Angel Barboza — OGILVIE

Angel BarbozaC DSL Reds

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 173 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 34 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .288 / .253

PA34

HR0

K%26

BB%9

BABIP309

ISO32

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.4	$5M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$16M		$38M	+$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	52	43	8	1	0	0	6	6	3	2	0	186	327	209	536	23	216	12	12	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	52	39	8	1	0	0	10	4	3	2	0	205	404	231	635	26	229	8	19	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	CIN	—	52	46	10	0	0	0	6	14	0	2	0	217	308	217	525		312	27	12	246	46	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
YTD	19	ROK	CIN	—	52	42	12	0	0	0	10	10	0	2	0	286	423	286	709		375	19	19	343	121	+1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.4
ROS	19	ROK	CIN	0%	34	31	7	1	0	0	3	9	0	1	0	221	288	253	541	32	293	26	9	267	62	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
ROS	19	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		295	—	—	260	57	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	CIN	—	52	47	10	0	0	0	6	14	0	2	0	213	308	213	520		303	27	12	246	46	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK	CIN	—	86	77	17	1	0	0	9	23	0	3	0	219	300	232	532	13	311	27	10	254	53	-5	+1	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CIN	34%	147	131	30	4	1	1	13	36	2	2	0	229	308	298	606	69	294	24	9	277	70	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2028	21	MLB	CIN	48%	291	259	58	7	1	4	26	70	4	4	1	224	304	305	610	81	295	24	9	284	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2029	22	MLB	CIN	54%	398	354	82	11	2	6	36	95	5	6	1	232	311	325	636	93	296	24	9	289	79	-9	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.0
2030	23	MLB	CIN	57%	471	419	97	13	2	7	43	112	6	7	1	232	312	322	634	91	297	24	9	292	82	-10	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.3
2031	24	MLB	CIN	57%	518	459	107	14	3	8	47	123	7	8	1	233	314	329	643	96	298	24	9	294	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2032	25	MLB	CIN	57%	520	460	109	14	3	9	48	123	7	8	2	237	318	339	658	102	298	24	9	295	84	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2033	26	MLB	CIN	56%	520	460	109	14	3	9	48	123	7	8	2	237	318	339	658	102	298	24	9	296	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2034	27	MLB	CIN	55%	520	460	107	14	2	9	48	124	7	8	2	233	315	330	645	98	298	24	9	296	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2035	28	MLB	CIN	55%	520	459	107	14	2	9	49	124	7	7	1	233	317	331	648	98	297	24	9	295	84	-9	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2036	29	MLB	CIN	58%	520	459	106	14	2	8	49	125	7	7	1	231	315	322	637	92	296	24	9	293	83	-10	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.4
2037	30	MLB	CIN	60%	520	459	105	13	2	8	49	127	7	6	1	229	313	318	631	89	295	24	9	290	80	-12	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.1
2038	31	MLB	CIN	62%	504	444	101	13	2	8	48	124	7	5	1	227	313	320	632	92	293	25	10	286	77	-13	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.8
2027	20	MLB	CIN	34%	51	45	10	1	0	1	5	12	1	1	0	222	314	311	625	89	297	24	10	269	64	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	21	MLB	CIN	48%	141	125	30	4	1	2	13	34	2	2	0	240	321	336	657	96	298	24	9	276	70	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	22	MLB	CIN	54%	216	191	44	6	1	3	20	52	3	3	1	230	313	319	632	89	299	24	9	281	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2030	23	MLB	CIN	57%	267	237	55	7	1	4	24	63	4	4	1	232	313	321	634	89	299	24	9	284	76	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2031	24	MLB	CIN	57%	293	260	61	8	1	5	27	69	4	4	1	235	316	331	647	96	300	24	9	286	77	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2032	25	MLB	CIN	57%	294	261	61	8	1	5	27	70	4	4	1	234	315	330	645	96	300	24	9	288	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2033	26	MLB	CIN	56%	294	261	61	8	1	5	27	70	4	4	1	234	315	330	645	96	300	24	9	288	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2034	27	MLB	CIN	55%	288	255	60	8	1	5	27	68	4	4	1	235	318	333	652	98	300	24	9	288	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2035	28	MLB	CIN	55%	285	252	59	8	1	5	27	68	4	4	1	234	318	333	651	99	300	24	9	287	78	-7	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.6
2036	29	MLB	CIN	58%	302	267	62	8	1	5	28	73	4	4	1	232	314	326	640	94	299	24	9	286	77	-8	+0	-1	+5	+9	0.6
2037	30	MLB	CIN	60%	313	276	63	8	1	5	30	76	4	4	1	228	313	319	632	91	297	24	10	283	75	-9	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.5
2038	31	MLB	CIN	62%	311	275	63	8	1	5	29	77	4	3	1	229	312	320	632	91	295	25	9	279	71	-10	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3055	2706	629	82	11	50	284	732	42	41	10	232	315	326	641	94	299	24	9	284	76	-83	+4	-4	+55	+87	5.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	133	17	2	11	60	156	9	9	2	231	313	325	638	94	296	24	9	284	76	-18	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	5535	4897	1133	147	25	86	513	1321	76	79	14	231	314	324	638	93	297	24	9	291	81	-118	+10	-7	+99	+157	14.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	133	17	3	10	60	155	9	9	2	231	314	323	637	92	297	24	9	291	81	-14	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	52	39	8	1	0	0	10	4	3	2	0	205	404	231	635	26	229	8	19	323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,112	49	43	232	311	326	+56	+32	8.1	7.0
	/162	664	10	9	232	311	326	+11.9	+6.8	1.7	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Barboza (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	219/300/232	13	311	0	3	27%	10%	53	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	50	36→40	44→45	50	231/310/298	67	290	3	8	20%	8%	74	-0.1	208/273/281	73	275	4	5	24%	8%	53	-1.5	208/262/276	68	271	6	4	24%	7%	43	-0.5
✕Ricardo Hurtado 2023 · A	20	43	36→45	47→40	54	196/312/270	74	246	3	7	19%	10%	71	-0.3	190/286/298	108	283	10	4	34%	9%	66	-0.6	174/281/288	113	266	12	2	36%	10%	59	-0.5
✕Jeferson Morales 2019 · A	20	47→45	38→50	50	54	218/320/316	97	274	3	15	20%	10%	84	+0.6	207/296/329	122	258	9	9	22%	9%	77	+0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→42	43→50	47→45	50	230/306/345	115	283	9	10	21%	8%	85	+0.7	221/273/345	124	289	14	8	27%	6%	70	-0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Edward Duran 2022 · A	18	49→45	37→40	49→50	46	231/297/312	81	291	3	9	21%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/287	70	281	2	8	22%	8%	63	-0.9	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→40	47→45	49	227/314/329	102	280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	215/317/292	77	291	4	7	25%	10%	77	+0.1	211/334/282	71	273	4	7	21%	12%	79	+0.1
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2018 · A	19	48	40	49→45	45	232/284/331	99	286	7	5	21%	6%	71	-0.3	212/263/280	68	261	4	4	19%	6%	48	-1.9	215/285/319	104	236	12	5	15%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Yoandy Rea 2019 · A	19	50	37→40	45→40	45	231/293/316	85	277	2	5	16%	5%	71	-0.3	242/294/356	114	287	9	5	18%	5%	82	+0.5	289/333/469	179	306	22	3	14%	4%	124	+0.6
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	41→45	48→30	43	233/283/334	102	283	8	5	21%	5%	72	-0.2	201/244/277	76	295	6	5	32%	5%	39	-2.5	180/204/231	51	257	9	0	33%	2%	11	-0.8
✕Jacob Amaya 2019 · A	20	49→46	39→45	48→45	52	231/310/318	87	306	7	11	25%	10%	79	+0.3	214/286/318	104	281	8	6	25%	9%	69	-0.4	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Juan Fernandez 2018 · A	19	48→57	41→40	48→50	47	230/294/335	105	278	8	6	20%	7%	77	+0.1	200/257/274	74	263	4	4	24%	6%	45	-2.1	239/301/332	93	297	10	9	22%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Onil Perez 2022 · A	19	47	39→40	45→55	54	225/299/312	87	270	7	10	19%	10%	72	-0.2	210/268/287	77	270	3	14	22%	7%	53	-1.5	207/275/273	66	256	3	21	19%	7%	50	-0.9
✕Jakson Reetz 2016 · A	20	47→31	38→60	48→45	47	215/303/295	80	308	4	9	29%	9%	71	-0.3	201/280/287	86	302	6	5	33%	7%	59	-1.1	196/276/392	196	242	25	4	30%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2023 · A	18	48	36→40	46→45	51	222/319/290	68	289	3	7	22%	9%	77	+0.1	185/267/258	73	262	5	4	29%	8%	46	-2.0	156/251/226	69	237	6	4	33%	9%	31	-0.9
✕Luis Perez 2010 · A	19	49	37→30	45→50	58	225/321/310	84	276	3	7	18%	11%	82	+0.5	226/294/321	95	269	6	10	17%	7%	73	-0.1	228/288/337	109	268	7	11	17%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Sam Huff 2017 · A	19	50→42	39→55	49→45	42	225/296/318	93	354	5	5	35%	8%	73	-0.1	188/237/306	118	315	13	5	42%	5%	45	-2.1	215/278/394	178	310	27	1	38%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Ivan Ramirez 2010 · A	18	50	38→40	50→40	43	235/293/316	81	288	5	5	20%	5%	71	-0.3	244/294/308	64	287	3	3	15%	6%	69	-0.4	263/310/310	48	297	2	1	12%	6%	76	+0.0