Victor Duarte

P FCL Braves

Age 19 LHP 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKATL	3	0	2	27.00	6.70	23.1%	30.8%	—	K 23.1% · BB 30.8% · FIP 5.05
2026	18	ROKATL	9	4	21	5.57	2.58	36.0%	16.0%	—	K 24.5% · BB 20.0% · FIP 4.33
2027PROJ	19	MLBATL	11	0	12	5.19	5.19	23.7%	16.5%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBATL	10	0	10	4.95	4.85	24.1%	14.3%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 89%

CompsSpencer Giesting (age 21) · Jeremy Peguero (age 19) · Roberto Medina (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116124vR 132

ERA5.19

FIP5.19

K%23.7%

BB%16.5%

K-BB%7.2%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	3	0	2	13	3	4	0	0%	0.6	23.1%	30.8%	-7.7%	0.0%	27.00	5.05	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	3	0	2	13	3	4	0	0%	0.6	23.1%	30.8%	-7.7%	0.0%	27.00	5.05	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	3	0	2	13	3	4	0	0%	0.6	23.1%	30.8%	-7.7%	0.0%	27.00	6.70	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	9	4	21	100	36	16	1	44%	2.3	24.5%	20.0%	4.5%	1.4%	5.57	4.33	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	9	4	21	100	36	16	1	44%	2.3	24.5%	20.0%	4.5%	1.4%	5.57	4.33	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	9	4	21	100	36	16	1	44%	2.3	36.0%	16.0%	20.0%	1.0%	5.57	2.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	ATL	11	0	12	51	12	8	1	0%	1.1	23.7%	16.5%	7.2%	3.0%	5.19	5.19	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	ATL	19	0	20	84	20	12	2	0%	1.1	24.1%	14.3%	9.8%	2.9%	4.95	4.85	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	ATL	10	0	10	42	10	6	1	0%	1.0	24.1%	14.3%	9.8%	2.9%	4.95	4.85	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	6	1	0%	1.1	24.1%	14.3%	9.8%	2.9%	4.95	4.47	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	122	20	0%	1.1	24.1%	14.3%	9.8%	2.9%	4.95	4.47	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		12	4	23	113	27	24	1	33%	1.9	24.3%	21.2%	3.1%	1.2%	7.15	4.42	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		106	35	200	997	242	212	12	33%	1.9	24.3%	21.2%	3.1%	1.2%	7.15	4.42	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Victor Duarte (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.19	23.7%	16.5%	3.0%	—	4.85	24.1%	9.8%	20	-0.34	—	—	—
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.30	19.0%	8.0%	394	-1.50	3.58	460	79
Jeremy Peguero L 2021 · 4.63 FIP	19	SW	4.63	17.3%	17.2%	1.5%	.345	4.08	20.1%	0.6%	87	-0.55	3.52	126	75
Roberto Medina L 2024 · 5.29 FIP	19	SW	5.29	18.5%	19.6%	2.3%	.254	5.91	15.1%	-2.7%	45	+0.62	3.87	109	74
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	73
Braian Salazar L 2024 · 4.71 FIP	19	SW	4.71	22.0%	20.2%	1.7%	.344	4.11	21.7%	5.1%	107	-0.60	3.58	158	73
Daniel Juarez L 2019 · 4.45 FIP	18	SU	4.45	24.9%	14.7%	2.9%	.389	4.24	26.5%	9.0%	68	-0.21	3.68	221	72
Luichi Casilla L 2024 · 4.62 FIP	19	SP-	4.62	22.4%	20.2%	1.6%	.372	2.62	25.7%	16.1%	34	-2.00	2.62	133	72
Esmerlin Vinicio L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	19	SW	4.71	17.6%	15.7%	2.0%	.365	4.87	17.2%	0.5%	207	+0.16	3.73	383	71
Alex Ayala Jr. L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	20	SW	4.20	20.7%	12.3%	2.3%	.271	5.99	13.6%	-3.1%	71	+1.79	4.20	128	70
Dominic Scheffler L 2024 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	19.7%	28.4%	0.9%	.348	5.19	16.1%	-4.1%	82	-0.35	4.59	110	70
Edgardo Ibarra L 2022 · 5.37 FIP	19	SW	5.37	16.2%	16.6%	2.8%	.250	5.26	14.4%	-5.7%	63	-0.11	5.26	142	69
Jordi Martinez L 2019 · 4.73 FIP	19	SW	4.73	17.7%	12.5%	2.8%	.258	4.17	16.6%	7.5%	104	-0.56	3.15	205	67
Anfernny Reyes L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	19	SU	4.98	21.6%	13.6%	3.6%	.282	4.34	21.0%	1.8%	99	-0.64	2.89	175	67
Peter Bonilla L 2024 · 4.63 FIP	19	SU	4.63	20.9%	18.3%	1.8%	.250	6.24	19.5%	-5.4%	51	+1.61	4.27	134	66
Jesus Toledo L 2019 · 4.16 FIP	19	SW	4.16	17.5%	14.3%	1.3%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	122	66
Gabe Morales L 2018 · 5.12 FIP	19	SP-	5.12	19.3%	21.0%	1.8%	.313	4.23	22.9%	8.7%	124	-0.89	2.92	268	66
Felix Doubront L 2010 · 4.00 FIP	22	SW	4.00	20.4%	8.8%	2.7%	.312	4.02	21.6%	11.6%	323	+0.02	3.44	719	66
Yordan Nodal L 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SW	5.02	15.7%	20.7%	1.2%	.292	5.13	14.7%	-0.2%	128	+0.11	4.94	193	65
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.28	17.9%	4.2%	149	-0.59	4.79	194	65
Javier Chacon L 2022 · 5.61 FIP	19	SP-	5.61	22.5%	13.1%	5.0%	.295	4.63	20.3%	3.5%	94	-0.98	4.56	202	65