Chase LuttrellOF Beloit Sky Carp
Age 26 L/L 6'0" / 200 lbs A+ HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA
wRC+†41
AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .235 / .287
PA77
HR2
K%33
BB%7
ISO122
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +2.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.42627
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202222 AJupiter Hammerheads 9084 9101 5430 00 107157155312 48195 486 143 -32
202222 AJupiter Hammerheads 9083 13201 6280 00 157213217430 60218 317 199 10
202323 A2 teams 381347 691717 211033 87 199251314565 115257 276 241 43
202323 A2 teams 381338 762017 30783 87 225294352646 127268 208 285 76
202424 A+Beloit Sky Carp 152140 21713 8672 21 150207279485 129254 445 212 20
202424 A+Beloit Sky Carp 152137 28914 11512 21 204273372646 168289 347 285 76
▸ 2026 Season
202626 MLBMIA 7770 11202 6251 10 157234271505 114228 328 239 41 -5 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727 MLBMIA 26% 117106 19403 9371 21 179250302552 123235 328 247 48 -7 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
202727 MLBMIA 26% 3028 5101 2100 00 179233321555 143231 337 236 39 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 3028 5101 2100 00 179233321555 143235 337 236 39 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G 650607 10922022 432170 00 180234325558 145236 337 236 39 -45 +0 +0 -4 +18 -3.1
Career 817747 12931216 492757 139 173230284514 111244 346 226 31 -64 -1 +0 -5 +23 -4.8
/ 162G 650594 10425213 392196 107 175234290523 114247 346 226 31 -51 -1 +0 -4 +18 -3.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202222 AJupiter Hammerheads 9083 13201 6280 00 157213217430 60218 317 199 10 -9 +0 +3 -0.7
202323 A+Beloit Sky Carp 7063 9400 3141 00 143194206400 63180 204 178 -5 -8 +0 +2 -0.6
202323 AJupiter Hammerheads 311275 671617 27642 87 244316385701 142290 219 309 94 -2 -1 +9 0.6
202424 A+Beloit Sky Carp 152137 28914 11512 21 204273372646 168289 347 285 76 -4 +0 +4 0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Chase Luttrell (OGILVIE) 26 167/235/287 121228 21 33% 7% 41 -0.3
Connor Hoover
2023 · AA
27 34→29 46→50 50 43 180/253/311 131257 1412 35% 8% 54 -1.4 199/273/346 147278 1812 33% 8% 72 -0.2 173/257/338165221241234%9%60-0.5
Mark Contreras
2021 · AA
26 36→37 44→50 47→55 38 184/248/300 115271 1213 35% 6% 49 -1.8 201/261/346 145293 1719 36% 6% 66 -0.6 197/258/338141284182436%6%60-0.8
Jake Lowery
2016 · AA
26 35 45 47→30 43 183/250/307 124260 134 34% 8% 51 -1.7 187/258/294 107293 105 37% 8% 51 -1.7 118/199/170522533050%9%-6-1.3
Parker Bates
2023 · A
25 38 45→50 50 41 195/259/317 123270 1212 31% 6% 58 -1.2 191/252/273 82267 712 29% 7% 43 -2.2 164/226/2084522841228%6%13-2.3
Camden Duzenack
2021 · AA
26 35→37 45→50 48→50 39 184/243/301 118247 1410 31% 6% 47 -1.9 204/251/338 134276 1610 31% 5% 59 -1.1 203/253/332129265151029%5%56-0.7
Kyle Martin
2018 · AA
25 34→38 48→50 44→40 39 184/242/319 135248 164 33% 6% 51 -1.7 180/241/293 113257 125 33% 7% 43 -2.2 149/218/26411521613136%7%27-2.0
Craig Dedelow
2021 · A
26 36→34 44→50 42→45 34 186/229/300 114273 114 36% 4% 40 -2.4 178/244/320 142309 179 45% 7% 53 -1.5 157/230/30414727418947%8%41-1.9
Jerry Downs
2019 · A
25 37→30 46→45 42→40 38 191/268/312 122256 144 30% 5% 62 -0.9 177/247/271 94265 95 35% 6% 41 -2.3 113/183/167541874039%5%-15-2.7
Gabe Snyder
2021 · A
26 40→35 47→50 46→40 41 204/267/335 131282 155 32% 7% 66 -0.6 212/284/358 146304 158 33% 8% 79 +0.3 176/267/35417823919734%10%68-0.1
Aaron Shackelford
2022 · A
25 33→31 47→50 50→45 34 177/231/306 129273 155 40% 5% 43 -2.2 184/246/331 147280 189 39% 6% 56 -1.3 172/241/322150253191039%7%49-1.3
Jake Means
2022 · A
26 35→31 47→45 49→45 45 184/268/318 135269 146 36% 10% 63 -0.9 179/252/309 130257 169 35% 8% 53 -1.5 156/231/282125215171035%8%34-1.6
Julian Escobedo
2023 · AA
25 37→34 41→40 48→50 40 186/251/287 100259 914 31% 6% 46 -2.0 205/270/324 119291 1114 32% 7% 64 -0.8 182/254/327145270142036%6%54-0.3
Evan Skoug
2022 · A
26 32 46→45 45→40 39 173/245/301 128266 155 39% 8% 48 -1.9 192/276/330 138293 155 37% 8% 69 -0.4 166/263/31014325216238%9%57-0.4
Grae Kessinger
2023 · AA
25 33→28 45 49→50 42 177/246/290 113244 1418 33% 7% 46 -2.0 206/279/324 118280 1312 29% 9% 68 -0.5 189/267/30011124911727%9%56-0.5
Seth Fortenberry
2010 · AA
26 37→43 43→45 51→50 42 184/258/300 116276 1110 36% 8% 53 -1.5 191/255/292 101310 79 38% 7% 49 -1.8 158/216/249912980444%7%17-0.7
Matt Winaker
2021 · A
25 37→38 41→45 46→45 42 183/263/283 100256 87 30% 7% 52 -1.6 195/287/282 87269 76 28% 8% 62 -0.9 175/279/254792407327%9%50-0.7
Rhett Wiseman
2019 · A
25 37→46 46→50 46→45 40 192/250/320 129265 147 33% 6% 55 -1.4 186/241/318 132295 157 40% 6% 50 -1.7 162/213/28412227015544%5%28-1.9
Sharif Othman
2015 · A
26 35 44→40 48→30 39 183/234/292 109251 125 32% 6% 40 -2.4 192/235/275 83279 83 33% 5% 35 -2.8 181/219/257762608133%4%21-1.4
Mike Salvatore
2023 · A
26 31 41→40 49→45 40 165/225/253 88235 95 33% 7% 26 -3.4 191/259/280 89260 88 28% 8% 48 -1.9 174/253/251762286725%9%34-1.1
Conor Bierfeldt
2016 · A
25 33→30 45→50 46→30 40 175/234/303 128243 123 33% 6% 43 -2.2 198/254/344 146267 164 31% 6% 63 -0.9 183/237/35016722822131%6%53-0.8