Player 834925 — OGILVIE

Player 834925— ACL Cubs

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION119 act + 201 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .322 / .355

PA201

HR4

SB10

K%31

BB%11

BABIP308

ISO140

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	CHC	—	119	93	22	3	3	3	19	37	6	11	1	237	398	430	828	194	352	31	16	345	122	+3	+2	+0	-2	+3	0.6
YTD	—	ROK	CHC	—	119	82	25	4	4	3	30	26	6	11	1	305	517	561	1.078	256	407	22	25	469	217	+16	+2	+0	-2	+3	1.9
ROS	—	ROK	CHC	0%	201	172	37	6	3	4	22	62	5	10	1	215	322	355	676	140	302	31	11	308	94	-1	+2	+0	-4	+6	0.2
ROS	—	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		304	—	—	290	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	CHC	—	119	94	22	3	3	3	19	37	6	11	1	234	398	426	824	191	345	31	16	345	122	+3	+2	+0	-2	+3	0.6
TOT	—	ROK	CHC	—	320	265	59	9	6	7	41	99	11	21	2	223	350	381	731	158	323	31	13	322	104	+2	+3	+0	-6	+9	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CHC	0%	342	296	64	10	5	8	36	103	7	14	2	216	316	365	680	149	297	30	11	305	92	-3	+2	+0	-6	+10	0.2
2028	25	MLB	CHC	0%	426	369	80	13	6	10	45	126	9	18	2	217	317	366	683	149	297	30	11	307	93	-3	+3	+0	-8	+12	0.4
2029	25	MLB	CHC	0%	482	419	92	15	6	12	50	141	10	20	3	220	317	370	687	150	296	29	10	308	94	-3	+3	+0	-9	+14	0.5
2030	25	MLB	CHC	0%	521	452	100	16	7	13	54	151	10	22	3	221	318	374	692	153	296	29	10	309	95	-3	+3	+0	-9	+15	0.6
2031	25	MLB	CHC	0%	548	475	104	17	7	13	57	159	11	23	3	219	317	366	683	147	296	29	10	310	95	-3	+3	+0	-10	+16	0.6
2032	25	MLB	CHC	0%	567	492	108	18	7	14	59	164	11	24	3	220	317	370	687	150	295	29	10	310	95	-3	+4	+0	-10	+16	0.7
2033	25	MLB	CHC	0%	582	504	111	18	7	15	61	169	12	24	3	220	319	373	692	153	295	29	10	310	96	-3	+4	+0	-10	+16	0.7
2034	25	MLB	CHC	0%	593	514	113	19	7	15	62	172	12	25	3	220	318	372	690	152	295	29	10	311	96	-3	+4	+0	-11	+17	0.7
2027	25	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		299	—	—	291	81	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	293	83	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	296	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	296	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	296	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	297	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	297	86	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4262	3693	809	132	55	104	446	1247	87	180	23	219	318	369	687	150	298	29	10	309	95	-25	+27	+0	-76	+121	4.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	123	20	8	16	68	190	13	27	4	218	316	368	684	149	297	29	10	309	95	-4	+4	+0	-12	+18	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,381	106	181	219	313	369	-49	+0	7.4	7.2
	/162	664	16	27	219	313	369	-7.5	+0.0	1.1	pk7: 7
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 834925 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	223/350/381	158	323	7	21	31%	13%	104	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	40→50	46→45	54→55	44	199/284/331	132	279	13	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	219/298/335	116	289	10	19	26%	8%	79	+0.3	221/302/335	114	287	10	20	25%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→47	43→50	55→65	47	214/294/334	120	273	10	23	24%	8%	77	+0.1	206/272/327	121	267	11	18	26%	7%	66	-0.6	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A	24	46→55	46→45	53→55	46	228/295/364	136	304	13	20	29%	8%	85	+0.7	249/321/362	113	327	10	18	24%	9%	95	+1.4	253/329/353	100	328	8	18	23%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Justin Dean 2021 · A	24	47→49	43→45	58→65	44	222/293/335	113	314	10	23	31%	8%	76	+0.1	203/280/315	112	322	11	27	37%	8%	66	-0.6	232/303/321	89	344	6	48	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Mario Lisson 2007 · A	23	45→49	44→55	55	47	219/296/340	121	292	11	22	27%	8%	79	+0.3	215/266/328	113	281	11	19	26%	5%	63	-0.9	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Elijah Dunham 2022 · A	24	44→42	47→50	55→60	45	219/291/363	144	292	14	21	29%	8%	83	+0.6	212/283/362	150	289	16	27	31%	8%	80	+0.4	202/275/357	155	275	17	29	32%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Eli Iorg 2008 · A	25	45→49	47→50	59→55	37	226/266/369	143	303	14	24	30%	4%	73	-0.1	228/263/347	119	315	11	17	30%	4%	66	-0.6	237/268/356	118	321	12	19	29%	3%	66	-0.5
✕Phillip Ervin 2017 · AA	25	42→50	46→50	55	48	211/289/341	130	257	13	25	23%	8%	77	+0.1	227/293/361	134	285	14	22	24%	7%	83	+0.6	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Brewer Hicklen 2021 · A	25	44→43	49→55	56→60	35	216/274/360	145	328	17	25	38%	5%	76	+0.0	202/278/362	160	316	20	32	40%	8%	78	+0.2	219/291/395	177	297	25	40	34%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Anthony Norman 2010 · A	25	45→42	47→50	60→55	50	223/302/368	145	266	13	19	22%	8%	89	+0.9	213/282/332	119	290	10	11	28%	7%	71	-0.3	210/282/335	125	290	10	9	29%	7%	71	-0.1
✕José Caballero 2022 · AA	25	44→45	46→45	55→70	46	221/294/354	133	287	14	29	27%	8%	82	+0.5	225/330/346	121	289	12	41	24%	11%	96	+1.5	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
●Daniel Carbonell 2015 · A	24	51→54	46→55	56→55	42	250/295/384	134	308	13	18	23%	5%	89	+1.0	212/250/308	96	284	9	15	28%	4%	50	-1.7	247/291/402	155	310	17	21	25%	5%	90	+0.6
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	39→40	45→50	54→55	44	194/276/317	123	270	12	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/287/354	145	287	18	23	32%	8%	79	+0.3	198/279/346	148	268	20	26	32%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Nate Tenbrink 2012 · AA	25	46→51	46→50	57→50	45	225/291/359	134	291	12	17	26%	8%	82	+0.5	227/296/377	150	329	16	13	33%	8%	89	+0.9	226/297/380	155	340	17	11	36%	8%	87	+0.4
●Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	45→50	45→50	49→50	43	220/292/339	119	296	13	11	29%	7%	78	+0.2	243/315/397	154	291	18	10	22%	8%	102	+1.9	239/320/383	144	286	17	9	22%	9%	97	+1.2
✕Quincy Hamilton 2023 · AA	25	46→44	46→50	53→50	49	225/309/354	130	297	14	18	28%	9%	89	+0.9	206/283/353	147	268	17	12	28%	9%	78	+0.2	182/260/332	150	231	18	10	29%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Drew Ferguson 2017 · AA	24	49	44→45	53→55	43	234/300/353	119	319	11	21	29%	7%	84	+0.6	238/313/350	112	326	10	18	28%	8%	89	+0.9	239/321/346	107	326	10	20	27%	9%	88	+0.6
✕Keon Broxton 2015 · AA	25	43→48	50→55	54→60	38	219/270/374	156	313	19	16	36%	6%	77	+0.1	227/294/395	168	342	18	32	36%	8%	92	+1.2	223/298/398	174	337	19	38	37%	9%	93	+1.0
✕Scott Heineman 2017 · A	24	46→56	43→45	51→50	42	222/289/341	118	312	10	17	30%	7%	76	+0.1	239/297/355	116	328	11	14	29%	6%	83	+0.6	257/317/388	131	330	15	16	25%	6%	97	+0.8
✕Anthony Seratelli 2008 · A	25	46→49	46→45	56→55	46	229/291/363	134	291	12	19	25%	8%	82	+0.5	205/260/299	94	298	8	17	32%	7%	53	-1.5	229/300/350	121	298	13	20	26%	8%	81	+0.3