Kailen Hamson
P
Delmarva Shorebirds
Age 24
LHP
6'1" / 188 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 37 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102111vR 120
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
K%23.0%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 19 | 4 | 53 | 267 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 21% | 2.8 | 15.5% | 22.5% | -7.0% | 2.4% | 5.81 | 5.98 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | BAL | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 36 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 4.45 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 90 | 423 | 92 | 67 | 10 | — | — | 21.7% | 15.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 5.25 | 5.35 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 36 | 0 | 37 | 158 | 37 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 36 | 0 | 37 | 158 | 37 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 35 | 0 | 37 | 155 | 37 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 35 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 94 | 0 | 99 | 419 | 98 | 40 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 3.99 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 81 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 3.99 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 19 | 4 | 53 | 267 | 41 | 60 | 6 | 21% | 2.8 | 15.5% | 22.5% | -7.0% | 2.4% | 5.81 | 5.98 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 15 | 200 | 1014 | 157 | 229 | 25 | 21% | 2.8 | 15.5% | 22.5% | -7.0% | 2.4% | 5.81 | 5.98 | -1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kailen Hamson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.34 | 23.5% | 14.0% | 112 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Ethan Flanagan L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.23 | 21.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 102 | 77 |
| Garrett Irvin L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.53 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 3.5% | .283 | 4.48 | 17.7% | 2.9% | 39 | -0.05 | 4.48 | 110 | 77 |
| Sean Mellen L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 76 |
| Jordan Woods L 2024 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 76 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.01 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .326 | 4.55 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.54 | 1.71 | 206 | 76 |
| Samuel Strickland L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | .337 | 3.71 | 20.5% | 14.3% | 133 | -1.15 | 3.09 | 277 | 75 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2029 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 75 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 74 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.23 | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .318 | 3.54 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 62 | -1.69 | 3.54 | 186 | 74 |
| Jake Rice L 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.29 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.56 | 21.5% | 6.0% | 130 | +1.27 | 3.29 | 199 | 73 |
| Zack Thompson L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.72 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .243 | 4.67 | 23.7% | 9.6% | 208 | +0.95 | 2.03 | 402 | 73 |
| Nick Maronde L 2027 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 73 |
| Russell Smith L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.14 | 23.3% | 12.8% | 4.3% | .343 | 3.89 | 19.0% | 5.1% | 53 | -1.25 | 3.89 | 175 | 73 |
| Randy Labaut L 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.06 | 23.2% | 14.0% | 3.9% | .240 | 4.73 | 19.5% | 5.0% | 190 | -0.33 | 1.91 | 302 | 72 |
| Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.74 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .338 | 4.62 | 12.7% | 2.7% | 41 | -0.12 | 4.27 | 156 | 72 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 72 |
| Christian Jones L 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.30 | 18.5% | 7.4% | 1.5% | .319 | 4.09 | 15.0% | 3.7% | 89 | +0.79 | 3.30 | 161 | 72 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.38 | 19.0% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .304 | 4.49 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 276 | +1.11 | 3.38 | 353 | 72 |
| Michael Theofanopoulos L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 201 | 72 |
| Ismael Guillón L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.28 | 24.9% | 12.5% | 3.1% | .206 | 4.45 | 20.1% | 6.0% | 100 | +0.17 | 4.28 | 193 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 37 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 1.17 | 4.38 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Cam Bedrosian ('21) | 6 | 45 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 0.97 | 3.68 |