Christian Romero

Christian Romero P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.6 · 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION130 act + 7 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.47

FIP5.47

K%12.5%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%2.4%

ROS IP7

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 137 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$6M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL5050

CMD3535

K†3040

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	10	5	29	116	32	8	1	50%	2.9	18.8%	8.6%	10.1%	1.2%	3.72	3.25	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers Shoemaker	10	5	29	116	32	8	1	50%	2.9	27.6%	6.9%	20.7%	0.9%	3.72	2.17	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	10	1	22	89	28	2	3	10%	2.2	21.4%	2.8%	18.6%	5.2%	4.91	4.49	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	10	1	22	89	28	2	3	10%	2.2	31.5%	2.2%	29.2%	3.4%	4.91	2.60	—
2023	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	20	10	77	303	74	21	10	50%	3.8	18.1%	8.2%	9.9%	4.2%	3.17	4.91	—
2023	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	20	10	77	303	74	21	10	50%	3.8	18.1%	8.2%	9.9%	4.2%	3.17	4.91	—
2023	20	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	20	10	77	303	74	21	10	50%	3.8	24.4%	6.9%	17.5%	3.3%	3.17	3.69	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	14	100	433	75	38	12	56%	4.0	13.6%	9.7%	3.9%	3.3%	4.24	5.00	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	14	100	433	75	38	12	56%	4.0	13.6%	9.7%	3.9%	3.3%	4.24	5.00	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	14	100	433	75	38	12	56%	4.0	17.3%	8.8%	8.5%	2.8%	4.24	4.30	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	15	103	443	83	36	11	60%	4.1	14.9%	8.5%	6.4%	3.0%	4.98	4.57	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	15	103	443	83	36	11	60%	4.1	14.9%	8.5%	6.4%	3.0%	4.98	4.57	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	15	103	443	83	36	11	60%	4.1	18.7%	8.1%	10.6%	2.5%	4.98	3.93	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	29	21	130	573	109	47	17	72%	4.5	15.8%	7.4%	8.4%	3.3%	4.07	4.49	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	29	21	130	573	109	47	17	72%	4.5	15.8%	7.4%	8.4%	3.3%	4.07	4.49	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	AAA RAW	LAD	29	21	130	573	109	47	17	72%	4.5	19.0%	8.2%	10.8%	3.0%	4.07	4.16	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	LAD	1	1	7	28	3	3	1	100%	6.5	12.5%	10.1%	2.4%	3.2%	5.47	5.47	-0.0
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	137	601	112	50	18	—	—	18.7%	8.3%	10.4%	3.0%	4.14	4.54	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	LAD	22	22	147	620	92	60	20	100%	6.7	14.8%	9.7%	5.1%	3.2%	5.25	5.19	-0.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAD	24	24	161	678	110	64	21	100%	6.7	16.2%	9.4%	6.8%	3.1%	5.08	5.02	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	LAD	25	25	168	708	120	66	22	100%	6.7	17.0%	9.3%	7.7%	3.1%	4.98	4.94	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	LAD	25	25	169	714	122	66	23	100%	6.8	17.1%	9.3%	7.8%	3.2%	4.96	4.96	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	LAD	25	25	169	714	121	67	23	100%	6.8	16.9%	9.4%	7.5%	3.3%	5.01	5.04	-0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	LAD	24	24	162	682	114	66	23	100%	6.7	16.7%	9.7%	7.0%	3.4%	5.11	5.17	-0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	LAD	23	23	152	641	105	64	23	100%	6.6	16.4%	10.0%	6.4%	3.6%	5.25	5.35	-0.8
2027	24	MLB CTX	LAD	11	11	71	300	44	29	10	100%	6.5	14.8%	9.7%	5.1%	3.3%	5.32	5.26	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAD	16	16	111	469	76	44	15	100%	6.9	16.2%	9.4%	6.8%	3.3%	5.15	5.09	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	LAD	20	20	136	574	97	53	19	100%	6.8	17.0%	9.3%	7.7%	3.3%	5.05	5.01	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	LAD	22	22	146	616	105	57	20	100%	6.6	17.1%	9.3%	7.8%	3.3%	5.03	5.03	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	LAD	23	23	152	642	109	61	22	100%	6.6	16.9%	9.4%	7.5%	3.4%	5.09	5.12	-0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	LAD	22	22	147	621	104	60	22	100%	6.7	16.7%	9.7%	7.0%	3.6%	5.19	5.25	-0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	LAD	21	21	140	591	97	59	22	100%	6.7	16.4%	10.0%	6.4%	3.8%	5.33	5.43	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		134	134	904	3815	632	363	131	100%	6.7	16.6%	9.5%	7.0%	3.4%	5.16	4.79	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		30	30	200	844	140	80	29	100%	6.7	16.6%	9.5%	7.0%	3.4%	5.16	4.79	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		119	66	461	1957	311	159	65	55%	3.9	15.9%	8.1%	7.7%	3.3%	4.18	4.61	-2.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	29	200	850	135	69	28	55%	3.9	15.9%	8.1%	7.7%	3.3%	4.18	4.61	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Christian Romero (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.47	12.5%	10.1%	3.2%	—	5.04	16.0%	6.6%	475	-0.43	—	—	—
Will Childers R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	22	SP-	5.41	11.8%	12.1%	3.2%	.305	4.45	19.3%	8.7%	150	-0.96	3.60	209	89
Justin Dillon R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	24	SP-	5.26	11.8%	8.8%	3.7%	.265	4.34	15.6%	9.1%	124	-0.92	3.65	239	89
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2021 · 4.98 FIP	23	SP-	4.98	12.7%	9.1%	3.3%	.348	3.92	16.5%	8.0%	135	-1.06	3.30	218	88
Garrett Burhenn R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	23	SP-	4.39	13.5%	8.4%	2.5%	.312	4.36	18.1%	10.2%	247	-0.03	4.30	433	84
Charlie Ruegger R 2019 · 5.43 FIP	22	SW	5.43	10.6%	7.9%	4.0%	.325	4.60	16.2%	4.3%	72	-0.83	4.17	117	82
Stolmy Pimentel R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	25	SP-	4.47	16.0%	10.5%	2.5%	.338	3.87	13.6%	3.1%	72	-0.60	3.87	143	82
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	82
Johnathan Harmon R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	22	SP-	4.30	17.8%	10.2%	2.6%	.293	5.14	15.1%	6.3%	193	+0.84	3.52	282	81
Houston Roth R 2021 · 4.63 FIP	23	SW	4.63	16.4%	10.5%	2.9%	.263	4.83	20.8%	8.3%	228	+0.20	3.79	406	81
Trenton Toplikar R 2019 · 4.32 FIP	23	SP-	4.32	14.8%	10.1%	2.2%	.248	5.39	16.5%	6.4%	123	+1.07	4.32	232	81
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	81
Braden Olthoff R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	23	SP-	4.50	12.5%	8.0%	2.6%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	108	80
Devereaux Harrison R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	17.6%	11.3%	3.6%	.252	4.76	16.6%	4.4%	294	-0.28	4.43	388	80
Jonathan Hughes R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SP-	4.60	12.9%	12.5%	1.8%	.351	3.79	16.5%	6.2%	146	-0.81	3.44	219	80
Drew McDaniel R 2023 · 4.71 FIP	22	SP	4.71	14.1%	9.1%	3.0%	.323	5.08	18.7%	8.7%	152	+0.37	4.24	230	80
Jordan Geber R 2022 · 5.03 FIP	23	SP-	5.03	15.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.341	4.39	15.4%	7.7%	176	-0.64	4.26	241	80
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	80
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	80
Boone Whiting R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	11.3%	13.9%	2.6%	.337	4.88	10.9%	4.8%	132	-0.45	4.88	227	79
Chase Cohen R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	22	SP-	4.69	15.8%	13.0%	2.3%	.317	4.22	22.1%	9.2%	85	-0.47	3.52	263	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	6.0	150	16.2%	9.6%	1.26	5.11
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Dylan Bundy ('22)	4.5	130	22.0%	7.3%	1.61	4.75
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98