Brandon Komar — OGILVIE

Brandon Komar P Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.80

FIP4.80

K%14.1%

BB%7.9%

K-BB%6.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL6060

CMD4545

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	2	34	156	39	15	4	17%	2.9	17.7%	11.6%	6.0%	3.1%	6.29	4.77	—
2019	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	2	34	156	39	15	4	17%	2.9	25.0%	9.6%	15.4%	2.6%	6.29	3.65	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	5	80	356	85	40	7	16%	2.6	19.0%	12.5%	6.4%	2.7%	4.48	4.55	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	5	80	356	85	40	7	16%	2.6	23.9%	11.2%	12.6%	2.0%	4.48	3.61	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	16	118	498	95	44	14	52%	3.8	15.1%	9.9%	5.3%	3.9%	5.19	5.19	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	16	118	498	95	44	14	52%	3.8	19.1%	8.8%	10.2%	2.8%	5.19	4.15	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	22	126	532	91	46	17	88%	5.1	13.6%	9.5%	4.2%	3.3%	4.99	4.94	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	22	126	532	91	46	17	88%	5.1	13.6%	9.5%	4.2%	3.3%	4.99	4.94	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	22	126	532	91	46	17	88%	5.1	17.1%	8.6%	8.5%	3.2%	4.99	4.50	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	8	102	427	83	28	3	28%	3.5	15.8%	6.8%	9.0%	0.7%	3.10	3.01	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	8	102	427	83	28	3	28%	3.5	15.8%	6.8%	9.0%	0.7%	3.10	3.01	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	8	102	427	83	28	3	28%	3.5	19.4%	6.6%	12.9%	0.7%	3.10	2.68	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	5	81	359	68	29	10	18%	2.9	15.4%	8.2%	7.2%	3.3%	5.20	4.65	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	5	81	359	68	29	10	18%	2.9	15.4%	8.2%	7.2%	3.3%	5.20	4.65	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	5	81	359	68	29	10	18%	2.9	18.9%	8.1%	10.9%	2.8%	5.20	4.10	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	CIN	6	0	6	25	4	2	1	0%	1.0	14.1%	7.9%	6.2%	2.7%	4.80	4.80	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CIN	65	0	68	287	43	23	8	0%	1.0	14.9%	8.2%	6.7%	2.9%	4.80	4.83	-0.2
2028	29	MLB MLE	CIN	62	0	65	274	42	23	8	0%	1.0	15.3%	8.5%	6.8%	3.0%	4.86	4.92	-0.3
2027	28	MLB CTX	CIN	25	0	26	110	16	9	3	0%	1.0	14.9%	8.2%	6.7%	2.9%	4.80	4.83	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	CIN	34	0	36	152	23	13	5	0%	1.1	15.3%	8.5%	6.8%	3.0%	4.86	4.92	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	260	39	22	8	0%	1.0	15.1%	8.4%	6.7%	3.0%	4.84	4.51	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	127	71	26	0%	1.1	15.1%	8.4%	6.7%	3.0%	4.84	4.51	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		156	58	542	2328	366	221	66	37%	3.5	15.7%	9.5%	6.2%	2.8%	4.72	4.52	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	21	200	859	135	81	24	37%	3.5	15.7%	9.5%	6.2%	2.8%	4.72	4.52	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brandon Komar (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	14.1%	7.9%	2.7%	—	4.87	15.1%	6.7%	133	+0.07	—	—	—
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	85
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	84
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	82
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	82
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	81
Daniel Blair R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	24	SW	4.10	16.6%	10.0%	2.1%	.284	4.39	17.0%	7.8%	78	+0.29	4.10	171	81
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	80
Sugar Ray Marimon R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	26	SW	4.12	12.4%	9.1%	1.7%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	107	80
Logan Bawcom R 2016 · 3.73 FIP	27	SW	3.73	16.6%	9.2%	1.6%	.251	4.85	16.0%	6.7%	234	+1.12	3.73	399	80
Zeke Spruill R 2015 · 3.94 FIP	25	SW	3.94	11.8%	6.9%	1.7%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	114	80
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	80
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	80
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	80
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	80
Andres Santiago R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	27	SW	4.16	16.3%	9.1%	2.3%	.384	5.26	13.1%	3.2%	159	+1.10	3.76	291	79
Donovan Hand R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SW	4.30	11.1%	4.3%	2.9%	.305	4.56	12.5%	5.7%	140	+0.26	4.30	237	79
Kurt Heyer R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	25	SW	3.99	14.1%	6.7%	2.2%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	178	79
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	18.2%	10.5%	3.1%	.304	4.70	15.8%	3.2%	11	+0.09	3.22	221	79
Chris Jensen R 2018 · 5.31 FIP	27	SW	5.31	12.0%	10.6%	3.4%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	488	78
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	14.7%	8.2%	1.11	4.82
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79