Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 14 | 10 | 41 | 181 | 37 | 14 | 0 | 71% | 3.0 | 13.9% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 5.44 | 3.15 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 14 | 10 | 41 | 181 | 37 | 14 | 0 | 71% | 3.0 | 20.4% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 0.0% | 5.44 | 2.33 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies East | 5 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 20% | 2.4 | 17.7% | 12.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.00 | 4.73 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies East | 5 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 20% | 2.4 | 26.0% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 2.0% | 3.00 | 3.27 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 10 | 6 | 32 | 130 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 60% | 3.2 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 2.0% | 2.53 | 3.84 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 10 | 6 | 32 | 130 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 60% | 3.2 | 26.2% | 8.5% | 17.7% | 1.5% | 2.53 | 2.82 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 17 | 79 | 339 | 71 | 24 | 6 | 89% | 4.1 | 15.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 4.23 | 4.31 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 17 | 79 | 339 | 71 | 24 | 6 | 89% | 4.1 | 20.9% | 7.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | 4.23 | 3.20 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 57 | 256 | 69 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.1% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 3.92 | 4.93 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 57 | 256 | 69 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.0% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 1.6% | 3.92 | 3.12 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 8 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 36.4% | 4.5% | 31.8% | 2.3% | 5.79 | 1.85 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 8 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 36.4% | 4.5% | 31.8% | 2.3% | 5.79 | 1.71 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 27 | 0 | 28 | 120 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.03 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 76 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 103 | 34 | 231 | 1000 | 181 | 106 | 22 | 33% | 2.2 | 18.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 4.14 | 4.11 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 89 | 29 | 200 | 867 | 157 | 92 | 19 | 33% | 2.2 | 18.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 4.14 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jordi Martinez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.41 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 28 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 80 |
| Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 19.5% | 8.3% | 2.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 258 | 76 |
| Sean Mellen L 2024 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 75 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 75 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 73 |
| Tyler Holton L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .288 | 3.75 | 21.7% | 16.8% | 258 | -0.61 | 3.02 | 409 | 73 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .367 | 5.20 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.10 | 4.10 | 118 | 73 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.63 | 3.78 | 277 | 72 |
| Ben Holmes L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 19.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .264 | 5.63 | 19.7% | 8.6% | 61 | +1.74 | 3.12 | 451 | 72 |
| Logan Darnell L 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.18 | 17.8% | 7.7% | 1.1% | .316 | 4.67 | 12.2% | 5.5% | 305 | +1.49 | 3.18 | 430 | 72 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 71 |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.40 | 22.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .267 | 5.45 | 16.5% | 5.9% | 79 | +2.05 | 3.40 | 144 | 71 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 71 |
| Adam Scott L 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.27 | 21.1% | 13.5% | 4.1% | .317 | 4.96 | 16.5% | -3.6% | 46 | -0.31 | 4.53 | 315 | 70 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .272 | 4.99 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.11 | 3.88 | 256 | 70 |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 70 |
| James Reeves L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.3% | .226 | 5.24 | 27.0% | 10.8% | 51 | +1.45 | 2.02 | 280 | 70 |
| Reid Love L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% | .373 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 280 | 70 |
| Carson Teel L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.22 | 17.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 248 | 69 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 28 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 1.17 | 4.39 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |