Steven Duran
P
DSL Brewers Blue
Age 18
RHP
6'1" / 175 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 16 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.40
FIP4.40
K%22.7%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%12.8%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers Blue | 9 | 5 | 26 | 115 | 22 | 16 | 0 | 56% | 2.9 | 13.0% | 17.4% | -4.4% | 0.0% | 2.77 | 4.20 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers Blue | 9 | 5 | 26 | 115 | 22 | 16 | 0 | 56% | 2.9 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 2.77 | 3.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers Blue | 6 | 4 | 24 | 113 | 19 | 16 | 2 | 67% | 4.0 | 11.4% | 17.7% | -6.3% | 2.5% | 7.88 | 5.74 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | MIL | 3 | 3 | 16 | 65 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 5.2 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.7% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.40 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 40 | 178 | 34 | 22 | 4 | — | — | 19.0% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 6.51 | 5.21 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | MIL | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | MIL | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.28 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.90 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 15 | 9 | 50 | 228 | 28 | 40 | 3 | 60% | 3.3 | 12.2% | 17.5% | -5.3% | 1.2% | 5.22 | 4.96 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 36 | 200 | 912 | 112 | 160 | 11 | 60% | 3.3 | 12.2% | 17.5% | -5.3% | 1.2% | 5.22 | 4.96 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Steven Duran (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 22.7% | 9.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.28 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 20 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Dahian Santos R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.91 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 4.7% | .316 | 4.73 | 25.1% | 10.2% | 161 | -0.18 | 4.35 | 197 | 83 |
| Miguel Rondon R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.47 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .361 | 8.04 | 18.1% | 2.1% | 88 | +3.57 | 2.62 | 179 | 82 |
| Luis Arejula R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .318 | 4.42 | 15.7% | 3.5% | 71 | +0.96 | 3.46 | 115 | 80 |
| Kyle Glogoski R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.46 | 19.9% | 8.5% | 1.7% | .277 | 3.92 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 93 | +0.46 | 3.43 | 206 | 80 |
| Sean Paul Liñan R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.04 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .324 | 4.14 | 23.1% | 11.5% | 181 | +0.10 | 3.29 | 243 | 80 |
| Eric Mendez R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.26 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 1.3% | .220 | 3.42 | 23.2% | 11.5% | 49 | +0.16 | 2.86 | 213 | 79 |
| Sheng-En Lin R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .223 | 4.19 | 17.8% | 3.4% | 61 | +0.61 | 3.58 | 108 | 78 |
| Porter Hodge R 2028 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 78 |
| Alexander Cornielle R 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.08 | 24.1% | 14.2% | 2.2% | .329 | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.6% | 312 | +0.26 | 3.85 | 502 | 78 |
| Christian Romero R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.24 | 18.8% | 8.6% | 1.1% | .280 | 4.96 | 16.3% | 7.8% | 198 | +1.72 | 3.24 | 415 | 78 |
| Dario Gardea R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.46 | 18.6% | 8.7% | 1.5% | .250 | 3.51 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 50 | +0.05 | 3.12 | 205 | 77 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2029 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 77 |
| Gerelmi Maldonado R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.0% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .337 | 4.64 | 19.9% | 2.2% | 124 | +0.43 | 3.83 | 215 | 77 |
| Jose Acuna R 2027 · 3.34 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.34 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .242 | 4.99 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 207 | +1.65 | 3.34 | 356 | 77 |
| Andry Lara R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.94 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 4.1% | .294 | 4.81 | 16.6% | 6.7% | 334 | -0.13 | 4.48 | 504 | 77 |
| Reynardo Cruz R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.94 | 22.5% | 14.8% | 1.6% | .264 | 5.65 | 16.1% | -2.1% | 40 | +1.71 | 3.94 | 216 | 76 |
| Melvin Rodriguez R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.57 | 17.3% | 7.9% | 1.7% | .291 | 5.64 | 14.7% | -2.0% | 72 | +2.07 | 3.57 | 119 | 76 |
| Ramon Marquez R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.98 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .331 | 3.00 | 30.4% | 19.8% | 49 | -0.98 | 3.00 | 104 | 76 |
| Mike Garcia R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 17 | SP- | 4.11 | 17.7% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 125 | 76 |
| Anderson Brito R 2028 · 3.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.39 | 27.5% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .231 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 7.4% | 82 | +0.44 | 3.24 | 135 | 76 |