Dario Gardea
P
West Michigan Whitecaps
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 101
ERA4.44
FIP4.44
K%22.9%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 186 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 75% | 4.0 | 18.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 1.5% | 2.05 | 3.46 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 186 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 75% | 4.0 | 27.4% | 7.0% | 20.4% | 1.1% | 2.05 | 2.33 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Tigers West | 8 | 6 | 31 | 132 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 75% | 3.8 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 1.1% | 3.82 | 3.12 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Tigers West | 8 | 6 | 31 | 132 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 75% | 3.8 | 26.5% | 6.1% | 20.5% | 0.8% | 3.82 | 2.02 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 9 | 1 | 19 | 78 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 11% | 2.1 | 21.8% | 6.1% | 15.8% | 3.8% | 3.26 | 4.12 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 9 | 1 | 19 | 78 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 11% | 2.1 | 29.5% | 5.1% | 24.4% | 2.6% | 3.26 | 2.69 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 47 | 0 | 58 | 243 | 61 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 12.8% | 4.6% | 3.43 | 4.83 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 47 | 0 | 58 | 243 | 61 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.1% | 5.8% | 19.3% | 2.9% | 3.43 | 3.29 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 50 | 238 | 56 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.4% | 14.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 7.15 | 5.29 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 50 | 238 | 56 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 7.15 | 4.27 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | DET | 34 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | DET | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | DET | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.13 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 80 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.47 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 113 | 16 | 206 | 877 | 166 | 82 | 27 | 14% | 1.8 | 19.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 4.06 | 4.34 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 110 | 16 | 200 | 850 | 161 | 79 | 26 | 14% | 1.8 | 19.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 4.06 | 4.34 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dario Gardea (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.51 | 22.9% | 13.0% | 34 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 83 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 83 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 81 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 80 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 80 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 80 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | .341 | 4.97 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 223 | 80 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 80 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 80 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 80 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 79 |
| Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.71 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .252 | 4.13 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 108 | +0.42 | 3.15 | 307 | 79 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 79 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 386 | 79 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 79 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.52 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.07 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.45 | 4.02 | 328 | 79 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.87 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .312 | 4.34 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.74 | 277 | 79 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 79 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 79 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.55 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 222 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 35 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 1.19 | 4.45 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |