Juan Parra

SS DSL Phillies

Age 18 S/R ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKPHI	247	.295/.453/.437	4	9	70	—	.186/.322/.260
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBPHI	357	.229/.314/.320	4	6	82	0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	19	MLBPHI	127	.234/.319/.335	2	2	87	0.2
2029PROJ61% MLB	20	MLBPHI	250	.237/.323/.345	4	5	90	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%95

wRC+87

wOBA84

K%81

BB%76

ISO62

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 96%

CompsAron Estrada (age 18) · Jackson Holliday (age 19) · Jaison Chourio (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 218 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .311 / .317

PA218

HR2

K%24

BB%10

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$69M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 63 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT63

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE73

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$6M	+$6M
2036	Arb-1	$5M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-2	$7M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$9M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$15M		$31M	+$23M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Phillies	—	247	190	56	11	2	4	48	37	7	9	5	295	453	437	890	142	347	15	19	403	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	247	204	38	7	1	2	34	45	7	9	5	186	322	260	582	74	227	18	14	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	247	204	38	7	1	2	34	45	7	9	5	186	322	260	582	74	228	18	14	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies	—	247	190	56	11	2	4	48	37	7	9	5	295	453	437	890	142	347	15	19	403	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	247	204	38	7	1	2	34	45	7	9	5	186	322	260	582	74	227	18	14	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	247	204	38	7	1	2	34	45	7	9	5	186	322	260	582	74	227	18	14	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	357	315	72	12	3	4	34	84	5	6	2	229	314	320	634	91	298	24	10	290	82	-7	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	PHI	43%	294	260	60	10	2	4	28	69	4	6	2	233	318	332	650	99	300	23	10	297	87	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2029	20	MLB MLE	PHI	61%	410	362	85	15	3	6	39	95	6	8	3	236	322	342	663	106	301	23	10	302	90	-5	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.9
2030	21	MLB MLE	PHI	68%	498	439	105	18	4	8	48	114	8	11	4	238	324	350	674	112	301	23	10	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.3
2031	22	MLB MLE	PHI	71%	559	491	118	20	4	10	54	128	9	12	5	240	325	357	682	117	302	23	10	309	95	-3	+0	+0	+6	+12	1.6
2032	23	MLB MLE	PHI	72%	601	530	127	22	4	11	57	137	9	13	5	241	326	362	689	121	302	23	9	311	97	-2	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.8
2033	24	MLB MLE	PHI	72%	619	545	132	23	5	11	59	140	10	13	5	242	327	364	692	122	303	23	10	312	98	-2	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.9
2034	25	MLB MLE	PHI	71%	629	554	135	23	5	12	60	143	10	13	5	243	327	365	693	123	303	23	10	313	98	-2	+1	+0	+7	+14	2.0
2035	26	MLB MLE	PHI	71%	636	560	137	24	5	12	61	144	10	13	5	242	327	365	693	123	303	23	10	313	98	-2	+1	+0	+7	+14	2.0
2036	27	MLB MLE	PHI	70%	635	559	135	23	5	12	61	145	10	13	5	241	326	363	689	121	302	23	10	311	97	-2	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.9
2037	28	MLB MLE	PHI	69%	630	556	133	23	5	11	60	145	9	12	5	240	325	358	683	119	302	23	10	309	95	-4	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.7
2038	29	MLB MLE	PHI	67%	620	547	130	22	4	11	59	144	9	11	6	238	322	352	674	115	301	23	10	306	93	-5	-0	-1	+7	+13	1.4
2039	30	MLB MLE	PHI	66%	609	537	127	22	4	10	58	144	9	10	6	235	319	345	664	110	299	24	10	301	90	-7	-0	-2	+7	+13	1.0
2040	31	MLB MLE	PHI	71%	595	526	122	21	4	9	56	143	8	9	8	231	314	335	650	105	297	24	9	296	86	-10	-1	-3	+6	+13	0.5
2041	32	MLB MLE	PHI	68%	576	510	116	19	4	8	53	141	8	8	12	226	308	324	632	98	294	24	9	289	81	-13	-3	-4	+6	+12	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	PHI	43%	127	112	26	4	1	2	12	30	2	2	1	234	319	335	654	101	300	24	9	298	87	-2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
2029	20	MLB CTX	PHI	61%	250	220	53	9	2	4	24	58	4	5	2	237	323	345	668	109	301	23	10	304	90	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.6
2030	21	MLB CTX	PHI	68%	339	298	72	12	3	6	33	78	5	7	3	239	325	354	679	115	302	23	10	308	93	-3	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2031	22	MLB CTX	PHI	71%	397	350	84	14	3	7	38	91	6	8	3	241	327	361	688	120	302	23	10	311	95	-2	+0	+0	+4	+9	1.1
