Jeral Vizcaino P Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 155 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 41 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120110vR 101
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%22.2%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%12.7%
ROS IP41
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 41 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.06 (41 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.10.10.10.1262830
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202220ROKDSL Brewers 2125371483813242%3.117.5%11.0%6.5%0.7%1.463.39
202220ROKDSL Brewers 2125371483813242%3.125.7%8.8%16.9%1.4%1.462.80
202321ROKDSL Cubs Blue144341453414129%2.415.9%12.1%3.9%1.0%2.383.81
202321ROKDSL Cubs Blue144341453414129%2.423.4%9.7%13.8%0.7%2.382.72
202422AMyrtle Beach Pelicans26267275612648%2.616.4%11.2%5.3%2.3%2.824.40
202422AMyrtle Beach Pelicans26267275612648%2.622.2%9.5%12.7%1.5%2.823.22
202523AMyrtle Beach Pelicans202121200%1.08.3%16.7%-8.3%0.0%9.004.51
202523AMyrtle Beach Pelicans202121200%1.08.3%16.7%-8.3%0.0%9.005.10
▸ 2026 Season
202624MLBCHC39041174391750%1.122.2%9.6%12.7%2.9%4.434.43+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725MLBCHC40042176401650%1.022.7%9.2%13.5%2.9%4.374.34+0.1
202826MLBCHC40042176401650%1.023.0%9.2%13.8%2.9%4.334.31+0.1
202927MLBCHC39041173401650%1.123.0%9.2%13.7%3.0%4.344.35+0.1
203028MLBCHC38040168381650%1.022.9%9.4%13.5%3.1%4.404.43+0.1
202725MLBCHC170187617720%1.122.7%9.2%13.5%2.9%4.374.34+0.0
202826MLBCHC27028118271130%1.023.0%9.2%13.8%2.9%4.334.31+0.1
202927MLBCHC30032135311240%1.123.0%9.2%13.7%3.0%4.344.35+0.1
203028MLBCHC31033139321340%1.122.9%9.4%13.5%3.1%4.404.43+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career105011046610743140%1.122.9%9.3%13.6%3.0%4.363.98+1.8
/ 200 IP190020084419478250%1.022.9%9.3%13.6%3.0%4.363.98+3.3
Career54111405809566920%2.616.4%11.5%4.9%1.5%2.444.00+2.3
/ 200 IP7716200829136951320%2.616.4%11.5%4.9%1.5%2.444.00+3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jeral Vizcaino (OGILVIE) 4.43 22.2%9.6%2.9% 4.33 22.9%13.7%124 -0.10
Kyle Zimmer R 2025 · 3.89 FIP 23 SW 3.89 21.8%8.6%2.8%.293 4.63 20.4%9.0%33 +0.74 2.08 276 88
Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 24 SU 3.86 22.2%9.8%2.5%.353 4.73 19.3%6.7%54 +0.87 3.86 106 88
Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP 24 SU 4.23 20.4%10.7%2.7%.291 5.76 16.2%4.4%54 +1.53 4.23 105 84
Carlo Reyes R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 24 SW 4.26 20.4%8.6%3.2%.318 3.98 24.1%12.9%61 -0.28 2.79 229 83
Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP 25 SW 4.65 17.1%9.6%3.2%.289 3.44 20.0%7.8%45 -1.21 1.94 143 83
Emmanuel Chapman R 2027 · 4.19 FIP 25 SW 4.19 19.7%10.6%2.6%.256 4.43 18.4%2.3%111 +0.24 3.87 192 82
Joshua Loeschorn R 2025 · 3.74 FIP 23 SU 3.74 24.5%7.7%3.1%.272 4.60 16.4%7.6%67 +0.86 3.04 135 82
Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP 23 SU 4.21 24.1%12.0%3.0%.245 4.19 22.4%14.3%96 -0.02 3.95 142 81
Shohei Tomioka R 2027 · 4.06 FIP 25 SW 4.06 18.9%9.0%2.6%.311 4.48 17.3%3.8%141 +0.42 3.63 281 81
Andrew Bellatti R 2025 · 4.32 FIP 23 SU 4.32 19.3%8.8%3.2%.288 2.71 278 81
T.J. Weir R 2026 · 4.08 FIP 24 SW 4.08 20.0%9.1%2.8%.319 3.46 19.0%9.6%190 -0.62 3.21 349 81
Ben Vespi R 2026 · 3.26 FIP 24 SU 3.26 21.9%9.2%1.5%.370 4.79 18.4%12.5%39 +1.53 3.26 102 81
Danny Hrbek R 2026 · 4.08 FIP 24 SU 4.08 21.3%7.5%3.3%.312 4.08 100 80
Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP 25 SU 3.74 22.4%10.2%2.3%.330 4.97 16.5%3.9%101 +1.23 3.74 140 80
Austin Ross R 2026 · 4.51 FIP 24 SU 4.51 20.7%9.6%3.5%.281 4.91 21.2%5.7%55 +0.40 4.51 121 80
Jake Curtis R 2026 · 3.34 FIP 24 SU 3.34 19.3%6.5%1.9%.338 3.34 105 79
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2026 · 4.34 FIP 24 SU 4.34 21.0%13.2%2.4%.341 4.64 15.7%4.0%343 +0.30 3.76 467 79
Trent Fennell R 2025 · 3.88 FIP 23 SW 3.88 20.6%12.2%1.8%.328 5.38 19.4%3.5%107 +1.50 3.88 163 79
Josh Advocate R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 24 SU 3.58 18.8%7.3%2.1%.291 3.59 20.4%10.1%75 +0.01 3.58 118 79
Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.58 FIP 24 SU 4.58 26.2%12.8%3.8%.282 4.62 22.3%11.4%86 +0.04 4.36 152 79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION54122.8%9.3%1.154.37
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Shane Greene ('21)75621.4%8.5%1.164.67
David Hernandez ('19)55425.0%7.9%1.144.10
Scott Oberg ('19)55121.5%9.3%0.913.85