Christian Romero
P
Oklahoma City Comets
+0.1
WAR
Age 23
RHP
6'3" / 195 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 1.3 · 2029
ERA4.89
FIP4.89
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%17.9%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%8.7%
IP103
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.3peak
2029
K†4050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | 10 | 5 | 29 | 116 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 18.8% | 8.6% | 1.2% | 3.72 | 3.25 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 10 | 1 | 22 | 89 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 21.4% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 4.91 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 20 | 10 | 77 | 303 | 74 | 21 | 10 | 18.1% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 3.17 | 4.92 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | 25 | 14 | 100 | 433 | 75 | 38 | 12 | 13.7% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 4.24 | 5.02 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 25 | 15 | 103 | 443 | 83 | 36 | 11 | 15.3% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 4.98 | 4.60 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 4 | 3 | 17 | 76 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 10.4% | 9.7% | 1.4% | 5.40 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAD | 19 | 19 | 103 | 435 | 78 | 40 | 14 | 17.9% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 4.89 | 4.89 | +0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 23 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 120 | 511 | 87 | 47 | 15 | 17.0% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.96 | 4.80 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 22 | 22 | 122 | 513 | 99 | 45 | 16 | 19.3% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 4.74 | 4.69 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 25 | 25 | 135 | 570 | 115 | 48 | 18 | 20.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.62 | 4.57 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 26 | 26 | 142 | 600 | 123 | 50 | 19 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 4.55 | 4.52 | +1.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 26 | 26 | 145 | 612 | 126 | 51 | 19 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.52 | +1.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 26 | 26 | 145 | 611 | 126 | 52 | 19 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 4.54 | 4.55 | +1.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 26 | 26 | 142 | 597 | 122 | 51 | 19 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 4.57 | 4.60 | +1.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 25 | 25 | 137 | 580 | 117 | 50 | 19 | 20.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.66 | +1.0 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 24 | 24 | 132 | 559 | 112 | 49 | 19 | 20.0% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.73 | +0.9 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 23 | 23 | 127 | 537 | 106 | 48 | 18 | 19.7% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 4.77 | 4.82 | +0.7 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 22 | 22 | 122 | 513 | 100 | 47 | 18 | 19.4% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 4.86 | 4.92 | +0.5 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 21 | 21 | 115 | 487 | 93 | 45 | 18 | 19.1% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 4.96 | 5.03 | +0.4 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 20 | 20 | 109 | 459 | 86 | 44 | 17 | 18.7% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 5.07 | 5.15 | +0.2 |
| 2039 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 18 | 18 | 102 | 429 | 78 | 42 | 17 | 18.3% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 5.20 | 5.28 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 94 | 48 | 347 | 1460 | 230 | 127 | 48 | 15.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 4.28 | 4.67 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 28 | 200 | 841 | 133 | 73 | 28 | 15.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 4.28 | 4.67 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Christian Romero (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.89 | 17.9% | 9.2% | 3.2% | — | 4.59 | 20.0% | 11.5% | 399 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Riley Thompson R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.66 | 16.5% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .288 | 5.32 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 57 | +0.66 | 4.63 | 340 | 94 |
| Wil Crowe R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.65 | 15.0% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .278 | 4.65 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 266 | +0.00 | 4.00 | 518 | 93 |
| Blaine Knight R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.60 | 14.1% | 9.8% | 2.6% | .263 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 6.6% | 159 | +0.05 | 4.35 | 269 | 92 |
| Jeff Thompson R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.51 | 15.2% | 10.9% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.40 | 15.8% | 1.0% | 202 | -0.11 | 3.67 | 321 | 92 |
| Sam Highfill R 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 106 | 92 |
| Erich Uelmen R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 15.3% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .299 | 4.56 | 19.8% | 8.8% | 159 | -0.07 | 3.48 | 383 | 92 |
| Houston Roth R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.62 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .263 | 4.85 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 228 | +0.23 | 3.77 | 350 | 91 |
| Jackson Wentworth R 2025 · 4.95 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.95 | 16.7% | 10.1% | 3.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.95 | 124 | 91 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2028 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.71 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.10 | 4.71 | 160 | 91 |
| Linder Castro R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.63 | 15.3% | 11.5% | 2.5% | .327 | 4.38 | 16.4% | 6.5% | 111 | -0.25 | 4.25 | 279 | 91 |
| Chris Anderson R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.4% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .288 | 5.43 | 12.5% | -3.1% | 77 | +0.74 | 4.69 | 204 | 90 |
| Derek Casey R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.27 | 13.6% | 8.5% | 4.1% | .311 | 2.95 | 22.3% | 13.2% | 58 | -2.32 | 2.95 | 180 | 90 |
| Jonathan Cannon R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.74 | 16.1% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .311 | 4.58 | 17.4% | 8.9% | 297 | -0.16 | 4.31 | 418 | 90 |
| Juan Grijalva R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.38 | 14.2% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .271 | 5.68 | 11.9% | 2.7% | 24 | +1.30 | 4.38 | 110 | 90 |
| Baron Stuart R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 14.5% | 12.2% | 3.4% | .266 | 4.02 | 16.6% | 3.9% | 169 | -1.25 | 3.56 | 269 | 90 |
| Ty Cummings R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 14.2% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 233 | 90 |
| Kyle Smith R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.01 | 14.7% | 8.7% | 3.8% | .326 | 3.31 | 15.2% | 9.5% | 76 | -1.70 | 3.31 | 159 | 90 |
| Trenton Toplikar R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.31 | 14.8% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .248 | 5.40 | 16.5% | 6.4% | 123 | +1.09 | 4.31 | 232 | 89 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.40 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% | .277 | 3.52 | 21.8% | 12.7% | 44 | -0.88 | 3.52 | 128 | 89 |
| Shelby Lackey R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.45 | 18.2% | 10.0% | 2.9% | .323 | 3.96 | 20.6% | 5.7% | 65 | -0.49 | 2.91 | 175 | 89 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +1.1 | $9M | +$9M |
| 2029 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +1.3 | $11M | +$11M |
| 2030 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +1.3 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2031 | Arb-1 | $1M | +1.2 | $11M | +$10M |
| 2032 | Arb-2 | $2M | +1.1 | $11M | +$9M |
| 2033 | Arb-3 | $2M | +1.0 | $10M | +$8M |
| Totals | $8M | $64M | +$56M | ||