Gabriel Moncada1B Modesto Nuts
Age 24 L/L 6'2" / 215 lbs A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 176 proj PA
wRC+†34
AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .238 / .261
PA176
HR2
K%33
BB%7
ISO86
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -13.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: -0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -3.1 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +5.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -1.10-1.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-1.1-1.22627
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201917 ROKDSL Mariners — 153144 24400 7421 12 167211194405 28233 275 185 0 — — — — — —
201917 ROKDSL Mariners — 153138 33600 13291 12 239309283592 43300 198 274 68 — — — — — —
202119 ROKDSL Mariners — 206174 44823 22679 25 253366374739 121390 3311 322 105 — — — — — —
202119 ROKDSL Mariners — 206159 571624 37469 25 3585025601.062 201482 2218 467 215 — — — — — —
202220 ROK2 teams — 226205 35624 17763 42 171244278522 107246 348 235 38 — — — — — —
202220 ROK2 teams — 226194 481025 28523 42 247351397748 149312 2312 337 116 — — — — — —
202321 AModesto Nuts — 424378 8318114 351437 11 220298384681 164307 348 292 82 — — — — — —
202321 AModesto Nuts — 424362 9325112 511127 11 257360431790 174335 2612 352 127 — — — — — —
202422 A+Everett AquaSox — 266241 33901 201004 11 137215187402 50227 388 189 3 — — — — — —
202422 A+Everett AquaSox — 266223 451402 38724 11 202328291620 90287 2714 293 82 — — — — — —
202523 AModesto Nuts — 228214 34712 12830 01 159204229433 70244 365 189 3 — — — — — —
202523 AModesto Nuts — 228209 421111 17680 01 201261278539 77289 307 245 46 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202624 MLBSEA — 176161 28602 12591 11 174236248484 75259 347 230 34 -13 -0 +0 -3 +5 -1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBSEA 30% 233213 41914 16752 21 192255300556 108263 327 244 45 -15 +0 +0 -4 +7 -1.2
202725 MLBSEA 30% 7064 12301 5221 10 188257281538 94261 317 236 39 -5 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 7064 12301 5221 10 188257281538 94268 317 236 39 -5 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.4
/ 162G— — 650594 1112809 462049 90 187255279535 93268 317 236 39 -45 +2 +0 -12 +18 -3.7
Career— — 19121730 32267730 14164527 1214 186258285543 99274 347 242 43 -123 -3 +0 -34 +54 -10.8
/ 162G— — 650588 10923210 482199 45 185257282540 97273 347 242 43 -42 -1 +0 -12 +18 -3.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201917 ROKDSL Mariners — 153138 33600 13291 12 239309283592 43300 198 274 68 -6 -1 — — +4 -0.2
202119 ROKDSL Mariners — 206159 571624 37469 25 3585025601.062 201482 2218 467 215 +27 -2 — — +6 3.2
202220 AModesto Nuts — 9178 12202 11282 00 154275256531 103208 3112 254 53 -5 +0 — — +3 -0.2
202220 ROKACL Mariners — 135116 36823 17241 42 310403491894 181367 1813 394 159 +9 +0 — — +4 1.3
202321 AModesto Nuts — 424362 9325112 511127 11 257360431790 174335 2612 352 127 +13 -0 — — +12 2.5
202422 A+Everett AquaSox — 266223 451402 38724 11 202328291620 90287 2714 293 82 -5 -0 — — +8 0.2
202523 AModesto Nuts — 228209 421111 17680 01 201261278539 77289 307 245 46 -14 -0 — — +6 -0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#2Juan Castrolast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA
112,352344237273341+10+211.02.7
/162664101+3.0+5.80.3pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
124632181241271-4-2-1.5-0.7
/16266494-11.9-4.0-3.9pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Gabriel Moncada (OGILVIE) 24 25 25 40 30 176/238/261 86259 21 33% 7% 34 -0.8 ————————— —————————
✕Brandon Dulin
2017 · A 		24 40→30 43→45 46→40 35 203/245/307 105286 114 33% 4% 48 -1.9 202/258/338 136287 173 35% 5% 63 -0.8 176/240/32815223523036%6%50-1.3
✕Ryan Kirby
2019 · A 		24 38→34 44→45 45→40 36 187/250/304 117288 114 37% 6% 50 -1.7 190/249/306 116332 127 43% 6% 50 -1.7 90/150/1889819715761%6%-23-1.3
✕Jameson Fisher
2018 · A 		24 41→36 41→45 44→45 42 201/268/303 102282 87 30% 7% 58 -1.2 185/257/277 92287 86 35% 8% 46 -2.0 185/252/28510027810435%7%45-1.5
✕Michael Harrington
2010 · A 		24 38→34 41→45 45→40 39 189/237/289 101266 83 32% 6% 40 -2.4 191/242/275 84287 65 33% 6% 39 -2.5 149/205/195452343035%6%0-1.6
✕Scott Hurst
2021 · AA 		25 41→31 40 44→50 41 200/257/288 88290 86 32% 7% 48 -1.9 201/267/295 94294 915 32% 8% 55 -1.4 197/269/29093279101731%8%51-0.9
✕Michael Johnson
2013 · A 		24 39 38→40 41→40 41 188/249/266 79281 44 33% 7% 40 -2.4 214/282/284 70309 46 29% 8% 58 -1.2 251/330/318673533727%10%84+0.3
✕Michael Ferris
2007 · A 		24 36→35 44→45 38→30 45 184/256/298 114252 122 31% 8% 52 -1.6 198/262/303 105285 105 32% 8% 55 -1.4 184/245/2789425610331%8%40-1.2
✕Ross Adolph
2021 · A 		24 40→32 40 45→50 40 183/270/277 93321 89 41% 8% 53 -1.5 199/291/318 119355 1210 43% 8% 72 -0.2 183/288/300118335121144%9%64-0.3
✕Tim Morris
2011 · A 		23 40→41 40 46→50 38 194/256/282 88282 83 33% 6% 47 -1.9 205/259/296 91293 712 31% 6% 51 -1.7 197/249/2808327761730%5%40-1.6
✕Chris Serritella
2014 · A 		24 40→37 40→45 47→30 35 195/234/281 86292 73 35% 5% 37 -2.7 196/248/297 101292 94 34% 6% 47 -1.9 170/229/27610624611034%7%33-1.6
✕Jesse Bosnik
2012 · A 		24 40→39 42→40 41→45 38 199/245/305 106274 104 31% 5% 48 -1.9 204/243/301 97264 912 26% 4% 45 -2.1 193/226/2768423791723%4%29-2.1
✕Matt Winaker
2021 · A 		25 37→38 41→45 46→45 42 183/263/283 100256 87 30% 7% 52 -1.6 195/287/282 87269 76 28% 8% 62 -0.9 175/279/254792407327%9%50-0.7
✕Steve Laurino
2017 · A 		24 36 39→30 43→30 41 180/237/259 79249 73 30% 6% 33 -2.9 190/242/275 85290 85 35% 6% 39 -2.5 150/196/208582506041%4%-1-1.5
✕Logan Moore
2015 · AA 		24 38 38→40 40→30 40 187/239/267 80265 53 30% 6% 35 -2.8 202/248/296 94280 93 30% 6% 46 -2.0 190/236/2829226410031%6%35-1.1
✕Jordan Pearce
2019 · A 		23 38→34 39→40 46→40 47 189/260/270 81253 83 28% 9% 46 -2.0 194/278/278 84265 75 27% 9% 56 -1.3 170/274/238682316326%10%43-1.4
✕Sean Dwyer
2015 · A 		23 38 38→30 42→40 46 183/254/257 74259 55 30% 9% 40 -2.4 186/258/256 70291 57 34% 9% 41 -2.3 139/222/170312382539%9%4-1.6
✕Aaron Dudley
2012 · A 		24 44 40 44→40 37 213/261/301 88310 86 33% 5% 53 -1.5 208/263/305 97275 96 26% 6% 56 -1.3 203/256/288852686326%6%46-0.9
✕Jared Carr
2023 · A 		24 41→36 37→40 47→55 40 192/262/263 71298 514 35% 7% 45 -2.1 200/268/284 84309 617 34% 8% 53 -1.5 188/260/2708229172435%8%43-1.4
✕Gabe Snyder
2019 · A 		24 42→35 39→50 43→40 42 203/265/289 85285 76 30% 6% 53 -1.5 201/268/335 134283 155 33% 7% 66 -0.6 186/259/33715125418433%8%60-0.6
✕Garrison Schwartz
2021 · AA 		25 40 38→40 44→45 38 188/250/263 75302 67 38% 7% 40 -2.4 179/266/261 82400 611 51% 9% 47 -1.9 44/182/743016331465%11%-32-1.4