Jayvien Sandridge P Norfolk Tides
Age 27 LHP 6'5" / 220 lbs AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION5 act + 26 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 119
ERA4.41
FIP4.41
K%26.2%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP
K: +1.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: -4.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-5BBCONTACT: +5.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+5CONTACTSTAM: +1.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.33 (31 IP)+0.3WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†6060
SI (13%)
SL (42%)
FB-1.4 (52%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201819ROKGCL Orioles1501879181210%1.215.5%19.0%-3.5%1.8%2.005.17
201819ROKGCL Orioles1501879181210%1.222.8%15.2%7.6%1.3%2.003.82
201920ROKGCL Orioles1101368191320%1.219.0%23.9%-4.9%4.1%5.546.78
201920ROKGCL Orioles1101368191320%1.227.9%19.1%8.8%2.9%5.545.18
202122ROKACL Reds7094412810%1.327.3%18.2%9.1%2.3%7.004.35
202122ROKACL Reds7094412810%1.327.3%18.2%9.1%2.3%7.004.54
202223MIX2 levels28041180673500%1.527.9%22.7%5.3%0.0%3.103.61
202223MIX2 levels28041180673500%1.537.2%19.4%17.8%0.0%3.102.39
202324MIX2 levels39163278915053%1.624.9%20.3%4.5%2.7%3.715.04
202324MIX2 levels39163278915053%1.632.7%18.0%14.7%1.8%3.713.62
202425MIX2 levels52061285954670%1.228.4%17.2%11.2%2.3%4.284.16
202425MIX2 levels52061285954670%1.233.3%16.1%17.2%2.5%4.283.74
202526MIX4 levels39037171562140%1.029.1%12.6%16.6%2.0%5.063.35+0.5
202526MIX4 levels39037171562140%1.032.7%12.3%20.5%2.3%5.063.18+0.6
▸ 2026 Season
202627AAANorfolk Tides605337800%0.910.12
ROS27MLBBAL24026109281430%1.126.2%12.8%13.4%2.8%4.414.41+0.0
ROS27MLBBAL303133200%1.026.2%12.8%13.4%2.8%4.414.41+0.0
2026 TOT27MLBBAL311423522325.0%15.4%9.6%2.1%5.393.65+0.3
2026 FULL27MLBBAL31131026.2%12.8%13.4%2.8%4.414.03+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBBAL24025105271330%1.025.8%12.6%13.2%2.9%4.454.48+0.0
202728MLBBAL100114612610%1.125.8%12.6%13.2%2.9%4.454.48+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career140146216930%1.026.6%14.6%11.9%4.2%5.535.02-0.1
/ 200 IP1960200891232130430%1.026.6%14.6%11.9%4.2%5.535.02+0.9
Career19712471138294215231%1.325.9%18.9%7.0%2.0%4.184.41+2.9
/ 200 IP1591200920238174181%1.325.9%18.9%7.0%2.0%4.184.41+2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jayvien Sandridge (OGILVIE) 4.41 26.2%12.8%2.8% 4.48 25.8%13.2%25 +0.07
Ryan O'Rourke L 2026 · 3.86 FIP 27 SU 3.86 27.4%12.9%2.6%.284 3.06 23.4%16.7%53 -0.80 3.06 145 78
Jake Diekman L 2027 · 3.40 FIP 28 SU 3.40 26.5%11.9%1.9%.310 3.21 27.0%15.3%106 -0.19 2.33 455 76
Edward Paredes L 2028 · 3.49 FIP 29 SU 3.49 24.1%13.0%1.4%.225 3.53 23.7%14.0%86 +0.04 2.29 130 75
Chasen Shreve L 2026 · 4.10 FIP 27 SU 4.10 29.3%11.1%3.8%.245 4.33 26.8%15.4%138 +0.23 3.94 470 73
Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.24 FIP 27 SU 4.24 23.8%11.7%3.0%.331 4.13 265 73
Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 3.46 FIP 27 SU 3.46 23.8%9.0%2.2%.259 5.31 16.5%-3.3%54 +1.85 3.46 154 73
Giovanni Soto L 2025 · 3.96 FIP 26 SU 3.96 25.6%10.5%3.1%.317 3.26 128 73
Mike Dunn L 2029 · 3.76 FIP 30 SU 3.76 27.7%11.9%2.7%.294 4.09 22.5%10.9%110 +0.33 3.72 181 73
Locke St. John L 2025 · 3.96 FIP 26 SU 3.96 26.1%11.4%2.9%.296 4.16 21.5%10.4%108 +0.20 3.02 389 72
Tim Mayza L 2026 · 4.38 FIP 27 SU 4.38 24.2%11.0%3.5%.266 3.31 25.0%19.6%102 -1.07 2.24 559 72
Jerry Vasto L 2025 · 3.44 FIP 26 SU 3.44 24.0%11.5%1.7%.313 2.84 206 72
Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.01 FIP 27 SU 4.01 22.8%10.1%2.9%.336 2.69 221 72
Travis Bergen L 2026 · 3.91 FIP 27 SU 3.91 26.7%15.9%1.9%.308 4.83 19.3%-1.2%24 +0.92 2.52 143 72
Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 3.32 FIP 27 SU 3.32 21.9%11.1%1.2%.368 3.66 21.7%11.5%100 +0.34 3.04 153 72
Reagan Todd L 2025 · 3.74 FIP 26 SU 3.74 25.6%12.0%2.3%.325 2.70 122 71
Josh Edgin L 2028 · 3.58 FIP 29 SU 3.58 22.1%13.2%1.2%.359 3.67 23.2%13.6%80 +0.09 3.36 113 71
Aaron Brown L 2026 · 3.88 FIP 27 SU 3.88 22.9%13.5%1.8%.317 4.79 19.4%6.7%129 +0.91 3.88 269 71
A.J. Block L 2026 · 3.64 FIP 27 SU 3.64 22.7%12.4%1.6%.311 3.64 203 71
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 4.69 FIP 25 SU 4.69 25.3%15.4%3.2%.330 4.69 122 71
Riley Martin L 2026 · 3.35 FIP 27 SU 3.35 27.0%14.1%1.4%.261 3.35 266 71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22526.0%12.7%1.094.43
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84
Greg Holland ('21)64525.4%12.3%0.874.03
Lucas Sims ('24)64727.6%11.6%1.244.22
Keegan Thompson ('24)45723.0%11.3%1.193.64