Peter Bonilla — OGILVIE

Peter Bonilla P ACL Dodgers

Age 21 LHP 6'3" / 195 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 13 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126134vR 143

ERA5.76

FIP5.76

K%21.3%

BB%19.4%

K-BB%1.9%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	18	0	32	128	37	11	3	0%	1.8	19.7%	10.7%	8.9%	3.2%	1.95	4.55	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	18	0	32	128	37	11	3	0%	1.8	28.9%	8.6%	20.3%	2.3%	1.95	3.04	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	19	0	32	134	38	20	1	0%	1.7	19.3%	18.7%	0.6%	0.8%	1.41	4.27	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	19	0	32	134	38	20	1	0%	1.7	19.3%	18.7%	0.6%	0.8%	1.41	4.27	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	19	0	32	134	38	20	1	0%	1.7	28.4%	14.9%	13.4%	0.7%	1.41	3.01	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	11	0	19	75	23	11	1	0%	1.7	20.9%	18.3%	2.5%	1.8%	4.34	4.63	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	11	0	19	75	23	11	1	0%	1.7	20.9%	18.3%	2.5%	1.8%	4.34	4.63	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	11	0	19	75	23	11	1	0%	1.7	30.7%	14.7%	16.0%	1.3%	4.34	3.10	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	17	0	22	107	27	21	2	0%	1.3	17.2%	24.5%	-7.4%	2.2%	4.50	5.97	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	17	0	22	107	27	21	2	0%	1.3	17.2%	24.5%	-7.4%	2.2%	4.50	5.97	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	17	0	22	107	27	21	2	0%	1.3	25.2%	19.6%	5.6%	1.9%	4.50	4.69	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	24	0	29	151	46	31	4	0%	1.2	21.2%	25.1%	-3.9%	3.6%	7.98	6.45	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	24	0	29	151	46	31	4	0%	1.2	21.2%	25.1%	-3.9%	3.6%	7.98	6.45	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	LAD	15	0	20	94	35	18	2	0%	1.4	37.2%	19.1%	18.1%	2.1%	3.98	3.55	—
2026	21	A RAW	LAD	9	0	9	57	11	13	2	0%	1.0	19.3%	22.8%	-3.5%	3.5%	17.00	6.29	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAD	29	0	30	127	29	21	4	0%	1.0	22.4%	16.2%	6.2%	2.9%	5.38	5.23	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	LAD	14	0	15	63	14	10	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	16.2%	6.2%	2.9%	5.38	5.23	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	62	14	10	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	16.2%	6.2%	2.9%	5.38	4.85	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	135	27	0%	1.1	22.4%	16.2%	6.2%	2.9%	5.38	4.85	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		89	0	134	595	117	117	14	0%	1.5	19.7%	19.6%	0.1%	2.4%	3.89	5.24	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		133	0	200	886	174	174	21	0%	1.5	19.7%	19.6%	0.1%	2.4%	3.89	5.24	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Peter Bonilla (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.76	21.3%	19.4%	3.0%	—	5.23	22.4%	6.2%	30	-0.53	—	—	—
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	284	87
Adrian Almeida L 2016 · 5.65 FIP	21	SU	5.65	18.6%	15.3%	4.0%	.295	4.97	18.4%	-4.1%	119	-0.68	4.27	188	85
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	85
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	84
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	84
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	84
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	83
Blake Townsend L 2022 · 5.83 FIP	21	SU	5.83	18.3%	17.5%	3.8%	.170	3.73	18.1%	8.4%	167	-2.10	3.34	305	82
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	82
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	82
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	81
Felix Cabrera L 2023 · 4.62 FIP	21	SU	4.62	17.9%	18.6%	1.2%	.258	5.43	13.8%	-5.3%	62	+0.81	3.96	132	81
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	80
Gregori Louis L 2023 · 6.48 FIP	20	SU	6.48	17.3%	20.4%	4.1%	.241	4.37	19.6%	2.9%	111	-2.11	3.58	149	80
Jayvien Sandridge L 2019 · 6.78 FIP	20	SU	6.78	19.0%	23.9%	4.1%	.324	3.61	27.9%	5.2%	41	-3.17	3.34	223	79
Francis Beriguete L 2021 · 6.05 FIP	21	SU	6.05	20.8%	27.7%	2.2%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	101	78
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.15	23.9%	5.2%	99	-2.27	3.91	148	78
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	78
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	78
Kevin Escorcia L 2016 · 5.05 FIP	21	SU	5.05	17.3%	21.2%	1.3%	.233	3.48	22.1%	9.2%	129	-1.57	3.16	189	78