Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025
20
AMLE
Lakeland Flying Tigers
2
2
4
21
4
4
0
100%
2.0
19.0%
19.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6.75
3.90
—
2025
20
AMLE
Lakeland Flying Tigers
2
2
4
21
4
4
0
100%
2.0
19.0%
19.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6.75
3.90
—
2025
20
ARAW
Lakeland Flying Tigers
2
2
4
21
4
4
0
100%
2.0
19.0%
19.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6.75
4.10
—
2026
21
MIXMLE
3 levels
14
11
46
195
52
19
4
79%
3.3
20.3%
12.4%
7.9%
2.3%
2.74
4.21
—
2026
21
MIXMLE
3 levels
14
11
46
195
52
19
4
79%
3.3
20.3%
12.4%
7.9%
2.3%
2.74
4.21
—
2026
21
MIXRAW
3 levels
14
11
46
195
52
19
4
79%
3.3
26.7%
9.7%
16.9%
2.1%
2.74
3.21
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
22
MLB
DET
8
8
45
190
40
22
6
100%
5.6
21.0%
11.7%
9.2%
2.9%
4.81
4.81
+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
23
MLBMLE
DET
8
8
46
195
43
21
6
100%
5.8
21.9%
10.6%
11.3%
2.9%
4.64
4.56
+0.2
2029
24
MLBMLE
DET
8
8
48
201
45
20
6
100%
5.9
22.6%
9.9%
12.7%
2.9%
4.49
4.41
+0.3
2030
25
MLBMLE
DET
8
8
48
203
47
19
6
100%
6.0
23.0%
9.5%
13.5%
2.9%
4.38
4.31
+0.3
2031
26
MLBMLE
DET
8
8
48
203
47
19
6
100%
6.0
23.2%
9.5%
13.8%
2.9%
4.33
4.29
+0.3
2032
27
MLBMLE
DET
8
8
47
200
46
19
6
100%
5.9
23.2%
9.5%
13.7%
2.9%
4.33
4.33
+0.3
2028
23
MLBCTX
DET
4
4
23
97
21
10
3
100%
5.8
21.9%
10.6%
11.3%
2.8%
4.57
4.49
+0.1
2029
24
MLBCTX
DET
6
6
33
139
31
14
4
100%
5.5
22.6%
9.9%
12.7%
2.8%
4.42
4.34
+0.2
2030
25
MLBCTX
DET
7
7
39
165
38
16
5
100%
5.6
23.0%
9.5%
13.5%
2.7%
4.31
4.24
+0.3
2031
26
MLBCTX
DET
7
7
42
177
41
17
5
100%
6.0
23.2%
9.5%
13.8%
2.7%
4.26
4.22
+0.3
2032
27
MLBCTX
DET
7
7
43
182
42
17
5
100%
6.1
23.2%
9.5%
13.7%
2.8%
4.26
4.26
+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
31
31
180
759
174
74
21
100%
5.8
22.9%
9.7%
13.2%
2.8%
4.34
3.91
+2.1
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
34
34
200
844
194
82
23
100%
5.8
22.9%
9.7%
13.2%
2.8%
4.34
3.91
+2.4
Career
—
MLE
16
13
50
216
44
28
4
81%
3.1
20.2%
13.1%
7.1%
2.1%
3.06
4.18
+1.5
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
64
52
200
864
175
113
18
81%
3.1
20.2%
13.1%
7.1%
2.1%
3.06
4.18
+1.2
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.