2032	23	MLB CTX	PHI	72%	435	383	93	16	3	8	42	99	7	9	4	243	328	367	695	125	303	23	10	314	97	-2	+0	+0	+5	+9	1.3
2033	24	MLB CTX	PHI	72%	443	391	95	16	3	9	42	100	7	9	4	244	328	369	698	126	303	23	9	315	98	-1	+0	+0	+5	+10	1.4
2034	25	MLB CTX	PHI	71%	448	395	96	16	3	9	43	102	7	9	4	244	329	370	699	126	303	23	10	315	98	-1	+0	+0	+5	+10	1.4
2035	26	MLB CTX	PHI	71%	452	399	96	16	3	9	43	102	7	9	4	244	329	370	699	127	303	23	10	315	98	-1	+0	+0	+5	+10	1.4
2036	27	MLB CTX	PHI	70%	442	390	95	16	3	9	42	101	7	9	4	243	328	368	696	125	303	23	10	314	97	-2	+0	+0	+5	+10	1.3
2037	28	MLB CTX	PHI	69%	433	383	91	15	3	8	41	100	6	8	4	241	326	363	689	122	302	23	9	311	95	-2	+0	-0	+5	+9	1.1
2038	29	MLB CTX	PHI	67%	415	366	88	15	3	8	40	97	6	7	4	239	323	357	680	118	301	23	10	308	93	-3	-0	-1	+4	+9	0.9
2039	30	MLB CTX	PHI	66%	401	354	84	14	3	7	38	95	6	7	4	236	320	349	669	113	300	24	9	303	90	-5	-0	-1	+4	+9	0.7
2040	31	MLB CTX	PHI	71%	422	373	87	14	3	7	40	101	6	6	5	232	315	339	655	107	297	24	9	298	86	-7	-1	-2	+5	+9	0.4
2041	32	MLB CTX	PHI	68%	393	349	79	13	2	6	36	96	5	5	8	227	309	327	636	100	294	24	9	290	81	-9	-2	-2	+4	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5397	4763	1139	190	38	99	514	1250	81	100	54	239	324	357	681	118	302	23	10	308	92	-43	-2	-7	+58	+117	12.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	138	23	5	12	62	151	10	12	7	240	326	361	686	120	304	23	10	308	92	-5	-0	-1	+7	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	8376	7372	1745	300	61	139	808	1929	129	165	82	237	323	351	673	114	301	23	10	304	92	-69	+0	-10	+87	+176	18.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	136	23	5	11	63	150	10	13	6	238	324	353	677	115	302	23	10	304	92	-6	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Billy Rogell'25-'40 * career totals — 14 seasons, 5,919 PA	8.9	5,919	42	82	240*	319*	369*	+58	+47	16.9	19.4
/162	664	5	9	+6.5	+5.3	1.9	pk7: 22
#3Ivan de Jesus'74-'88 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,193 PA	7.8	5,193	21	194	248*	320*	350*	+55	+68	16.1	16.8
/162	664	3	25	+7.0	+8.7	2.1	pk7: 18
#4Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
#5Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.5	5,613	93	107	239	320	353	+60	+30	16.8	14.0
/162	664	11	13	+7.1	+3.5	2.0	pk7: 11
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Parra (OGILVIE)	18	58→63	33→38	49→54	73	227/311/317	90	298	2	4	24%	10%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aron Estrada 2023 · A	18	50→54	41→50	47→55	54	238/323/346	109	290	6	7	19%	10%	93	+0.8	235/304/342	107	293	8	18	21%	8%	84	+0.2	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→61	41→50	49→50	60	240/338/346	106	301	8	10	21%	13%	98	+1.2	254/339/391	137	339	12	14	26%	11%	109	+2.0	249/334/388	139	323	13	15	25%	11%	105	+1.7
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	45→55	37→40	53→55	62	208/315/286	78	255	3	15	18%	13%	77	-0.3	227/325/310	83	318	4	21	26%	12%	85	+0.2	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	50→54	37→40	51→50	59	233/335/302	69	298	4	15	21%	12%	88	+0.4	212/309/287	75	349	4	12	35%	12%	75	-0.5	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Max Moroff 2013 · A	20	51→60	39→50	48→50	52	239/316/323	85	302	6	12	22%	10%	84	+0.2	217/281/304	87	307	5	10	29%	8%	67	-1.1	242/324/370	128	322	13	10	27%	10%	96	+0.8
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	50→57	39→45	51→45	51	234/299/332	97	275	5	7	16%	8%	80	-0.2	227/296/304	77	285	5	5	20%	9%	73	-0.6	262/336/372	110	313	10	6	18%	9%	101	+1.0
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A	18	47→52	41→50	52→45	54	220/296/329	109	252	6	14	15%	9%	78	-0.3	234/279/319	85	286	5	8	19%	5%	69	-0.9	240/289/360	120	286	11	4	19%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
●Andrés Giménez 2017 · A	18	48→58	38→50	47→55	59	223/318/314	92	250	4	11	12%	11%	84	+0.1	240/302/336	96	303	6	18	21%	6%	82	+0.0	260/322/413	154	311	16	25	21%	5%	109	+1.8
✕Alejo Lopez 2016 · A	20	51→61	38→40	46→55	51	239/308/319	80	277	4	9	15%	7%	80	-0.1	229/282/302	73	267	4	10	15%	6%	66	-1.1	269/335/357	88	309	5	12	14%	8%	96	+0.8
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	43→53	38→50	50→40	55	201/288/280	79	244	5	8	19%	10%	65	-1.2	227/293/354	127	281	14	4	23%	8%	84	+0.1	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0

Juan Parra

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps