Jeremy Peguero — OGILVIE

Jeremy Peguero P St. Lucie Mets

Age 24 LHP 6'2" / 175 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119127vR 135

ERA5.37

FIP5.37

K%22.9%

BB%17.7%

K-BB%5.2%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	19	8	39	189	48	26	2	42%	2.1	17.3%	17.2%	0.1%	1.5%	5.54	4.63	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 2	19	8	39	189	48	26	2	42%	2.1	25.4%	13.8%	11.6%	1.1%	5.54	3.31	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	22	1	37	164	46	21	0	5%	1.7	19.1%	16.0%	3.1%	0.0%	3.13	3.52	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 1	22	1	37	164	46	21	0	5%	1.7	28.0%	12.8%	15.2%	0.0%	3.13	2.32	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	11	0	15	81	20	15	0	0%	1.4	16.8%	23.1%	-6.4%	0.0%	7.04	4.61	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	11	0	15	81	20	15	0	0%	1.4	16.8%	23.1%	-6.4%	0.0%	7.04	4.61	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	11	0	15	81	20	15	0	0%	1.4	24.7%	18.5%	6.2%	0.0%	7.04	3.43	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	45	204	66	37	1	0%	1.7	22.7%	21.7%	1.0%	1.0%	2.60	4.46	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	45	204	66	37	1	0%	1.7	22.7%	21.7%	1.0%	1.0%	2.60	4.46	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	45	204	66	37	1	0%	1.7	32.4%	18.1%	14.2%	0.5%	2.60	2.92	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	NYM	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	22.9%	17.7%	5.2%	2.9%	5.37	5.37	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	NYM	39	0	41	173	40	26	5	0%	1.1	23.3%	15.2%	8.1%	2.9%	5.12	5.02	-0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	NYM	17	0	18	76	18	12	2	0%	1.1	23.3%	15.2%	8.1%	2.9%	5.12	5.02	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	74	17	11	2	0%	1.0	23.3%	15.2%	8.1%	2.9%	5.12	4.64	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	126	23	0%	1.1	23.3%	15.2%	8.1%	2.9%	5.12	4.64	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		78	9	137	638	124	122	5	12%	1.8	19.4%	19.1%	0.3%	0.7%	4.08	4.29	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		114	13	200	934	181	178	7	12%	1.8	19.4%	19.1%	0.3%	0.7%	4.08	4.29	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeremy Peguero (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.37	22.9%	17.7%	2.9%	—	5.02	23.3%	8.1%	41	-0.35	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	89
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	86
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	85
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	85
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	83
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	81
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	81
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	80
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	80
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	80
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	79
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	79
Jimmy Burnette L 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	24.7%	16.3%	2.3%	.336	3.49	19.7%	4.9%	59	-0.85	3.01	158	78
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	78
Ben Harris L 2023 · 4.76 FIP	23	SU	4.76	25.4%	21.9%	1.9%	.252	5.32	22.4%	2.6%	76	+0.56	3.06	183	78
Caleb Frare L 2017 · 5.45 FIP	24	SU	5.45	22.6%	21.3%	2.9%	.307	3.14	28.0%	15.6%	80	-2.31	2.27	237	78
Christian Chamberlain L 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SU	4.33	26.3%	17.5%	2.2%	.238	3.91	20.7%	0.5%	43	-0.42	3.91	148	78
Bailey Horn L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	24	SU	4.71	24.7%	15.6%	3.1%	.320	4.41	21.4%	10.9%	163	-0.30	3.96	265	78
Randy Labaut L 2021 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	23.2%	14.0%	3.7%	.240	4.68	19.1%	5.7%	190	-0.27	1.91	302	78
Kelly Secrest L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	18.6%	13.7%	2.1%	.267	3.47	20.8%	10.4%	38	-0.95	3.11	151	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	23.2%	15.9%	1.12	5.20
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99