17 | 24% | 11% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Joe Dickerson 2007 · A |
20 | 42→52 | 43→40 | 45→55 | 43 | .208/.256/.322 | .113 | .256 | 9 | 9 | 23% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .236/.287/.327 | .091 | .294 | 6 | 16 | 20% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .248/.303/.333 | .086 | .306 | 4 | 21 | 19% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
●Chris Parmelee 2008 · A |
20 | 39→49 | 46→50 | 45 | 39 | .197/.254/.326 | .129 | .287 | 14 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .208/.282/.349 | .141 | .290 | 15 | 4 | 32% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .250/.315/.397 | .146 | .295 | 16 | 1 | 20% | 8% | 100 | +1.7 |
|
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A |
20 | 43→48 | 42→50 | 44→50 | 43 | .213/.265/.313 | .100 | .276 | 10 | 6 | 26% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .231/.289/.361 | .130 | .314 | 13 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .230/.292/.378 | .148 | .312 | 16 | 11 | 30% | 7% | 83 | +0.4 |