Jeral Vizcaino — OGILVIE

Jeral Vizcaino P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 155 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.80

FIP4.80

K%19.6%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	12	5	37	148	38	13	2	42%	3.1	17.5%	11.0%	6.5%	1.0%	1.46	3.56	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	12	5	37	148	38	13	2	42%	3.1	25.7%	8.8%	16.9%	1.4%	1.46	2.80	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	14	4	34	145	34	14	1	29%	2.4	15.9%	12.1%	3.9%	1.0%	2.38	3.81	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	14	4	34	145	34	14	1	29%	2.4	15.9%	12.1%	3.9%	1.0%	2.38	3.81	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	14	4	34	145	34	14	1	29%	2.4	23.4%	9.7%	13.8%	0.7%	2.38	2.72	—
2024	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	26	2	67	275	61	26	4	8%	2.6	16.4%	11.2%	5.3%	2.1%	2.82	4.27	—
2024	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	26	2	67	275	61	26	4	8%	2.6	16.4%	11.2%	5.3%	2.1%	2.82	4.27	—
2024	22	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	26	2	67	275	61	26	4	8%	2.6	22.2%	9.5%	12.7%	1.5%	2.82	3.22	—
2025	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	2	0	2	12	1	2	0	0%	1.0	8.3%	16.7%	-8.3%	0.0%	9.00	4.51	—
2025	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	2	0	2	12	1	2	0	0%	1.0	8.3%	16.7%	-8.3%	0.0%	9.00	4.51	—
2025	23	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	2	0	2	12	1	2	0	0%	1.0	8.3%	16.7%	-8.3%	0.0%	9.00	5.10	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	CHC	3	0	3	13	2	1	0	0%	1.0	19.6%	10.8%	8.8%	2.9%	4.80	4.80	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CHC	58	0	61	258	53	26	8	0%	1.1	20.5%	10.1%	10.4%	2.9%	4.68	4.63	-0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	CHC	58	0	61	258	54	26	8	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.0%	10.9%	2.9%	4.61	4.58	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	CHC	25	0	26	110	23	11	3	0%	1.0	20.5%	10.1%	10.4%	2.9%	4.68	4.63	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	CHC	38	0	40	169	35	17	5	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.0%	10.9%	2.9%	4.61	4.58	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		63	0	67	281	58	28	8	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.1%	10.7%	2.9%	4.64	4.22	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	174	84	24	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.1%	10.7%	2.9%	4.64	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		54	11	140	580	95	66	9	20%	2.6	16.4%	11.5%	4.9%	1.5%	2.44	3.98	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	16	200	829	136	95	12	20%	2.6	16.4%	11.5%	4.9%	1.5%	2.44	3.98	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeral Vizcaino (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	19.6%	10.8%	2.9%	—	4.60	20.8%	10.7%	122	-0.20	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	89
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	89
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	85
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	85
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	84
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	83
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	83
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	83
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	83
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	83
Tai Tiedemann R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	23	SU	3.87	17.5%	9.8%	1.8%	.305	5.78	9.8%	-0.2%	118	+1.91	3.87	190	83
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	82
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	82
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	81
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	81
Carlo Reyes R 2022 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.4%	8.6%	2.9%	.318	3.92	24.1%	12.9%	61	-0.14	2.60	229	81
Andrew Bellatti R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.3%	8.8%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	278	81
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2023 · 5.11 FIP	24	SW	5.11	18.2%	9.9%	4.2%	.304	3.67	18.0%	9.9%	189	-1.44	3.51	330	81
J.C. Flowers R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	24	SU	4.02	17.6%	8.9%	2.3%	.263	5.44	15.6%	-0.3%	133	+1.42	3.59	281	81
Ryan Zeferjahn R 2022 · 4.45 FIP	24	SW	4.45	21.0%	12.4%	2.8%	.325	4.37	27.1%	13.6%	163	-0.08	3.08	344	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	20.5%	10.3%	1.13	4.68
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19