Layonel Ovalles
P
St. Lucie Mets
Age 23
RHP
6'3" / 216 lbs
A
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.59
FIP4.59
K%21.9%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%10.9%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | 12 | 6 | 35 | 136 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 50% | 2.9 | 17.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 0.0% | 2.83 | 2.60 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | 12 | 6 | 35 | 136 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 50% | 2.9 | 25.0% | 5.9% | 19.1% | 0.0% | 2.83 | 1.84 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 4 | 47 | 200 | 66 | 17 | 3 | 25% | 2.9 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 2.2% | 4.05 | 3.63 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 4 | 47 | 200 | 66 | 17 | 3 | 25% | 2.9 | 33.0% | 8.5% | 24.5% | 1.5% | 4.05 | 2.20 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 20 | 94 | 406 | 93 | 41 | 10 | 83% | 3.9 | 17.4% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 4.58 | 4.42 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 20 | 94 | 406 | 93 | 41 | 10 | 83% | 3.9 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 2.5% | 4.58 | 3.81 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 50 | 219 | 55 | 31 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 17.5% | 18.6% | -1.1% | 1.1% | 4.50 | 4.59 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 50 | 219 | 55 | 31 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 25.1% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 0.5% | 4.50 | 3.02 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 35 | 24 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.2% | 16.7% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.17 | 4.78 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 35 | 24 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.4% | 15.4% | 7.1% | 0.6% | 2.17 | 3.50 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | NYM | 19 | 0 | 20 | 86 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | NYM | 20 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | NYM | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.04 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 180 | 90 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 106 | 30 | 263 | 1117 | 205 | 145 | 19 | 28% | 2.5 | 18.3% | 13.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 3.90 | 4.14 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 81 | 23 | 200 | 848 | 156 | 110 | 15 | 28% | 2.5 | 18.3% | 13.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 3.90 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Layonel Ovalles (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 21.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.42 | 22.6% | 12.4% | 21 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Luis Romero R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 86 |
| Trent Fennell R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 85 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.60 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .239 | 5.26 | 21.3% | 3.7% | 54 | +1.66 | 3.60 | 127 | 84 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 83 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 83 |
| Zac Ryan R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 83 |
| Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 82 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 82 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 82 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 82 |
| Colby Morris R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 82 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 81 |
| Todd Peterson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.37 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.87 | 15.0% | 4.3% | 124 | -0.50 | 4.46 | 175 | 81 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 81 |
| Owen Holt R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 80 |
| Heath Holder R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 80 |
| William Kempner R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.5% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .277 | 3.32 | 29.2% | 14.5% | 112 | -0.62 | 3.29 | 173 | 80 |
| Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 80 |
| Tyler Santana R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.36 | 20.3% | 15.1% | 1.9% | .333 | 4.38 | 16.0% | 5.7% | 259 | +0.02 | 3.41 | 390 | 80 |
| Carlos Espinosa R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.33 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 3.2% | .325 | 4.98 | 23.0% | 10.2% | 42 | +0.65 | 3.69 | 247 | 79 |