Danny Thompson Jr.
P
Vancouver Canadians
Age 23
RHP
6'0" / 180 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION69 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 98
ERA4.30
FIP4.30
K%23.3%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 77 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 10 | 1 | 14 | 52 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10% | 1.4 | 21.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 1.6% | 0.66 | 3.32 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 10 | 1 | 14 | 52 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10% | 1.4 | 28.8% | 7.7% | 21.2% | 1.9% | 0.66 | 2.73 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 17 | 14 | 69 | 289 | 88 | 32 | 6 | 82% | 4.1 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 3.63 | 4.10 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TOR | 2 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.0 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.30 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 77 | 323 | 96 | 35 | 7 | — | — | 29.7% | 10.9% | 18.8% | 2.2% | 3.70 | 4.12 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 3.92 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TOR | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.8% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TOR | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.8% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.20 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.3 | 23.8% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 3.82 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 208 | 69 | 23 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.8% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 3.82 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 27 | 15 | 83 | 341 | 80 | 41 | 8 | 56% | 3.1 | 23.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 2.4% | 3.14 | 3.98 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 36 | 200 | 822 | 192 | 99 | 20 | 56% | 3.1 | 23.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 2.4% | 3.14 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Danny Thompson Jr. (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.30 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.20 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 20 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 85 |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 85 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 80 |
| Colin Fields R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 80 |
| Michael Knorr R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 79 |
| Ray Gaither R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 79 |
| Rico Garcia R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 79 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2029 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 78 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 77 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2027 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.29 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .316 | 4.60 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +1.31 | 3.29 | 142 | 77 |
| Brett Gillis R 2028 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 77 |
| Keith Rogalla R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.55 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .344 | 3.62 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 65 | +0.07 | 3.00 | 113 | 76 |
| Blair Henley R 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 76 |
| Ricky Castro R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 76 |
| Clay Chandler R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.97 | 18.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | .319 | 5.05 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 293 | +0.08 | 4.82 | 328 | 76 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 76 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 75 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 75 |
| Mason McGwire R 2025 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.50 | 23.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 128 | 75 |
| Sam Benschoter R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 74 |