Matt Peacock
P
Buffalo Bisons
+0.0
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'1" / 185 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.54
FIP4.54
xFIP4.00
SIERA4.02
K%22.7%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%12.9%
IP18
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†5050
SL+0.6
FB-0.9
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 24 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | 28 | 16 | 99 | 427 | 90 | 28 | 9 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 4.20 | 4.19 | +1.2 |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Jackson Generals | 21 | 21 | 115 | 464 | 81 | 43 | 5 | 14.1% | 10.2% | 1.3% | 2.97 | 3.93 | +1.8 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 40 | 8 | 90 | 405 | 53 | 23 | 15 | 13.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 5.28 | 4.50 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 35 | 0 | 41 | 187 | 31 | 12 | 7 | 16.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.09 | 5.25 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 21 | 2 | 25 | 117 | 22 | 17 | 7 | 14.7% | 15.7% | 7.5% | 6.20 | 7.94 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 18 | — | 18 | 78 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.55 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.76 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 145 | 47 | 370 | 1600 | 234 | 133 | 49 | 14.6% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 4.31 | 4.59 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 78 | 25 | 200 | 866 | 127 | 72 | 27 | 14.6% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 4.31 | 4.59 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Matt Peacock (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 3.1% | — | 4.76 | 20.3% | 10.4% | 20 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 90 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 82 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.33 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 108 | 82 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.77 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.2% | .280 | 3.48 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.29 | 3.02 | 363 | 80 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 80 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.19 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.6% | .362 | 4.14 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.05 | 2.99 | 227 | 80 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 80 |
| André Rienzo R 2025 · 5.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.33 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 4.1% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 200 | 79 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.31 | 14.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 131 | 79 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.50 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .347 | 3.82 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.68 | 3.32 | 119 | 79 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 78 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 78 |
| Rafael Martín R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.75 | 20.5% | 10.7% | 3.7% | .265 | 3.96 | 21.3% | 15.8% | 110 | -0.79 | 2.89 | 227 | 77 |
| Jeff Manship R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 114 | 77 |
| A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 16.6% | 12.3% | 2.8% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 299 | 77 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 76 |
| Hector Navarro R 2029 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | .281 | 2.96 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.41 | 2.30 | 126 | 76 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.37 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% | .319 | 2.59 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.78 | 2.00 | 380 | 75 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2024 · 4.82 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.82 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 101 | 75 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.40 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .289 | 3.37 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -1.03 | 2.49 | 373 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.