Jaider Suárez

SS DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#574ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	177	.379/.508/.564	2	30	101	—	.252/.362/.364
2027PROJMLE	18	MLB—	287	.220/.300/.312	2	11	75	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	50	.225/.306/.325	1	2	80	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	123	.228/.310/.337	2	5	85	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA98

wRC+97

Speed96

Z-Con%85

Whiff%84

ISO79

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%

CompsEduardo Quintero (age 18) · Ricky Cabrera (age 19) · Adrian Pinto (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 92 proj PA

wRC+75

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .298 / .309

PA92

HR1

K%24

BB%9

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$47M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-1	$5M	+1.2	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-2	$7M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$9M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$15M		$26M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	177	140	53	6	7	2	35	29	2	30	4	379	508	564	1.073	186	468	16	20	471	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	177	151	38	4	5	1	24	35	2	30	4	252	362	364	726	113	314	20	14	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	177	151	38	4	5	1	24	35	2	30	4	252	362	364	726	113	322	20	14	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	177	140	53	6	7	2	35	29	2	30	4	379	508	564	1.073	186	468	16	20	471	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	177	149	38	4	5	1	24	35	2	30	4	255	362	369	731	114	314	20	14	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	177	149	38	4	5	1	24	35	2	30	4	255	362	369	731	114	314	20	14	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	287	256	56	8	4	2	27	69	2	11	1	220	300	312	612	92	289	24	9	279	75	-8	+2	+0	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	145	129	29	4	2	2	13	34	2	6	1	225	306	325	631	101	292	23	9	287	80	-3	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	253	224	51	7	4	3	24	59	3	10	2	228	310	337	647	109	293	23	9	293	85	-5	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	372	329	77	11	5	6	35	87	5	15	2	231	313	348	661	116	294	23	9	299	88	-5	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	456	405	95	14	6	8	42	106	6	18	3	234	315	356	672	122	295	23	9	303	91	-5	+2	+0	+5	+10	1.3
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	511	453	107	16	7	9	47	118	6	20	3	236	317	364	681	127	296	23	9	306	93	-4	+3	+0	+5	+11	1.6
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	550	487	116	17	7	11	51	127	7	22	4	238	318	368	686	130	297	23	9	308	95	-3	+3	+0	+6	+12	1.8
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	573	508	121	18	8	11	53	132	7	22	4	238	319	370	689	132	297	23	9	310	96	-3	+3	+0	+6	+12	1.9
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	589	522	125	18	8	12	55	136	7	23	4	238	319	372	691	134	296	23	9	310	96	-3	+3	+0	+6	+13	2.0
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	60%	589	522	124	18	8	12	55	136	7	23	4	237	318	369	688	132	296	23	9	309	95	-3	+3	+0	+6	+13	1.9
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	62%	582	516	122	18	8	11	54	136	7	22	4	236	316	365	681	129	295	23	9	306	93	-5	+3	-1	+6	+13	1.7
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	63%	565	502	117	17	7	11	52	134	6	21	4	233	314	359	673	126	294	24	9	303	91	-6	+3	-1	+6	+12	1.4
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	63%	551	489	113	16	7	10	51	132	6	20	4	230	310	352	662	121	293	24	9	299	88	-8	+2	-2	+6	+12	1.1
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	65%	533	473	108	15	7	9	49	130	6	18	4	226	306	342	648	116	290	24	9	293	84	-10	+2	-3	+6	+12	0.7
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	65%	511	455	101	14	6	8	46	127	5	17	4	221	300	330	630	109	287	25	9	286	79	-13	+2	-4	+5	+11	0.2
2042	33	MLB MLE	—	65%	475	426	91	12	6	6	42	121	4	16	5	216	293	317	609	101	282	25	9	277	74	-15	+1	-4	+5	+10	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	50	44	10	1	1	1	5	12	1	2	0	225	306	325	631	101	292	24	10	287	80	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	123	110	26	4	2	2	11	29	1	5	1	228	310	337	647	109	293	24	9	293	85	-2	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	202	179	42	6	3	3	19	47	2	8	1	231	313	348	661	116	294	23	9	299	88	-3	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.5
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	258	229	54	8	4	4	24	60	3	10	2	234	315	356	672	122	295	23	9	303	91	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	294	261	61	9	4	5	27	68	4	12	2	236	317	364	681	127	296	23	9	306	93	-2	+2	+0	+3	+6	0.9
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	313	277	66	10	4	6	29	72	4	12	2	238	318	368	686	130	297	23	9	308	95	-2	+2	+0	+3	+7	1.0
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	325	288	68	10	4	6	30	75	4	13	2	238	319	370	689	132	297	23	9	310	96	-2	+2	+0	+3	+7	1.1
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	333	295	70	10	4	7	31	77	4	13	2	238	319	372	691	134	296	23	9	310	96	-2	+2	+0	+4	+7	1.1
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	60%	352	312	75	11	5	7	33	82	4	14	2	237	318	369	688	132	296	23	9	309	95	-2	+2	+0	+4	+8	1.2
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	62%	360	319	76	11	5	7	34	84	4	14	2	236	316	365	681	129	295	23	9	306	93	-3	+2	-0	+4	+8	1.1
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	63%	355	315	75	11	5	7	33	84	4	13	2	233	314	359	673	126	294	24	9	303	91	-4	+2	-1	+4	+8	0.9
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	63%	350	311	71	10	4	6	32	84	4	13	2	230	310	352	662	121	293	24	9	299	88	-5	+2	-1	+4	+8	0.7
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	65%	346	307	70	10	4	6	32	84	4	12	2	226	306	342	648	116	290	24	9	293	84	-6	+2	-2	+4	+7	0.5
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	65%	332	296	65	9	4	5	30	82	3	11	3	221	300	330	630	109	287	25	9	286	79	-8	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.1
2042	33	MLB CTX	—	65%	309	276	60	8	4	4	27	79	3	10	3	216	293	317	609	101	282	26	9	277	74	-10	+1	-3	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4302	3819	889	128	57	76	397	1019	49	162	28	233	313	356	669	123	296	24	9	300	90	-54	+21	-9	+46	+93	9.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	134	19	9	11	60	154	7	24	4	232	312	354	666	121	296	24	9	300	90	-8	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	7524	6673	1552	221	102	131	702	1772	87	307	56	233	314	355	669	123	296	24	9	301	90	-93	+35	-15	+79	+159	16.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	134	19	9	11	61	153	8	27	5	233	315	354	669	122	296	24	9	301	90	-8	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Royals Fortuna · 177 PAwOBA .460 → .317 (−143)K% 16.4% → 20.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.38%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	19.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.77%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	—	13.84%
HBP% /PA	1.13%	—	×0.700	—	—	0.79%
Singles /BIP	34.23%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.028	—	23.94%
Doubles /BIP	5.41%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.028	—	3.33%
Triples /BIP	6.31%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.028	—	3.89%
Home runs /BIP	1.80%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	—	0.85%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment. Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .460 → .317; ISO .186 → .113; BABIP .468 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddie Patek'68-'81 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,246 PA	9.4	6,246	41	385	242*	311*	356*	+66	-5	14.7	15.3
/162	664	4	41	+7.0	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 16
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.6	4,394	77	165	233	309	355	+47	+30	13.1	10.9
/162	664	12	25	+7.1	+4.5	2.0	pk7: 9
#4Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jaider Suárez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	219/298/309	91	289	1	4	24%	9%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	47	40→45	60→65	53	222/313/322	100	267	5	29	18%	9%	84	+0.1	234/309/354	120	293	11	18	23%	8%	90	+0.6	231/312/342	111	292	7	11	21%	9%	84	+0.0
✕Carlos Jorge 2022 · A	18	46→56	39→45	62→60	49	216/288/319	103	277	5	24	23%	8%	73	-0.6	208/282/338	130	299	12	26	32%	8%	76	-0.4	193/266/325	132	285	13	29	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Eguy Rosario 2018 · A	18	45→54	36→55	54→55	42	211/269/291	80	298	2	20	28%	6%	59	-1.6	214/263/318	104	301	8	13	30%	5%	63	-1.4	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2009 · A	19	44→54	37→45	58→60	48	208/269/282	74	252	4	24	19%	7%	57	-1.8	242/293/325	83	287	5	28	16%	6%	75	-0.5	278/316/373	95	318	7	16	14%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	43→53	40→50	57→55	43	207/267/301	93	294	6	22	30%	7%	61	-1.5	237/294/369	132	297	12	21	23%	7%	86	+0.3	245/302/388	143	293	14	19	20%	7%	93	+0.8
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→51	41→60	55→50	47	222/293/320	98	273	8	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	223/272/331	108	291	10	16	26%	6%	70	-0.9	262/323/475	213	304	29	14	24%	8%	123	+1.4
✕Monte Harrison 2015 · A	19	46→45	36→50	59→60	45	208/296/275	67	310	3	25	31%	8%	68	-1.0	186/255/278	92	313	8	16	40%	6%	53	-2.1	201/270/324	123	349	15	41	43%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→39	41→50	55	45	232/308/333	101	332	7	18	30%	8%	84	+0.2	200/335/326	126	277	12	20	29%	12%	95	+1.0	200/355/358	159	246	17	19	24%	12%	108	+1.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	50→54	36→45	60→55	50	229/296/300	71	270	2	24	15%	7%	72	-0.7	231/278/311	80	292	4	22	21%	5%	67	-1.1	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Jefferson Rojas 2023 · A	18	45→48	36→50	56→50	48	210/272/282	72	247	3	16	16%	6%	59	-1.7	217/279/313	96	271	9	15	22%	6%	69	-0.9	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1

Jaider Suárez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps