Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | 10 | 5 | 29 | 116 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 50% | 2.9 | 18.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 1.1% | 3.72 | 3.24 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | 10 | 5 | 29 | 116 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 50% | 2.9 | 27.6% | 6.9% | 20.7% | 0.9% | 3.72 | 2.17 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 10 | 1 | 22 | 89 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 10% | 2.2 | 21.4% | 2.8% | 18.6% | 5.7% | 4.91 | 4.80 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 10 | 1 | 22 | 89 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 10% | 2.2 | 31.5% | 2.2% | 29.2% | 3.4% | 4.91 | 2.60 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 20 | 10 | 77 | 303 | 74 | 21 | 10 | 50% | 3.8 | 18.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 3.17 | 4.85 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 20 | 10 | 77 | 303 | 74 | 21 | 10 | 50% | 3.8 | 24.4% | 6.9% | 17.5% | 3.3% | 3.17 | 3.69 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 14 | 100 | 433 | 75 | 38 | 12 | 56% | 4.0 | 13.7% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.24 | 5.07 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 14 | 100 | 433 | 75 | 38 | 12 | 56% | 4.0 | 17.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 4.24 | 4.30 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 15 | 103 | 443 | 83 | 36 | 11 | 60% | 4.1 | 15.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 4.98 | 4.64 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 15 | 103 | 443 | 83 | 36 | 11 | 60% | 4.1 | 18.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 2.5% | 4.98 | 3.93 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 18 | 13 | 85 | 359 | 62 | 29 | 11 | 72% | 4.7 | 15.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.93 | 4.74 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 72 | 304 | 39 | 32 | 10 | 100% | 6.6 | 12.9% | 10.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.51 | 5.51 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAD | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 12.9% | 10.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.51 | 5.51 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 157 | 663 | 101 | 61 | 21 | — | — | 15.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 5.09 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 7 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 12.9% | 10.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.51 | 5.13 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 74 | 312 | 48 | 32 | 10 | 100% | 6.7 | 15.2% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.30 | 5.24 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 75 | 316 | 52 | 31 | 10 | 100% | 6.8 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 5.14 | 5.08 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 75 | 316 | 55 | 31 | 10 | 100% | 6.8 | 17.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 5.04 | 5.00 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 74 | 311 | 54 | 31 | 10 | 100% | 6.7 | 17.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 72 | 302 | 52 | 30 | 10 | 100% | 7.2 | 17.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 5.07 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 5 | 5 | 36 | 152 | 23 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 7.2 | 15.2% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.30 | 5.24 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 7 | 7 | 52 | 220 | 36 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 7.4 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 5.14 | 5.08 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 60 | 253 | 44 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 6.7 | 17.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 5.04 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 64 | 270 | 47 | 27 | 9 | 100% | 7.1 | 17.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 64 | 270 | 47 | 27 | 9 | 100% | 7.1 | 17.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 5.07 | 5.11 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 41 | 41 | 283 | 1194 | 201 | 119 | 39 | 100% | 6.9 | 16.9% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 5.11 | 4.71 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 29 | 29 | 200 | 844 | 142 | 84 | 28 | 100% | 7.0 | 16.9% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 5.11 | 4.71 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 108 | 58 | 415 | 1743 | 277 | 150 | 59 | 54% | 3.8 | 15.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 4.16 | 4.72 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 28 | 200 | 840 | 133 | 72 | 29 | 54% | 3.8 | 15.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 4.16 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Christian Romero (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.51 | 12.9% | 10.4% | 3.3% | — | 5.11 | 16.4% | 6.5% | 224 | -0.40 | — | — | — |
| Justin Dillon R 2027 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 11.8% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .265 | 4.34 | 15.6% | 9.1% | 124 | -0.89 | 3.63 | 239 | 89 |
| Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.91 | 12.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .348 | 3.83 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 135 | -1.08 | 3.22 | 218 | 88 |
| Jacob Meador R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.28 | 15.6% | 14.0% | 3.1% | .301 | 6.83 | 14.7% | -6.6% | 50 | +1.55 | 5.28 | 139 | 84 |
| Dawson Netz R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 84 |
| Garrett Burhenn R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.60 | 13.5% | 8.4% | 2.9% | .312 | 4.38 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 247 | -0.22 | 4.19 | 433 | 83 |
| Brooks Auger R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .299 | 3.81 | 26.3% | 14.4% | 46 | -1.19 | 3.81 | 138 | 83 |
| Houston Roth R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.58 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.8% | .263 | 4.63 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 228 | +0.05 | 3.57 | 389 | 83 |
| Jake Garland R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.06 | 11.3% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 13.8% | 6.3% | 115 | -0.71 | 3.52 | 330 | 82 |
| Carlos Sano R 2028 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 82 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 82 |
| Anyelo Gómez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.85 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 2.69 | 24.2% | 15.6% | 68 | -2.16 | 2.69 | 145 | 82 |
| Tyler Schlaffer R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.25 | 14.5% | 13.3% | 3.1% | .298 | 4.24 | 20.0% | 6.8% | 154 | -1.01 | 4.01 | 363 | 81 |
| Holden Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.86 | 15.8% | 11.0% | 3.1% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 114 | 81 |
| Matt Ager R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.00 | 146 | 81 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.59 | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.8% | .351 | 3.81 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 146 | -0.78 | 3.50 | 219 | 81 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 81 |
| Charlie Ruegger R 2025 · 5.65 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.65 | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.5% | .325 | 4.59 | 16.2% | 4.3% | 72 | -1.06 | 4.17 | 117 | 81 |
| Michael Ross R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.05 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 3.8% | .275 | 5.83 | 12.5% | 3.6% | 64 | +0.78 | 5.05 | 146 | 81 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 81 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 73 | 16.2% | 10.0% | 1.25 | 5.18 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |