Felix Cabrera — OGILVIE

Felix Cabrera P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 24 LHP 6'3" / 170 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128137vR 145

ERA5.87

FIP5.87

K%16.7%

BB%17.8%

K-BB%-1.1%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	16	4	21	111	18	20	2	25%	1.3	11.0%	22.5%	-11.5%	2.5%	7.17	6.37	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	16	4	21	111	18	20	2	25%	1.3	16.2%	18.0%	-1.8%	1.8%	7.17	5.44	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	16	0	23	117	21	14	0	0%	1.4	12.2%	15.0%	-2.8%	0.0%	6.75	3.96	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	16	0	23	117	21	14	0	0%	1.4	17.9%	12.0%	6.0%	0.0%	6.75	3.10	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	19	0	26	114	30	17	1	0%	1.4	17.9%	18.6%	-0.7%	1.2%	3.81	4.62	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	19	0	26	114	30	17	1	0%	1.4	17.9%	18.6%	-0.7%	1.2%	3.81	4.62	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	19	0	26	114	30	17	1	0%	1.4	26.3%	14.9%	11.4%	0.9%	3.81	3.25	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	53	253	52	38	5	0%	1.3	15.3%	18.3%	-3.0%	2.8%	4.96	5.69	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	53	253	52	38	5	0%	1.3	15.3%	18.3%	-3.0%	2.8%	4.96	5.69	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	53	253	52	38	5	0%	1.3	20.6%	15.0%	5.5%	2.0%	4.96	4.52	—
2025	23	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	16	0	19	113	16	20	0	0%	1.2	10.5%	20.9%	-10.4%	0.0%	10.71	4.86	—
2025	23	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	16	0	19	113	16	20	0	0%	1.2	10.5%	20.9%	-10.4%	0.0%	10.71	4.86	—
2025	23	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	16	0	19	113	16	20	0	0%	1.2	14.2%	17.7%	-3.5%	0.0%	10.71	4.55	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	LAA	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	16.7%	17.8%	-1.1%	2.8%	5.87	5.87	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAA	46	0	48	203	37	31	6	0%	1.0	18.4%	15.3%	3.1%	2.8%	5.53	5.41	-0.5
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAA	46	0	48	203	39	30	6	0%	1.0	19.4%	14.8%	4.6%	2.8%	5.34	5.27	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAA	20	0	21	89	16	14	2	0%	1.1	18.4%	15.3%	3.1%	2.8%	5.53	5.41	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAA	30	0	32	135	26	20	4	0%	1.1	19.4%	14.8%	4.6%	2.8%	5.34	5.27	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	52	221	42	33	6	0%	1.0	19.0%	15.0%	4.0%	2.8%	5.41	4.95	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	161	126	23	0%	1.1	19.0%	15.0%	4.0%	2.8%	5.41	4.95	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		108	4	142	708	97	134	11	4%	1.3	13.8%	18.9%	-5.1%	1.6%	6.15	5.21	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		152	6	200	997	137	188	16	4%	1.3	13.8%	18.9%	-5.1%	1.6%	6.15	5.21	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Felix Cabrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.87	16.7%	17.8%	2.8%	—	5.34	18.9%	3.8%	96	-0.53	—	—	—
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	92
Max Herrmann L 2017 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	15.0%	17.9%	1.8%	.333	4.37	12.2%	0.8%	152	-0.72	3.93	168	89
Aaron Brown L 2017 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	15.0%	17.6%	1.6%	.348	4.38	19.8%	5.2%	127	-0.58	4.04	269	87
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	86
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	86
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	85
Chris Nunn L 2015 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	13.9%	16.8%	2.6%	.350	3.92	19.3%	6.7%	37	-1.57	3.30	180	85
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	82
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.86	24.0%	14.5%	77	-2.34	2.45	239	82
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	82
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	81
Max Schuh L 2016 · 6.12 FIP	24	SU	6.12	16.1%	17.9%	3.9%	.389	4.70	19.2%	5.6%	48	-1.42	3.10	118	81
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	81
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	81
Juan Pichardo L 2021 · 4.83 FIP	23	SU	4.83	17.7%	17.1%	1.9%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	103	80
Cam Booser L 2016 · 6.61 FIP	24	SU	6.61	19.8%	28.0%	3.0%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.96	309	79
Trevor Seidenberger L 2016 · 6.29 FIP	24	SU	6.29	13.1%	14.9%	4.4%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	101	78
Jordan Minch L 2017 · 6.88 FIP	24	SU	6.88	13.7%	17.6%	4.9%	.262	5.04	15.9%	4.4%	121	-1.84	3.64	255	78
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	77
Yoan Aybar L 2021 · 5.91 FIP	24	SU	5.91	19.2%	16.2%	4.3%	.323	6.04	20.9%	1.2%	41	+0.13	3.41	166	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	37	18.6%	15.5%	1.09	5.50
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91