Carlos Gutierrez P FCL Twins
Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs ROK
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.3%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.05 (18 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201919ROKDSL Twins154441944311527%2.915.1%7.1%8.0%3.6%5.734.71
201919ROKDSL Twins154441944311527%2.922.2%5.7%16.5%2.6%5.733.37
202121ROKDSL Twins144471975319029%3.318.3%12.1%6.2%0.0%4.053.08
202121ROKDSL Twins144471975319029%3.326.9%9.6%17.3%0.0%4.052.05
202323ROKFCL Twins113311504314627%2.819.5%11.7%7.8%6.8%6.036.65
202323ROKFCL Twins113311504314627%2.828.7%9.3%19.3%4.0%6.034.19
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBMIN180197918720%1.023.3%9.2%14.1%3.0%4.344.34+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBMIN190208420830%1.123.3%9.3%14.0%3.1%4.364.38+0.0
202727MLBMIN707307310%1.023.3%9.3%14.0%3.1%4.364.38+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career707317310%1.023.3%9.3%14.0%3.1%4.364.00+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084419383280%1.123.3%9.3%14.0%3.1%4.364.00+3.3
Career401112254195551728%3.017.5%10.2%7.3%3.2%5.164.65+1.1
/ 200 IP6618200887155902828%3.017.5%10.2%7.3%3.2%5.164.65+1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Carlos Gutierrez (OGILVIE) 4.34 23.3%9.2%3.0% 4.38 23.3%14.0%20 +0.04
Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP 26 SW 4.89 20.0%10.9%3.8%.320 4.92 16.2%8.9%14 +0.03 3.63 239 74
Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 74
Dylan King R 2025 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 26.7%9.8%4.0%.266 4.28 121 73
Wil Jensen R 2026 · 3.41 FIP 26 SW 3.41 22.7%8.4%2.1%.314 3.41 368 72
Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP 28 SW 3.59 16.7%6.2%2.0%.311 3.45 12.7%4.9%83 -0.14 3.21 157 72
Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP 25 SW 4.72 19.9%9.3%3.9%.315 4.72 146 72
Jose Samayoa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP 26 SW 3.56 16.6%9.9%1.1%.286 4.12 17.3%9.4%226 +0.56 3.56 262 72
Nick Hull R 2026 · 3.93 FIP 26 SW 3.93 19.3%8.2%2.6%.299 3.93 268 72
Stephen Perakslis R 2026 · 3.17 FIP 26 SW 3.17 21.3%8.2%1.5%.313 5.36 11.8%5.9%42 +2.19 3.17 211 72
Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 72
Jake Lyons R 2024 · 4.31 FIP 24 SW 4.31 20.1%8.5%3.4%.337 4.31 174 72
Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 26 SU 3.75 21.7%11.4%1.9%.292 4.81 19.0%7.9%223 +1.06 3.75 299 71
Esmil Rogers R 2029 · 3.51 FIP 29 SW 3.51 18.5%8.9%1.6%.348 2.88 21.7%17.9%40 -0.63 2.88 199 71
Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP 25 SW 4.24 18.0%9.4%2.7%.292 5.88 13.1%1.2%46 +1.64 3.14 271 71
Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 26 SW 3.90 16.7%6.8%2.5%.243 3.43 167 71
Brayden Spears R 2025 · 4.25 FIP 25 SU 4.25 19.9%10.9%2.6%.311 4.07 105 71
Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP 25 SW 3.89 19.0%7.3%2.7%.331 5.46 20.8%10.6%47 +1.57 3.89 141 71
Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 71
Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 26 SW 4.65 20.5%7.8%4.2%.319 4.96 18.4%6.6%242 +0.31 4.39 353 70
TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.63 FIP 26 SW 4.63 23.7%8.7%4.4%.317 3.95 22.5%14.7%87 -0.68 3.36 432 70