Anthony Potestio

2B Tampa Tarpons

Age 22 L/R A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1212ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	ANYY	80	.333/.519/.684	5	4	165	—	.286/.430/.556
2027PROJMLE	22	MLBNYY	190	.228/.320/.386	6	5	100	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBNYY	38	.232/.322/.398	1	1	101	0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBNYY	85	.234/.323/.401	3	2	102	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Chase%96

BB%93

Whiff%83

Speed83

K%80

Z-Con%75

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.6 / P90 0.4, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 93%

CompsBo Naylor (age 23) · CJ Kayfus (age 22) · Trey Sweeney (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj PA

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .317 / .383

PA55

HR2

K%27

BB%10

ISO158

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	80	57	19	3	1	5	19	14	3	4	1	333	519	684	1.203	351	359	18	24	505	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	80	63	18	3	1	4	13	19	3	4	1	286	430	556	986	270	315	24	16	412	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	80	63	18	3	1	4	13	19	3	4	1	286	430	556	986	270	341	24	16	412	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	80	57	19	3	1	5	19	14	3	4	1	333	519	684	1.203	351	359	18	24	505	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	80	64	18	3	1	4	13	19	3	4	1	281	430	547	977	266	315	24	16	412	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	80	64	18	3	1	4	13	19	3	4	1	281	430	547	977	266	315	24	16	412	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	190	166	39	6	2	6	19	51	3	5	1	228	320	386	706	158	291	27	10	316	100	+0	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	112	98	23	4	1	3	11	29	2	3	1	230	321	390	711	159	292	26	10	318	101	+0	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYY	46%	184	161	37	6	2	5	18	48	3	5	1	232	322	392	714	160	292	26	10	319	102	+0	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.6
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	250	219	51	9	2	7	25	65	4	7	1	233	322	394	716	161	292	26	10	320	103	+1	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.8
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	303	266	63	11	3	9	30	78	4	8	2	233	321	394	716	161	292	26	10	320	103	+1	+1	+0	+1	+7	1.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	329	289	67	11	3	10	32	84	5	9	2	233	320	392	713	159	291	26	10	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+1	+7	1.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	342	300	70	12	3	10	34	89	5	9	2	231	318	387	706	156	290	26	10	316	100	-0	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.9
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	341	300	70	12	3	10	33	89	5	8	2	228	315	381	696	152	289	26	10	312	97	-1	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	334	294	66	11	2	9	33	88	4	8	2	225	312	373	684	148	287	26	10	307	94	-2	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.5
2036	31	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	321	283	61	10	2	8	31	86	4	7	2	221	307	363	669	142	283	27	10	301	90	-4	+1	-3	+1	+7	0.2
2037	32	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	301	265	57	9	2	7	29	82	4	7	3	215	301	350	650	134	279	27	10	294	85	-5	+0	-4	+1	+7	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	38	33	7	1	0	1	4	10	1	1	0	232	322	398	721	166	292	26	11	322	101	+0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYY	46%	85	75	18	3	1	3	9	22	1	2	0	234	323	401	724	167	293	26	11	323	102	+0	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	129	113	26	4	1	4	13	33	2	3	1	235	323	402	726	167	293	26	10	324	103	+0	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	164	145	34	6	1	5	16	42	2	4	1	235	323	403	726	167	292	26	10	324	103	+0	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	178	155	37	6	1	6	18	46	3	5	1	235	322	401	723	166	292	26	10	322	102	+0	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.6
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	186	163	37	6	1	6	18	48	3	5	1	233	320	396	715	163	291	26	10	319	100	-0	+1	-0	+1	+4	0.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	181	159	36	6	1	5	18	47	2	5	1	230	317	389	706	159	289	26	10	316	97	-1	+1	-1	+1	+4	0.4
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	175	154	35	6	1	5	17	46	2	4	1	227	313	380	694	154	287	26	10	311	94	-1	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.3
2036	31	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	167	147	33	5	1	5	16	45	2	4	1	222	308	370	678	147	284	27	10	305	90	-2	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.1
2037	32	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	169	149	32	5	1	4	16	46	2	4	2	217	302	357	659	140	279	27	9	297	85	-3	+0	-2	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1472	1293	295	48	9	44	145	385	20	37	9	228	316	381	697	153	288	26	10	315	99	-5	+4	-6	+5	+32	3.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	130	21	4	19	64	170	9	16	4	228	316	378	694	151	288	26	10	315	99	-2	+2	-2	+2	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2952	2586	594	100	24	84	295	772	44	76	19	230	319	384	703	155	292	26	10	315	99	-10	+7	-10	+10	+62	6.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	130	22	5	18	65	170	10	17	4	228	318	380	698	151	291	26	10	315	99	-2	+2	-2	+2	+14	1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ATampa Tarpons · 80 PAwOBA .499 → .412 (−86)K% 17.5% → 23.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.50%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	23.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	23.75%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	—	16.39%
HBP% /PA	3.75%	—	×0.780	—	—	2.92%
Singles /BIP	23.26%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	—	21.40%
Doubles /BIP	6.98%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	—	5.79%
Triples /BIP	2.33%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	—	2.12%
Home runs /BIP	11.63%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	—	9.30%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .499 → .412; ISO .351 → .303; BABIP .359 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	4.3	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
/162	664	18	10	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Ian Stewartlast yr '14 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA	2.5	1,646	60	17	230	317	416	+6	+2	6.2	6.2
/162	664	24	7	+2.4	+0.9	2.5	pk7: 6
#3Ed Spiezio'64-'72 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,716 PA	2.6	1,716	39	16	238*	304*	389*	+5	+8	4.7	4.9
/162	664	15	6	+1.9	+3.3	1.8	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.3	1,528	43	38	229	313	382	+5	+6	4.6	4.2
/162	664	19	17	+2.4	+2.6	2.0	pk7: 4
#5Pat Kelly'91-'99 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,235 PA	3.4	2,235	36	61	242*	299*	375*	+6	+11	3.7	3.8
/162	664	11	18	+1.7	+3.2	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Scott Leius'90-'99 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	2.6	1,727	28	16	237*	306*	358*	+5	+5	1.5	2.1
/162	664	11	6	+2.0	+1.9	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anthony Potestio (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	226/317/383	156	291	2	1	27%	10%	100	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	42→46	50→55	54→50	49	211/301/366	155	290	17	16	32%	10%	90	+0.6	217/302/391	174	272	21	10	27%	10%	96	+1.0	206/293/384	178	246	22	6	26%	10%	92	+0.5
✕CJ Kayfus 2024 · A	22	47→51	50	50→45	52	237/321/397	160	291	18	14	24%	10%	104	+1.6	239/317/398	159	333	15	8	30%	9%	103	+1.5	236/317/395	159	333	14	8	31%	9%	100	+0.9
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	44→45	50	53→55	46	221/292/385	164	297	17	9	31%	9%	90	+0.6	211/284/353	142	277	15	19	28%	8%	80	-0.1	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
●Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	47→52	46→60	48→50	49	233/308/370	136	299	14	13	26%	9%	93	+0.8	220/293/335	115	302	9	13	28%	9%	79	-0.2	243/307/436	194	312	22	11	28%	8%	108	+1.1
✕Graham Pauley 2024 · AA	23	50→52	52→55	53→50	48	253/317/427	174	298	20	14	22%	8%	109	+2.0	220/288/373	153	268	17	10	24%	8%	86	+0.3	202/274/352	149	245	16	9	24%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	47→50	47→50	53→45	48	237/295/370	133	270	15	16	18%	7%	88	+0.4	230/300/377	147	279	16	9	23%	8%	92	+0.7	217/301/368	151	248	17	6	20%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	49→51	45→55	56→55	43	240/300/365	125	317	13	19	28%	7%	88	+0.5	222/275/369	147	357	16	25	40%	6%	80	-0.1	220/289/397	177	359	21	23	42%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Jimmy Crooks 2023 · A	22	48→47	47→50	51→40	43	229/308/368	139	326	14	6	32%	8%	93	+0.8	238/300/361	123	328	12	4	29%	7%	88	+0.4	240/311/381	141	337	17	2	32%	8%	94	+0.6
●Zack Gelof 2022 · A	22	48→53	49→55	54→55	43	235/299/383	148	333	16	17	33%	8%	93	+0.8	237/301/410	173	329	21	20	32%	8%	99	+1.3	233/299/410	177	319	22	24	33%	8%	97	+1.0
✕Austin Wells 2022 · A	23	43→44	48→55	56→50	47	212/302/359	147	307	15	12	34%	10%	88	+0.5	219/297/382	163	280	19	10	28%	9%	92	+0.7	215/296/383	167	260	20	8	25%	9%	91	+0.5
✕Daulton Varsho 2019 · A	23	47→50	47→60	55→50	42	235/292/365	130	303	15	18	27%	6%	86	+0.3	241/303/411	170	281	19	17	21%	7%	101	+1.4	227/293/421	194	258	25	15	23%	8%	100	+1.1
●Colt Keith 2023 · A	21	50→53	47→55	53→45	45	241/305/384	143	332	14	8	30%	8%	95	+0.9	257/313/415	158	319	18	5	24%	7%	105	+1.7	260/320/417	157	316	18	4	23%	8%	107	+1.6
✕Brett Wisely 2022 · A	23	48→51	50	52→55	43	241/298/388	147	324	18	20	31%	8%	93	+0.8	236/304/372	136	307	14	18	26%	8%	91	+0.7	235/306/367	132	300	12	17	24%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2010 · AA	22	50→51	48→60	51→50	43	241/307/393	152	335	13	11	30%	7%	97	+1.1	246/301/395	149	342	13	10	30%	7%	95	+1.0	221/299/412	191	304	20	11	32%	9%	99	+0.7
✕Jarred Kelenic 2021 · AA	22	45→54	54→60	53→50	43	235/291/415	180	301	21	14	29%	7%	97	+1.1	229/294/412	183	290	21	13	27%	8%	97	+1.1	230/297/414	184	294	20	15	28%	8%	99	+1.1
✕Ryan Kalish 2010 · AA	22	51→53	44→50	52→55	48	249/311/370	121	317	12	14	25%	8%	93	+0.8	244/303/374	130	304	13	23	23%	8%	91	+0.7	236/290/359	124	297	12	26	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Mike Boeve 2024 · A	22	50→53	48→40	49→45	45	245/306/384	139	326	15	7	29%	8%	95	+1.0	258/322/359	101	337	8	8	24%	8%	95	+0.9	257/324/350	93	335	8	9	24%	8%	91	+0.4
✕Shed Long Jr. 2018 · AA	22	48→50	47→50	50	43	237/295/379	142	319	15	10	30%	7%	90	+0.6	234/295/375	141	317	14	12	29%	7%	89	+0.5	230/294/371	141	309	14	12	29%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Dustin Harris 2022 · A	23	51→58	51→50	55→60	46	258/315/416	158	303	19	16	22%	7%	106	+1.8	233/303/380	147	291	16	24	25%	8%	93	+0.8	253/317/371	118	309	11	34	21%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Alek Thomas 2022 · AAA	22	54→57	49→50	51→50	45	262/323/425	164	341	14	12	26%	7%	110	+2.1	245/295/386	141	292	14	11	20%	6%	91	+0.7	241/287/384	143	290	14	13	22%	5%	87	+0.2

Anthony Potestio

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps