CJ Kayfus — OGILVIE

CJ Kayfus1B Columbus Clippers

Age 24 L/L 5'11" / 192 lbs AAA Svc 0.337 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION224 act + 149 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 5683vR 94

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .297 / .375

PA149

HR4

K%30

BB%8

BABIP293

ISO157

MLB%55%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

2413.9%

xwOBA

590.319

POWER60

Barrel%

6911.1

Avg EV

5389.3

Bat Spd

4170.4

EYE55

Chase%

7127.6%

SPEED45

Sprint

4727.4

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 160 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

138

—

wRC+

103

▶▶R

wOBA

267

320

▶▶R

ISO

190

198

▶R

BABIP

231

284

▶▶R

31.8%

26.8%

▶▶R

BB%

0.0%

9.4%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.337 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2030	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.4M
2031	Arb-3	$4M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$20M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	77	65	16	4	0	4	9	18	2	5	2	246	355	492	848	246	273	23	12	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	77	59	16	4	0	4	15	12	2	5	2	271	434	542	977	271	273	16	19	424	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	481	422	102	23	5	13	42	156	12	5	2	242	328	412	740	171	345	32	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	481	405	118	26	6	17	59	117	12	5	2	291	397	511	908	220	366	24	12	397	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	3 teams	—	507	453	105	23	8	14	42	162	7	8	2	232	307	411	717	179	324	32	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	3 teams	—	507	440	122	28	9	18	55	131	7	8	2	277	367	505	871	227	353	26	11	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	CLE	—	224	196	40	6	2	3	19	73	7	6	1	204	297	301	598	97	303	33	8	275	68	-8	+1	-2	-2	+6	-0.5
YTD	24	AAA	CLE	—	224	189	44	7	2	4	26	62	7	6	1	233	347	354	701	122	320	28	12	321	104	+1	+1	-2	-2	+6	0.4
ROS	24	AAA	CLE	55%	149	133	29	5	2	4	12	45	3	3	1	217	297	375	672	157	299	30	8	298	86	-2	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.0
ROS	24	MLB	CLE	55%	82	73	16	3	1	2	7	25	2	2	0	219	305	370	675	151	299	30	9	282	74	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.1
FULL	24	AAA	CLE	—	306	269	56	9	3	5	26	98	9	8	1	208	299	320	619	112	304	32	8	277	70	-10	+1	-2	-3	+9	-0.6
TOT	24	AAA	CLE	—	373	329	69	11	4	7	31	118	10	9	2	210	297	331	628	121	299	32	8	284	76	-10	+1	-2	-4	+11	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CLE	56%	558	496	114	21	6	17	46	164	11	10	2	230	309	399	708	169	301	29	8	311	96	-2	+1	-2	-6	+16	0.7
2028	26	MLB	CLE	56%	546	485	112	20	5	18	46	158	10	10	2	231	311	404	715	173	300	29	8	318	101	+1	+1	-2	-6	+15	1.0
2029	27	MLB	CLE	55%	535	474	109	20	5	17	46	153	10	10	2	230	311	401	712	171	300	29	9	318	102	+1	+1	-2	-6	+15	1.0
2030	28	MLB	CLE	55%	525	465	108	20	5	17	45	150	10	9	2	232	313	406	720	174	299	29	9	317	101	+0	+1	-3	-6	+15	0.8
2031	29	MLB	CLE	53%	514	456	104	19	5	16	44	148	9	8	2	228	308	397	705	169	297	29	9	315	99	-1	+1	-3	-6	+15	0.6
2032	30	MLB	CLE	53%	504	446	101	18	4	16	44	147	9	7	2	226	309	392	701	166	295	29	9	312	97	-2	+1	-4	-5	+14	0.4
2033	31	MLB	CLE	52%	494	439	97	17	4	15	43	145	9	6	1	221	303	380	684	159	292	29	9	307	93	-4	+1	-5	-5	+14	0.1
2027	25	MLB	CLE	56%	311	276	63	12	3	9	26	92	6	6	1	228	308	391	700	163	301	30	8	297	85	-5	+1	-1	-3	+9	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	CLE	56%	307	272	63	11	3	10	26	89	6	6	1	232	312	404	717	173	301	29	8	304	91	-3	+1	-1	-3	+9	0.2
2029	27	MLB	CLE	55%	296	263	61	11	3	10	25	85	6	5	1	232	313	411	724	179	300	29	8	304	91	-3	+1	-1	-3	+8	0.2
2030	28	MLB	CLE	55%	288	256	59	11	3	9	25	83	5	5	1	230	311	402	714	172	299	29	9	304	91	-3	+1	-1	-3	+8	0.1
2031	29	MLB	CLE	53%	275	244	56	10	2	9	24	79	5	4	1	230	311	398	709	168	298	29	9	301	89	-3	+0	-2	-3	+8	0.0
2032	30	MLB	CLE	53%	265	235	53	10	2	8	23	77	5	4	1	226	308	387	695	162	296	29	9	298	87	-4	+0	-2	-3	+8	-0.1
2033	31	MLB	CLE	52%	258	229	51	9	2	8	22	76	5	3	1	223	305	384	689	162	293	29	9	294	83	-5	+0	-2	-3	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2220	1971	449	87	20	69	189	644	42	39	7	228	309	397	706	169	300	29	9	300	88	-30	+5	-14	-28	+63	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	131	25	6	20	55	189	12	11	2	227	307	395	702	168	299	29	8	300	88	-9	+1	-4	-8	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	4890	4334	997	190	49	151	419	1446	92	81	20	230	311	401	712	171	306	30	9	314	98	-9	+8	-24	-52	+139	6.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	133	25	7	20	56	192	12	11	3	231	312	403	715	172	307	30	9	314	98	-1	+1	-3	-7	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	77	59	16	4	0	4	15	12	2	5	2	271	434	542	977	271	273	16	19	424	182	+7	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2024	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	298	251	66	14	4	10	36	84	7	1	2	263	371	470	841	207	348	28	12	369	140	+14	-1	—	—	+8	2.2
2024	22	A+	Lake County Captains	—	183	154	52	12	2	7	23	33	5	4	0	338	440	578	1.017	240	391	18	13	443	197	+20	+1	—	—	+5	2.7
2025	23	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	138	123	27	10	1	4	11	38	2	4	0	220	294	415	709	195	280	28	8	310	95	-1	+1	-3	-5	+4	-0.5
2025	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	289	251	71	14	4	13	33	79	2	2	1	283	371	526	897	243	358	27	11	388	155	+18	+0	—	—	+8	2.7
2025	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	80	66	24	4	4	1	11	14	3	2	1	364	475	591	1.066	227	451	18	14	464	213	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	138	123	27	10	1	4	11	38	2	4	0	220	294	415	709	195	280	28	8	310	95	-1	+1	-3	-5	+4	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	11	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.8
	/162	664	27	0	229	322	419	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,274	71	39	228	305	399	-39	-15	2.3	2.3
	/162	664	21	11	228	305	399	-11.3	-4.5	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	5	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	17	4	254	332	411	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
CJ Kayfus (OGILVIE)	24	50	60	45	55	210/297/331	121	299	7	9	32%	8%	76	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Greg Bird 2017 · MLB	24	45→50	54→55	45→30	46	236/303/416	180	291	21	4	27%	8%	102	+1.9	216/300/393	177	258	21	3	25%	10%	95	+1.4	188/274/363	176	222	22	0	27%	10%	74	-0.0
●Jake Bauers 2021 · MLB	25	44→50	49→60	45→55	51	223/307/375	152	286	17	12	27%	10%	93	+1.3	209/287/347	138	278	17	13	29%	10%	78	+0.2	233/340/432	199	302	26	17	30%	13%	117	+1.5
●Brandon Allen 2010 · MLB	24	45→47	53→55	50	43	234/289/411	176	292	21	8	27%	7%	95	+1.4	222/301/400	178	291	21	10	30%	9%	97	+1.5	211/298/391	180	279	21	9	31%	10%	91	+0.8
✕Taylor Trammell 2022 · MLB	24	41→46	50→55	47→55	44	210/284/359	150	288	18	12	33%	8%	79	+0.3	220/302/395	175	297	21	18	31%	10%	96	+1.5	208/300/381	173	279	21	23	32%	11%	90	+0.6
✕Jarred Kelenic 2023 · MLB	24	43→53	55→60	49→50	44	226/287/420	195	278	21	13	27%	7%	97	+1.5	229/289/388	159	313	17	13	30%	8%	89	+0.9	219/278/354	135	308	14	13	32%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Travis Ishikawa 2009 · MLB	25	44→49	53→55	46→45	43	230/288/405	175	294	20	6	29%	7%	92	+1.2	246/309/388	142	312	15	6	25%	8%	96	+1.5	241/313/382	142	314	15	1	27%	8%	92	+0.6
✕AJ Reed 2017 · MLB	24	45→53	54→60	46→30	46	234/302/411	178	305	22	2	30%	9%	100	+1.7	210/277/391	181	282	24	2	33%	8%	85	+0.7	193/261/372	180	256	25	0	35%	8%	72	-0.1
✕David Dahl 2019 · MLB	25	46→54	52→55	50→55	42	236/283/402	167	297	19	12	28%	6%	89	+1.0	237/287/388	151	303	15	8	26%	6%	88	+0.9	250/300/396	147	318	14	5	25%	6%	92	+0.8
✕Brandon Jones 2008 · MLB	24	50→53	49→55	50	43	249/298/404	155	312	16	12	25%	6%	96	+1.5	238/294/358	120	302	10	9	23%	7%	82	+0.5	228/290/330	102	287	7	7	22%	8%	71	-0.2
●Lars Nootbaar 2022 · MLB	24	47→53	49→55	42→50	49	239/303/381	143	282	18	8	22%	8%	92	+1.2	241/336/421	180	284	21	10	22%	12%	117	+2.9	238/343/417	178	278	20	10	21%	13%	115	+2.2
●Rowdy Tellez 2020 · MLB	25	45→50	53→65	43→45	44	237/296/413	176	287	22	5	26%	7%	98	+1.6	247/315/462	215	277	29	3	22%	8%	120	+3.1	239/317/473	234	248	33	1	20%	9%	114	+1.7
✕Nick Williams 2018 · MLB	24	48→57	50→55	44→45	36	243/280/403	160	322	18	7	30%	4%	89	+0.9	239/295/409	170	312	21	5	29%	6%	97	+1.5	232/292/395	163	298	21	5	29%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Dominic Smith 2020 · MLB	25	48→52	50	43→40	44	243/296/401	158	304	18	4	26%	6%	95	+1.4	255/317/425	170	311	19	4	23%	7%	110	+2.4	249/315/401	152	304	16	3	22%	7%	100	+1.1
●Hee-Seop Choi 2003 · MLB	24	46→49	51→55	49→30	52	235/315/397	162	286	20	8	25%	10%	102	+1.8	240/348/431	191	300	21	4	25%	13%	124	+3.4	240/351/437	197	291	22	2	24%	13%	121	+1.8
✕Nick Weglarz 2012 · AAA	24	43→47	50→55	42→45	53	218/312/378	159	275	17	5	26%	11%	96	+1.5	207/291/355	148	333	17	6	39%	10%	82	+0.5	182/271/331	149	305	19	3	43%	10%	65	-0.5
●Alex Kirilloff 2022 · MLB	24	48→58	49→55	44→45	44	245/294/392	147	292	17	7	23%	6%	92	+1.2	262/327/442	180	315	23	5	24%	7%	118	+3.0	260/331/443	183	315	23	2	24%	8%	117	+1.5
●Paul McAnulty 2006 · MLB	25	49→50	48→60	48→40	45	243/300/384	141	301	15	7	24%	7%	92	+1.2	238/305/382	144	287	15	3	22%	8%	93	+1.3	235/297/429	194	268	26	2	23%	8%	101	+1.5
✕Craig Brazell 2005 · MLB	25	49→47	50→65	49→30	47	247/302/405	158	288	18	9	21%	7%	98	+1.6	233/266/410	177	272	22	5	23%	4%	85	+0.7	235/262/430	195	268	27	1	24%	3%	85	+0.5
✕Nicky Delmonico 2017 · AAA	25	47	51→55	48→45	42	237/286/410	173	304	18	5	28%	6%	93	+1.3	231/299/381	150	287	16	5	24%	8%	91	+1.1	225/300/366	141	278	15	4	23%	8%	85	+0.4
●Abraham Toro 2021 · MLB	24	45→55	49→50	45	45	229/297/380	151	281	16	6	24%	7%	90	+1.0	236/305/387	151	269	17	9	19%	8%	95	+1.4	240/309/396	156	273	17	9	18%	8%	96	+1.1