Luis Hernández — OGILVIE

Luis HernándezSS ACL Giants

Age 18 R/R ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .276 / .343

PA13

HR0

K%31

BB%8

BABIP290

ISO83

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$73M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 58 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT58

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$6M	+1.8	$8M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$10M	+1.7	$7M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$13M	+1.5	$6M	+$1.0M
Totals		$32M		$47M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	A	San Jose Giants	—	98	91	21	2	0	2	6	29	0	0	0	231	278	319	597	88	311	30	6	268	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK	ACL Giants	—	228	198	59	19	5	6	25	38	3	6	3	298	385	535	920	237	340	17	11	398	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	98	93	18	2	0	1	4	39	0	0	0	194	227	247	474	54	310	40	4	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	228	207	47	14	4	5	16	55	3	6	3	227	292	406	698	179	276	24	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	326	300	65	16	4	6	20	94	3	6	3	217	272	357	629	140	291	29	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	326	289	80	21	5	8	31	67	3	6	3	277	353	467	820	190	332	21	10	359	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	326	300	65	16	4	6	20	94	3	6	3	217	272	357	629	140	286	29	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	326	300	65	16	4	6	20	94	3	6	3	217	272	357	629	140	286	29	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	SF	4%	436	401	89	17	4	9	28	124	4	7	2	222	279	353	632	131	294	28	6	282	77	-12	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	18	MLB CTX	SF	4%	13	12	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	218	276	343	619	125	290	31	8	277	77	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	SF	45%	390	357	81	15	3	10	26	109	4	7	2	228	288	368	656	140	297	28	7	292	84	-8	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.5
2029	20	MLB MLE	SF	62%	484	442	103	19	4	13	33	132	6	9	3	232	294	381	676	149	298	27	7	300	89	-6	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.9
2030	21	MLB MLE	SF	68%	529	481	113	21	4	15	37	142	6	10	4	236	299	392	691	156	299	27	7	307	94	-4	+0	-1	+6	+11	1.3
2031	22	MLB MLE	SF	71%	571	518	123	23	4	17	41	150	7	11	4	239	303	400	703	161	300	26	7	312	97	-2	+1	-0	+6	+12	1.7
2032	23	MLB MLE	SF	72%	617	560	135	25	5	19	45	160	7	12	5	241	306	406	712	165	300	26	7	315	99	-0	+0	+1	+7	+13	2.1
2033	24	MLB MLE	SF	72%	629	570	138	25	5	20	46	163	8	12	5	243	307	410	718	168	301	26	7	317	101	+1	+0	+2	+7	+14	2.4
2034	25	MLB MLE	SF	71%	635	576	141	26	5	21	46	164	8	12	5	243	308	413	721	170	301	26	7	319	102	+1	+0	+2	+7	+14	2.5
2035	26	MLB MLE	SF	71%	640	580	141	26	5	21	47	166	8	12	5	243	308	414	722	171	301	26	7	319	102	+2	+0	+2	+7	+14	2.5
2036	27	MLB MLE	SF	70%	638	579	141	26	5	21	47	166	7	12	5	242	307	411	718	169	300	26	7	318	101	+1	+0	+2	+7	+14	2.5
2037	28	MLB MLE	SF	69%	632	574	138	25	5	20	46	166	7	11	5	241	305	407	712	166	300	26	7	315	99	-0	+0	+2	+7	+14	2.2
2038	29	MLB MLE	SF	67%	621	564	134	24	4	20	45	165	7	10	5	238	303	401	704	163	299	27	7	312	97	-2	+0	+1	+7	+13	1.9
2039	30	MLB MLE	SF	66%	610	554	131	24	4	19	44	164	7	9	5	236	299	394	693	158	297	27	7	307	94	-4	-0	+0	+7	+13	1.6
