Julio Gonzalez
P
FCL Mets
Age 19
RHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 21 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%22.7%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 12 | 4 | 35 | 139 | 30 | 11 | 0 | 33% | 2.9 | 14.7% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 2.55 | 3.11 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 12 | 4 | 35 | 139 | 30 | 11 | 0 | 33% | 2.9 | 21.6% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 0.0% | 2.55 | 2.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | FCL Mets | 5 | 3 | 16 | 72 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 60% | 3.3 | 12.3% | 13.9% | -1.6% | 17.5% | 9.37 | 13.43 | -1.7 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | NYM | 4 | 4 | 21 | 89 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 22.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.32 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 37 | 161 | 33 | 16 | 12 | — | — | 20.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.53 | 8.30 | -1.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | NYM | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | NYM | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.21 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 3.83 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 202 | 74 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 3.83 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 17 | 7 | 52 | 211 | 29 | 24 | 13 | 41% | 3.0 | 13.9% | 11.3% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 4.70 | 6.63 | -1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 27 | 200 | 817 | 113 | 92 | 49 | 41% | 3.0 | 13.9% | 11.3% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 4.70 | 6.63 | -2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Julio Gonzalez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 22.7% | 9.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.21 | 23.1% | 14.2% | 22 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Jerming Rosario R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.83 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 4.0% | .303 | 4.38 | 20.9% | 5.7% | 281 | -0.45 | 3.05 | 483 | 85 |
| Eccel Correa R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 82 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 81 |
| Layonel Ovalles R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.63 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 2.2% | .333 | 4.52 | 17.4% | 3.0% | 146 | +0.89 | 2.60 | 227 | 81 |
| Simon Mathews R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 80 |
| Adolfo Oviedo R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.98 | 17.2% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .272 | 4.74 | 13.4% | 8.0% | 90 | +0.76 | 3.79 | 201 | 80 |
| Carson Rudd R 2029 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 80 |
| Luis Aguilar R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.54 | 17.6% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .356 | 4.26 | 16.7% | 6.7% | 111 | -0.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 80 |
| Jose Morban R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.42 | 18.7% | 11.2% | 2.7% | .333 | 3.98 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 61 | -0.44 | 3.98 | 178 | 79 |
| Engel Daniel Peralta R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.98 | 25.6% | 9.2% | 3.4% | .408 | 5.28 | 17.0% | 2.5% | 55 | +1.30 | 3.34 | 111 | 79 |
| Connor Cooke R 2029 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 79 |
| Edwin Jimenez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.12 | 19.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% | .330 | 4.67 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 277 | +0.55 | 4.12 | 386 | 79 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2028 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 79 |
| Domingo Pena R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.99 | 20.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | .250 | 5.87 | 11.9% | 2.8% | 43 | +0.88 | 3.34 | 165 | 79 |
| Winston Santos R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.18 | 18.3% | 8.4% | 1.0% | .261 | 4.51 | 19.0% | 11.3% | 317 | +1.33 | 1.82 | 406 | 79 |
| Luis Victorino R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.27 | 18.9% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .301 | 4.95 | 15.9% | -5.0% | 84 | +0.68 | 4.27 | 148 | 78 |
| Alexander Cornielle R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.08 | 24.1% | 14.2% | 2.2% | .329 | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.6% | 312 | +0.26 | 3.85 | 502 | 78 |
| Miguel Rondon R 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.47 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .361 | 8.04 | 18.1% | 2.1% | 88 | +3.57 | 2.62 | 179 | 78 |
| Jose Martinez R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.47 | 18.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | .305 | 4.20 | 18.1% | 8.2% | 55 | -0.27 | 2.85 | 122 | 78 |
| Jose Romero R 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.20 | 21.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | .267 | 4.53 | 13.3% | 3.8% | 149 | +1.33 | 3.20 | 192 | 77 |