Yordan Nodal
P
Fayetteville Woodpeckers
Age 24
LHP
6'3" / 195 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101111vR 120
ERA4.44
FIP4.44
K%22.6%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%12.8%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Astros | 13 | 6 | 39 | 181 | 42 | 30 | 2 | 46% | 3.0 | 15.8% | 20.7% | -4.9% | 1.5% | 3.26 | 5.24 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Astros | 13 | 6 | 39 | 181 | 42 | 30 | 2 | 46% | 3.0 | 23.2% | 16.6% | 6.6% | 1.1% | 3.26 | 3.93 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Astros | 10 | 3 | 26 | 121 | 28 | 20 | 1 | 30% | 2.6 | 15.7% | 20.7% | -4.9% | 1.2% | 6.49 | 5.02 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Astros | 10 | 3 | 26 | 121 | 28 | 20 | 1 | 30% | 2.6 | 23.1% | 16.5% | 6.6% | 0.8% | 6.49 | 3.75 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Astros Orange | 14 | 5 | 51 | 213 | 53 | 21 | 5 | 36% | 3.6 | 16.9% | 12.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.18 | 4.85 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Astros Orange | 14 | 5 | 51 | 213 | 53 | 21 | 5 | 36% | 3.6 | 24.9% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 2.3% | 3.18 | 3.53 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 25 | 11 | 77 | 371 | 66 | 52 | 6 | 44% | 3.1 | 13.2% | 16.5% | -3.4% | 2.1% | 6.55 | 5.25 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 25 | 11 | 77 | 371 | 66 | 52 | 6 | 44% | 3.1 | 17.8% | 14.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 6.55 | 4.42 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 51 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 52 | 0 | 55 | 231 | 53 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 52 | 0 | 55 | 231 | 54 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 53 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 35 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 41 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 96 | 0 | 101 | 427 | 99 | 40 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 3.96 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 79 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 62 | 25 | 193 | 886 | 132 | 150 | 18 | 40% | 3.1 | 15.0% | 16.9% | -2.0% | 2.1% | 4.99 | 5.12 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 26 | 200 | 918 | 137 | 156 | 19 | 40% | 3.1 | 15.0% | 16.9% | -2.0% | 2.1% | 4.99 | 5.12 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yordan Nodal (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.34 | 23.2% | 13.8% | 163 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 85 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.84 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .315 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | -0.07 | 4.77 | 154 | 80 |
| Nick Maronde L 2027 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 80 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.23 | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .318 | 3.54 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 62 | -1.69 | 3.54 | 186 | 79 |
| Jordan Woods L 2024 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 79 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 78 |
| Ismael Guillón L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.28 | 24.9% | 12.5% | 3.1% | .206 | 4.45 | 20.1% | 6.0% | 100 | +0.17 | 4.28 | 193 | 78 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 78 |
| Angel Perdomo L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.47 | 22.6% | 11.8% | 1.4% | .315 | 4.10 | 32.7% | 17.7% | 100 | +0.63 | 2.79 | 540 | 78 |
| Brady Basso L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.99 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.17 | 22.1% | 15.5% | 179 | +0.18 | 2.24 | 269 | 78 |
| Ethan Flanagan L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.23 | 21.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 102 | 78 |
| Samuel Strickland L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | .337 | 3.71 | 20.5% | 14.3% | 133 | -1.15 | 3.09 | 277 | 77 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 76 |
| Nick Sando L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.09 | 20.6% | 12.7% | 2.0% | .251 | 2.81 | 26.7% | 11.2% | 21 | -1.28 | 2.81 | 174 | 75 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2029 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 75 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2028 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .252 | 4.86 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.56 | 3.30 | 147 | 74 |
| Brian Fitzpatrick L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.54 | 20.2% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .278 | 3.02 | 23.0% | 12.4% | 69 | -0.52 | 1.56 | 161 | 74 |
| Nate Peterson L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.14 | 19.2% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .296 | 3.95 | 15.5% | 4.2% | 121 | -1.19 | 3.67 | 288 | 74 |
| JP Sears L 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.90 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.0% | .268 | 3.25 | 24.7% | 17.8% | 222 | -0.65 | 2.18 | 927 | 73 |
| Zack Thompson L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.72 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .243 | 4.67 | 23.7% | 9.6% | 208 | +0.95 | 2.03 | 402 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 54 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 1.15 | 4.38 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |