Player 832698 P ACL Royals
Age — —HP ROK peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 12 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINST108
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%23.4%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.2%
ROS IP12
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP
K: +2.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+2KBB: +0.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+1BBCONTACT: -9.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-10CONTACTSTAM: +1.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.58 (29 IP)-0.6WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career (MLE) + Projections

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
2026ROKACL Royals761764253586%2.426.6%5.9%20.7%10.9%4.767.60-0.6
ROSMLBKC2212501252100%6.023.4%9.2%14.2%3.0%4.324.32+0.0
2026 TotalMLBKC29114378732.2%6.7%25.5%5.7%4.586.25-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202725MLBKC3320842083100%6.723.8%8.9%14.9%3.0%4.284.25+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career761764174786%2.426.6%5.9%20.7%10.9%4.767.60-0.6
/ 200 IP8271200753200478286%2.426.6%5.9%20.7%10.9%4.767.60-5.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Player 832698 (OGILVIE) 4.32 23.4%9.2%3.0%
Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 78
Brendan Beck R 2025 · 3.18 FIP 24 SP 3.18 22.5%6.7%2.1%.289 3.78 20.9%13.1%225 +0.60 3.18 256 77
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 71
Sauryn Lao R 2026 · 3.48 FIP 25 SP- 3.48 21.7%7.3%2.4%.297 3.19 182 68
Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 25 SP- 3.47 20.3%11.4%1.2%.286 3.51 23.2%10.9%71 +0.04 2.45 138 67
Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP 25 SP- 3.51 18.2%9.8%1.3%.285 4.69 16.5%5.1%59 +1.18 3.51 123 67
Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 25.7%12.4%4.2%.296 3.43 18.7%10.3%40 -1.37 2.78 181 66
Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP 24 SP- 4.82 24.7%13.5%3.8%.277 3.45 102 66
Peter Van Loon R 2026 · 3.14 FIP 25 SP 3.14 25.5%11.9%1.2%.303 4.30 21.1%10.5%53 +1.16 2.47 256 65
Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 25 SP 4.39 23.0%10.5%3.5%.335 4.65 21.4%11.7%382 +0.26 3.67 509 65
Spencer Howard R 2026 · 3.82 FIP 25 SP 3.82 24.5%11.3%2.5%.311 4.90 24.4%14.8%208 +1.08 2.29 484 65
DJ Myers R 2025 · 4.12 FIP 24 SP- 4.12 22.9%12.4%2.5%.375 3.47 257 64
Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 20.8%12.2%3.5%.450 4.58 17.9%4.8%170 -0.22 3.80 187 64
Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.98 FIP 25 SP 3.98 26.8%8.1%3.9%.325 3.63 209 64
Cody Morris R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 25 SP- 3.74 31.3%11.6%3.3%.256 4.66 24.1%7.0%72 +0.92 2.26 256 63
Zak Kent R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 25 SP 3.86 21.4%7.5%2.9%.239 4.01 21.7%9.0%121 +0.15 3.23 354 63
Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP 24 SP- 4.16 17.4%6.6%3.1%.361 4.16 124 63
Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.64 FIP 25 SP 4.64 20.4%12.2%3.1%.283 4.15 18.9%11.0%79 -0.49 3.87 247 63
James Kaprielian R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 25 SP 4.07 20.9%6.9%3.4%.271 4.40 20.5%11.3%253 +0.33 3.03 446 63
Tristan Beck R 2026 · 5.19 FIP 25 SP 5.19 18.2%10.9%4.1%.375 4.22 20.3%13.1%252 -0.97 3.52 473 62