Player 836276 — OGILVIE

Player 836276— FCL Astros

Age — —/— ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 100 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .310 / .250

PA100

HR1

K%31

BB%12

BABIP269

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	HOU	—	58	42	8	2	0	1	11	17	5	1	1	190	414	310	723	119	292	29	19	334	114	+1	-0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
YTD	—	ROK	HOU	—	58	36	10	3	0	1	17	12	5	1	1	278	552	444	996	167	391	21	29	464	213	+7	-0	+0	-1	+2	0.8
ROS	—	ROK	HOU	0%	100	84	15	3	0	1	12	31	4	1	0	179	310	250	560	71	291	31	12	291	81	-2	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.1
ROS	—	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		294	—	—	266	62	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	HOU	—	58	43	8	2	0	1	11	17	5	1	1	186	414	302	716	116	280	29	19	334	114	+1	-0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
TOT	—	ROK	HOU	—	158	126	23	5	0	2	23	48	9	2	1	183	348	270	618	87	276	30	15	307	93	-1	+0	+0	-3	+4	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	HOU	0%	160	135	28	6	1	2	19	48	5	2	1	207	327	311	638	104	292	30	12	293	83	-3	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	HOU	0%	306	259	53	11	1	5	35	90	9	3	1	205	320	313	633	108	292	29	11	296	85	-5	+0	+0	-5	+9	-0.2
2029	25	MLB	HOU	0%	404	343	72	15	2	7	46	118	12	4	2	210	324	327	651	117	292	29	11	298	86	-6	+0	+0	-7	+11	-0.2
2030	25	MLB	HOU	0%	469	400	83	17	2	8	53	136	13	5	2	207	320	320	640	113	292	29	11	299	87	-7	+0	+0	-8	+13	-0.2
2027	25	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		295	—	—	273	67	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		295	—	—	277	70	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		295	—	—	279	72	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		294	—	—	281	73	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1439	1221	251	52	6	23	165	423	43	15	6	206	321	314	636	109	292	29	11	297	85	-24	+1	+0	-26	+41	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	552	113	23	3	10	75	191	19	7	3	205	320	312	632	107	291	29	12	297	85	-11	+0	+0	-12	+18	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	7	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	/162	664	16	9	239	330	385	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,497	24	16	207	319	318	-17	+0	0.1	0.2
	/162	664	11	7	207	319	318	-7.6	+0.0	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 836276 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	183/348/270	87	276	2	2	30%	15%	93	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A	25	45→44	40→45	46→45	42	215/280/307	92	291	7	6	27%	6%	64	-0.8	239/298/388	149	291	16	8	23%	5%	92	+1.2	243/303/402	159	290	18	8	22%	5%	94	+0.8
✕Dwanya Williams-Sutton 2021 · A	24	41	41→45	50	45	190/309/282	92	303	8	10	35%	10%	72	-0.2	207/308/334	127	335	14	13	39%	9%	85	+0.7	165/295/298	133	275	17	18	41%	11%	70	-0.1
✕David MacKinnon 2021 · A	26	47→50	39→45	47→30	55	218/318/303	85	302	6	5	27%	12%	79	+0.3	233/307/368	135	300	12	4	25%	9%	91	+1.1	233/310/376	143	294	13	2	24%	9%	92	+0.8
✕Joe Bennie 2016 · A	25	44→54	41→45	48→45	45	207/282/312	105	319	8	9	35%	9%	66	-0.6	231/291/343	112	340	10	6	32%	7%	77	+0.1	255/308/369	114	358	11	4	30%	6%	86	+0.7
●David Hensley 2021 · A	25	42→52	40→45	44→55	39	202/251/290	88	295	7	8	33%	6%	46	-2.0	237/311/359	122	350	10	14	32%	10%	90	+1.0	233/319/359	126	346	10	15	32%	11%	90	+0.8
✕Reid Fronk 2011 · A	25	45→48	40→45	47→50	48	211/299/306	95	287	6	9	26%	9%	72	-0.2	204/284/292	88	294	5	8	29%	9%	62	-0.9	178/264/262	84	264	5	4	31%	9%	44	-1.3
✕Maxwell Costes 2023 · A	24	47	38→50	50→45	55	216/320/294	78	299	5	8	26%	12%	79	+0.3	206/285/319	113	263	12	7	25%	7%	70	-0.3	188/269/298	110	231	14	6	25%	7%	56	-0.5
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	44→42	42→45	47→50	47	211/303/316	105	285	9	10	27%	8%	77	+0.1	211/299/300	89	300	7	10	29%	9%	71	-0.3	171/289/188	17	273	0	6	32%	12%	37	-0.5
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A	25	42	41→50	49→45	39	203/271/309	106	277	8	7	28%	5%	61	-1.0	201/257/280	79	289	4	6	30%	5%	47	-1.9	174/223/233	60	252	0	2	29%	3%	17	-1.0
✕Deibinson Romero 2011 · A	24	42→45	40→55	45→40	43	203/273/296	93	287	8	3	31%	8%	58	-1.2	220/285/370	150	274	19	3	26%	7%	82	+0.5	221/287/390	169	261	23	2	25%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Tyler Osik 2022 · A	25	40→50	42→50	48→40	38	195/256/299	104	303	9	6	37%	6%	52	-1.6	231/295/339	108	347	11	6	34%	6%	79	+0.3	253/316/366	113	376	14	4	34%	6%	90	+0.7
✕Mitchell Tolman 2019 · A	25	44→50	39→45	46→50	47	209/288/295	86	289	7	10	28%	9%	64	-0.8	213/282/321	108	300	10	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	221/294/350	129	290	13	8	27%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Matthew Page 2017 · A	25	48→50	40→45	48→45	45	229/287/329	100	311	6	5	27%	7%	71	-0.3	208/266/300	92	323	7	7	35%	7%	56	-1.3	148/211/204	56	266	3	4	42%	7%	4	-1.5
✕Chris Emanuele 2009 · A	25	45	41→45	49→50	43	214/281/315	100	289	7	9	27%	7%	66	-0.6	216/277/320	104	301	9	13	30%	6%	66	-0.6	212/269/314	102	298	10	17	31%	5%	56	-0.9
✕Stuart Fairchild 2021 · AA	25	43→42	43→50	47→55	42	212/278/328	116	288	10	10	29%	7%	69	-0.4	223/300/379	156	295	17	13	29%	8%	92	+1.2	220/316/365	145	284	15	26	26%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Anthony Aliotti 2012 · A	25	48→53	39→45	46→40	49	224/307/312	88	322	7	5	30%	10%	76	+0.1	236/306/352	116	350	12	3	33%	9%	86	+0.8	235/305/357	123	353	13	1	34%	9%	85	+0.6
✕Corey Julks 2021 · AA	25	43→51	40→55	48→55	44	206/273/302	95	290	7	12	30%	8%	59	-1.1	226/284/379	153	298	18	17	29%	7%	84	+0.6	227/289/390	162	290	20	21	28%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Marty Gantt 2015 · A	25	46→45	40→45	51→50	42	218/282/319	100	311	7	11	30%	7%	67	-0.5	220/289/331	111	296	9	11	27%	8%	73	-0.1	208/283/321	112	268	11	12	25%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Jose Pineda 2006 · A	24	45→40	42→45	48→45	44	216/285/321	105	305	9	7	30%	8%	69	-0.4	213/275/345	132	300	15	8	32%	7%	72	-0.2	205/268/344	139	285	17	8	33%	7%	66	-0.5
✕Mitch Reeves 2019 · A	24	48→45	42→40	45→40	44	225/295/329	104	323	9	6	31%	8%	76	+0.0	221/293/320	99	302	8	5	27%	8%	72	-0.2	216/292/311	95	292	8	4	27%	9%	69	-0.4