2040	31	MLB MLE	SF	71%	595	542	126	23	4	17	42	162	6	7	7	232	295	384	679	153	295	27	7	302	90	-7	-1	-1	+6	+13	1.1
2041	32	MLB MLE	SF	74%	576	525	119	21	4	16	40	159	6	6	13	227	289	372	661	146	291	28	7	294	85	-10	-4	-1	+6	+12	0.3
2042	33	MLB MLE	SF	77%	547	500	110	19	3	14	37	155	5	5	28	221	282	358	639	137	287	28	7	285	79	-14	-10	-2	+6	+12	-0.8
2028	19	MLB CTX	SF	45%	175	159	36	7	1	4	12	49	2	3	1	224	284	358	642	134	293	28	7	286	84	-3	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.2
2029	20	MLB CTX	SF	62%	298	273	61	12	2	7	20	81	3	6	2	228	290	370	661	142	294	27	7	294	89	-4	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.6
2030	21	MLB CTX	SF	68%	362	330	76	14	3	10	25	97	4	7	3	231	295	380	675	149	295	27	7	300	94	-3	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.9
2031	22	MLB CTX	SF	71%	407	370	86	16	3	11	29	107	5	8	3	234	299	388	687	154	295	26	7	305	97	-1	+0	-0	+4	+9	1.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	SF	72%	446	406	95	18	3	13	32	116	5	9	3	236	301	394	695	157	296	26	7	308	99	-0	+1	+1	+5	+10	1.6
2033	24	MLB CTX	SF	72%	450	409	96	18	3	13	33	116	5	9	3	238	303	397	700	160	296	26	7	310	101	+0	+1	+2	+5	+10	1.8
2034	25	MLB CTX	SF	71%	452	411	97	18	3	14	33	117	5	9	3	238	303	400	703	161	297	26	7	312	102	+1	+1	+2	+5	+10	1.8
2035	26	MLB CTX	SF	71%	454	413	97	18	3	14	33	117	5	8	3	238	304	401	704	162	296	26	7	312	102	+1	+0	+2	+5	+10	1.8
2036	27	MLB CTX	SF	70%	444	403	95	18	3	13	33	115	5	8	3	237	303	398	701	161	296	26	7	311	101	+1	+0	+2	+5	+10	1.7
2037	28	MLB CTX	SF	69%	435	395	93	17	3	13	32	114	5	7	3	236	301	394	695	158	295	26	7	308	99	-0	+0	+1	+5	+9	1.5
2038	29	MLB CTX	SF	67%	416	378	88	16	3	12	30	110	5	6	3	234	298	388	687	155	294	26	7	305	97	-1	+0	+1	+4	+9	1.3
2039	30	MLB CTX	SF	66%	401	365	85	16	3	11	29	108	4	6	4	231	295	382	677	151	293	27	7	301	94	-3	-0	+0	+4	+9	1.0
2040	31	MLB CTX	SF	71%	422	385	87	16	3	11	30	115	4	5	5	227	291	373	663	145	290	27	7	295	90	-5	-1	-0	+5	+9	0.7
2041	32	MLB CTX	SF	74%	429	392	88	16	3	11	30	119	4	5	10	222	285	361	646	139	287	28	7	288	85	-7	-3	-1	+5	+9	0.2
2042	33	MLB CTX	SF	77%	420	384	84	15	3	10	29	119	4	4	22	217	278	347	625	131	282	28	7	279	79	-10	-8	-2	+4	+9	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6011	5473	1264	235	42	167	430	1600	65	100	71	231	295	381	676	150	294	27	7	302	93	-36	-8	+3	+64	+130	15.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	137	25	5	18	46	173	7	11	8	231	295	382	676	150	295	27	7	302	93	-4	-1	+0	+7	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	9360	8515	2004	370	71	276	663	2508	105	156	105	235	299	393	691	157	299	27	7	306	93	-62	-11	+4	+97	+196	22.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	139	26	5	19	46	174	7	11	7	235	298	393	690	157	299	27	7	306	93	-4	-1	+0	+7	+14	1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#3Paul DeJonglast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,500 PA	5.3	3,500	146	29	229	294	416	+36	+35	16.1	16.0
/162	664	28	6	+6.8	+6.6	3.1	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	9.1	6,023	183	100	238	298	397	+65	+12	18.6	15.6
/162	664	20	11	+7.1	+1.3	2.0	pk7: 13
#5Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Hernández (OGILVIE)	18	25→58	30→55	50	48	220/277/350	129	294	7	5	29%	6%	77	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alfredo Duno 2024 · A	18	43→48	41→55	53→45	53	207/305/309	102	280	9	8	27%	11%	78	-0.3	224/320/362	138	312	14	6	30%	12%	95	+1.0	229/330/392	163	306	18	4	29%	12%	104	+0.9
●Cheslor Cuthbert 2012 · A	19	46→56	44→50	49→45	42	228/282/343	116	302	12	4	28%	6%	76	-0.4	222/267/325	103	278	10	6	23%	6%	66	-1.1	255/309/403	148	298	17	1	20%	7%	101	+0.7
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	45→51	39→50	44→50	49	210/310/300	90	269	6	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	217/319/344	127	291	11	8	27%	9%	93	+0.8	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→51	43→55	48→45	42	203/262/304	101	271	11	4	29%	6%	61	-1.5	241/298/398	157	309	18	7	27%	7%	95	+1.0	240/301/413	173	300	21	6	27%	7%	98	+0.9
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→53	47→45	52→55	43	223/289/361	138	311	13	9	31%	8%	84	+0.1	221/332/349	128	309	12	16	29%	12%	98	+1.2	226/338/346	120	294	12	19	24%	12%	96	+0.9
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	42→52	42→55	51→50	45	208/267/322	113	262	9	13	24%	7%	66	-1.1	246/298/377	131	321	12	12	26%	6%	90	+0.6	267/319/412	145	327	15	13	22%	6%	104	+1.4
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	45→55	43→55	54→50	39	221/262/338	118	304	9	10	30%	5%	68	-1.0	185/227/272	87	291	7	8	37%	4%	39	-3.1	254/295/406	151	322	16	12	25%	5%	95	+0.7
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	222/268/341	119	285	11	8	26%	5%	71	-0.8	243/289/351	108	300	10	4	22%	5%	80	-0.1	256/300/415	159	303	18	3	21%	4%	99	+0.9
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2023 · A	19	47→57	43→50	49→45	44	228/296/339	111	277	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	253/309/380	127	305	13	7	21%	5%	95	+1.0	266/321/397	132	318	13	6	20%	5%	101	+1.1
✕Dalton Pompey 2011 · A	18	41→51	42→45	50→55	40	206/259/307	102	280	10	11	30%	6%	59	-1.6	202/272/297	95	287	7	18	30%	8%	62	-1.4	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	46→56	46→45	52→40	49	227/301/367	141	268	12	6	20%	8%	90	+0.6	245/312/360	115	307	10	3	22%	7%	92	+0.7	256/329/366	110	321	8	2	21%	8%	96	+0.9
✕Renato Núñez 2013 · A	19	43→53	42→60	49→30	40	211/260/322	110	273	8	5	26%	5%	63	-1.3	218/259/360	142	285	17	3	29%	4%	72	-0.7	246/311/421	175	298	23	1	25%	7%	106	+1.3
✕Demetrio Crisantes 2024 · A	19	48→58	38→50	46→55	43	227/284/313	85	310	5	7	27%	6%	70	-0.9	250/317/366	116	315	9	13	22%	8%	95	+0.9	258/328/389	130	318	10	12	21%	8%	102	+0.8
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	41→51	46→50	45→40	50	210/283/334	125	261	14	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	248/309/379	131	301	14	4	21%	8%	95	+0.9	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/270/292	91	260	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	205/256/277	72	300	3	25	30%	6%	51	-2.3	240/291/409	169	325	21	27	32%	5%	95	+0.4
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	212/278/299	87	312	7	9	32%	8%	65	-1.2	240/287/333	93	302	8	17	22%	5%	76	-0.4	268/325/364	96	311	7	12	15%	7%	94	+0.7
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	43→51	46→60	43→30	45	217/278/343	126	276	14	3	26%	8%	75	-0.5	213/259/354	141	292	17	2	32%	5%	71	-0.8	247/307/448	201	309	26	1	28%	7%	110	+1.8
●Elvis Andrus 2006 · A	17	48→58	39→50	47→60	47	231/294/314	84	293	7	9	23%	7%	74	-0.5	241/292/319	78	321	4	22	25%	6%	74	-0.6	276/328/411	135	308	11	19	14%	7%	107	+1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps