Jose Perez — OGILVIE

Jose PerezSS Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 22 S/R 5'9" / 170 lbs A+ HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 157 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .301 / .285

PA157

HR1

K%23

BB%11

BABIP267

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Rays 2	—	123	109	16	2	2	1	11	37	2	2	5	147	238	229	467	83	208	30	9	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Rays 2	—	123	102	21	4	2	1	18	27	2	2	5	206	336	314	650	108	267	22	15	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	110	93	17	0	1	0	12	18	2	5	4	183	290	204	494	22	221	16	11	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	110	86	18	0	1	0	19	12	2	5	4	209	364	233	597	23	237	11	17	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Rays	—	171	134	27	4	5	3	27	47	5	3	4	201	355	373	729	172	276	27	16	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Rays	—	171	119	33	5	7	3	42	32	5	3	4	277	482	513	995	235	345	19	25	428	186	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	223	190	40	8	2	2	27	53	5	5	1	211	324	305	630	95	281	24	12	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	2 teams	—	223	170	46	9	3	2	47	36	5	5	1	271	441	394	836	124	333	16	21	386	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	223	190	31	5	1	1	24	49	6	2	1	163	277	216	493	53	213	22	11	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	223	177	31	4	1	1	37	35	6	2	1	175	336	226	562	51	211	16	17	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	TB	—	52	47	6	2	0	0	5	17	0	0	0	128	212	170	382	43	200	33	10	171	-11	-7	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.5
YTD	22	A+	TB	—	52	45	7	2	0	0	7	13	0	0	0	156	269	200	469	44	219	25	13	230	34	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
ROS	22	A+	TB	0%	157	137	28	6	1	1	17	36	2	2	1	204	301	285	586	80	257	23	11	263	59	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
ROS	22	MLB	TB	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						261	0	0	254	53	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	TB	—	53	48	6	2	0	0	5	17	0	0	0	125	208	167	374	42	194	32	9	173	-10	-7	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.5
TOT	22	A+	TB	—	209	184	34	8	1	1	22	53	2	2	1	185	279	255	534	71	252	25	11	240	42	-14	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	TB	35%	269	235	48	10	1	3	28	60	4	4	1	204	300	294	593	89	262	22	10	276	70	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2028	24	MLB	TB	46%	359	313	67	14	2	5	38	80	5	5	1	214	309	319	628	105	265	22	11	285	77	-10	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2029	25	MLB	TB	52%	410	359	78	16	2	7	43	91	5	5	2	217	310	331	641	114	267	22	10	291	81	-9	+0	+0	+4	+12	0.7
2030	26	MLB	TB	54%	442	387	84	17	2	8	46	98	6	6	2	217	310	333	643	116	268	22	10	293	83	-9	+0	+0	+5	+13	0.9
2031	27	MLB	TB	54%	455	398	86	17	2	8	48	101	6	6	2	216	310	329	639	113	268	22	11	293	83	-9	+0	+0	+5	+13	0.9
2032	28	MLB	TB	54%	459	401	86	17	2	8	49	103	6	6	2	214	309	327	636	112	267	22	11	292	82	-9	+0	-1	+5	+13	0.8
2027	23	MLB	TB	35%	93	82	16	3	0	1	10	21	1	1	0	195	290	268	559	73	265	23	11	268	63	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	24	MLB	TB	46%	166	146	31	6	1	2	17	37	2	2	1	212	303	308	611	96	269	22	10	277	70	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2029	25	MLB	TB	52%	212	185	40	8	1	3	22	47	3	3	1	216	310	319	628	103	270	22	10	282	74	-6	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2030	26	MLB	TB	54%	240	210	46	9	1	4	25	53	3	3	1	219	311	329	639	110	271	22	10	284	76	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2031	27	MLB	TB	54%	247	216	46	9	1	4	26	55	3	3	1	213	306	319	626	106	271	22	11	284	76	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2032	28	MLB	TB	54%	249	217	47	9	1	4	27	56	3	3	1	217	312	323	634	106	270	22	11	284	75	-7	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1208	1057	226	44	5	18	127	269	15	15	5	214	307	316	623	102	268	22	11	281	73	-36	+1	-0	+13	+34	1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	123	24	3	10	68	145	8	8	3	216	309	322	630	105	271	22	10	281	73	-19	+0	-0	+7	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	3401	2946	608	116	23	47	370	773	54	51	26	206	306	309	615	103	262	23	11	280	72	-106	-0	-1	+36	+96	2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	116	22	4	9	71	148	10	10	5	206	306	307	613	101	261	23	11	280	72	-20	+0	-0	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Rays 2	—	123	102	21	4	2	1	18	27	2	2	5	206	336	314	650	108	267	22	15	302	89	-1	-2	—	—	+3	0.0
2022	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	110	86	18	0	1	0	19	12	2	5	4	209	364	233	597	23	237	11	17	288	79	-3	-1	—	—	+3	-0.0
2023	19	ROK	DSL Rays	—	171	119	33	5	7	3	42	32	5	3	4	277	482	513	995	235	345	19	25	428	186	+17	-1	—	—	+5	2.1
2024	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	85	65	15	2	0	0	18	14	1	2	1	231	405	262	666	31	294	16	21	325	107	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	20	ROK	FCL Rays	—	138	105	31	7	3	2	29	22	4	3	0	295	464	476	940	181	358	16	21	423	182	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
2025	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	15	11	2	0	0	0	2	5	1	0	1	182	357	182	539		286	33	13	263	59	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2025	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	208	166	29	4	1	1	35	30	5	2	0	175	335	229	564	54	207	14	17	278	71	-7	+0	—	—	+6	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Jack Hannahanlast yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,867 PA	7	1,867	29	6	232	315	348	+6	+29	6.2	6.2
	/162	664	10	2	232	315	348	+2.0	+10.4	2.2	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,208	20	16	216	307	327	+13	+9	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	11	9	216	307	327	+7.1	+4.9	1.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Perez (OGILVIE)	22	30	20	40	60	185/279/255	71	252	1	2	25%	11%	42	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mosquera 2009 · A	21	43	33→30	46→55	52	197/290/240	43	280	1	14	27%	10%	51	-1.7	202/267/260	58	263	3	9	22%	8%	45	-2.1	183/242/211	28	222	0	9	16%	7%	19	-1.0
✕Carlos Alvarez 2008 · A	22	44	36→40	49→45	49	204/285/270	66	265	2	8	22%	8%	56	-1.3	227/306/316	89	269	4	8	16%	9%	77	+0.1	231/320/325	95	269	5	9	15%	9%	83	+0.2
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A	22	38	38→40	45	44	185/245/261	75	253	6	5	28%	7%	37	-2.7	210/264/277	67	293	4	6	28%	7%	48	-1.9	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Terry Serrano 2008 · A	21	41	35→30	46→55	49	191/267/245	53	257	2	13	25%	9%	42	-2.3	202/275/269	67	295	3	16	29%	9%	51	-1.7	195/275/262	67	298	2	22	32%	10%	46	-0.8
✕Noe Becerra 2009 · AAA	22	42	37→30	44→40	46	201/262/269	69	259	5	7	24%	7%	46	-2.0	226/280/312	86	274	7	7	19%	7%	64	-0.8	274/319/333	59	310	3	0	12%	5%	84	+0.2
✕Mack Chambers 2022 · A	22	41	37→40	45→50	44	197/255/273	76	263	4	7	26%	7%	43	-2.2	211/273/309	98	276	8	11	25%	7%	61	-1.0	203/270/297	93	260	8	13	24%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Jeremy Arocho 2021 · A	22	48→46	36→30	48→60	47	224/285/296	72	288	3	10	22%	7%	62	-0.9	224/322/278	54	314	2	26	25%	12%	75	-0.0	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Rafael Marchán 2021 · A	22	45	36→45	40	47	212/268/279	67	255	3	6	18%	6%	50	-1.7	204/263/280	76	242	5	4	17%	6%	50	-1.8	225/304/328	104	255	10	2	15%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Kawika Emsley-Pai 2013 · A	24	43	36→30	46→40	53	198/292/268	70	276	3	7	27%	11%	59	-1.1	195/288/272	77	280	6	7	29%	11%	59	-1.1	161/272/222	60	234	6	4	30%	12%	39	-0.7
✕Milkar Perez 2023 · A	21	40	34→40	44→40	52	181/283/230	49	284	2	4	33%	12%	46	-2.0	212/292/292	80	316	5	3	31%	9%	65	-0.7	211/289/292	82	309	5	2	31%	9%	61	-0.6
✕Elvis Perez 2018 · A	22	45	36→30	46→45	43	210/267/277	67	288	3	7	27%	7%	50	-1.8	203/247/292	89	290	7	6	31%	5%	45	-2.1	181/215/272	91	248	8	2	30%	4%	23	-1.1
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A	23	43	38→30	48→40	51	205/292/282	77	270	6	7	25%	10%	63	-0.8	226/312/290	64	313	3	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	233/324/284	51	328	2	2	26%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Jose Herrera 2019 · A	22	41	38→40	45→40	43	198/240/278	81	247	6	3	22%	5%	38	-2.6	207/283/309	102	280	9	5	27%	9%	66	-0.6	206/288/299	93	274	9	3	26%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Josh Johnson 2008 · A	22	46→49	36→45	45→50	54	217/298/285	69	278	3	9	22%	10%	66	-0.6	227/307/305	78	295	4	10	22%	10%	74	-0.1	249/317/359	110	296	9	16	18%	9%	89	+0.6
✕Jonah Todd 2018 · A	22	50→38	35→30	40	50	230/301/293	63	303	2	4	23%	9%	68	-0.5	199/268/259	60	302	2	5	31%	9%	45	-2.1	173/246/218	45	273	0	3	34%	9%	24	-2.8
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	42→30	47	198/274/259	61	274	3	4	27%	8%	50	-1.8	213/266/275	62	297	3	6	27%	6%	48	-1.9	241/305/316	75	293	8	1	20%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Elih Marrero 2019 · A	22	46	36→40	49→55	47	214/278/280	67	279	3	5	23%	8%	55	-1.4	211/270/289	78	283	5	9	25%	7%	54	-1.4	201/279/263	62	296	3	27	30%	9%	50	-0.6
✕Yonathan Mendoza 2015 · A	21	47	35→30	46→45	49	220/283/279	59	274	2	8	20%	8%	56	-1.3	245/297/310	65	293	4	6	17%	7%	70	-0.3	258/307/313	56	305	4	5	16%	6%	73	-0.1