Jainer Marmolejos
P
DSL Orioles Orange
Age 18
RHP
6'0" / 165 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION10 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 102
ERA4.48
FIP4.48
K%22.3%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%12.3%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles Black | 10 | 10 | 33 | 164 | 30 | 23 | 1 | 100% | 3.3 | 12.4% | 17.5% | -5.1% | 1.3% | 5.73 | 5.00 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles Black | 10 | 10 | 33 | 164 | 30 | 23 | 1 | 100% | 3.3 | 18.3% | 14.0% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 5.73 | 3.77 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | DSL Orioles Orange | 8 | 0 | 10 | 57 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 13.1% | 32.9% | -19.8% | 0.0% | 12.19 | 6.16 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | BAL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 83 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.48 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 30 | 140 | 29 | 23 | 2 | — | — | 21.1% | 16.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 7.14 | 5.06 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | BAL | 20 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | BAL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 3.95 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 197 | 79 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 18 | 10 | 43 | 221 | 28 | 48 | 2 | 56% | 2.4 | 12.6% | 21.5% | -8.9% | 1.0% | 7.27 | 5.30 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 46 | 200 | 1020 | 129 | 219 | 10 | 56% | 2.4 | 12.6% | 21.5% | -8.9% | 1.0% | 7.27 | 5.30 | +0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jainer Marmolejos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 22.3% | 10.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.33 | 22.8% | 13.3% | 21 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Wilmy Sanchez R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 18 | SW | 3.88 | 23.0% | 12.9% | 2.0% | .316 | 4.19 | 21.5% | 3.8% | 148 | +0.31 | 3.29 | 203 | 83 |
| Sean Paul Liñan R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.04 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .324 | 4.14 | 23.1% | 11.5% | 181 | +0.10 | 3.29 | 243 | 81 |
| Luis Aguilar R 2027 · 4.54 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.54 | 17.6% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .356 | 4.26 | 16.7% | 6.7% | 111 | -0.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 80 |
| Luis Victorino R 2027 · 4.27 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.27 | 18.9% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .301 | 4.95 | 15.9% | -5.0% | 84 | +0.68 | 4.27 | 148 | 80 |
| Alimber Santa R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 18 | SW | 4.85 | 17.0% | 11.4% | 3.2% | .304 | 5.11 | 20.9% | 1.8% | 125 | +0.26 | 3.22 | 255 | 80 |
| Deretd Parra R 2027 · 5.29 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .295 | 3.80 | 15.7% | 2.3% | 83 | -1.49 | 2.79 | 161 | 79 |
| Gerelmi Maldonado R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.0% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .337 | 4.64 | 19.9% | 2.2% | 124 | +0.43 | 3.83 | 215 | 79 |
| Eccel Correa R 2028 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 78 |
| Heisell Baro R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 17 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.0% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .196 | 5.77 | 15.8% | -1.4% | 61 | +1.40 | 4.16 | 105 | 78 |
| Moisés Chace R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.81 | 20.5% | 13.0% | 1.5% | .387 | 4.54 | 24.2% | 6.9% | 208 | +0.73 | 3.81 | 247 | 77 |
| Fraynel Nova R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.00 | 16.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .296 | 4.17 | 14.9% | 4.9% | 110 | +0.17 | 3.49 | 129 | 77 |
| Ricardo Brizuela R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.86 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 1.8% | .375 | 4.52 | 16.0% | 7.1% | 208 | +0.66 | 3.35 | 246 | 77 |
| Michael Dominguez R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 18 | SW | 3.82 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 1.5% | .218 | 4.83 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 110 | +1.01 | 3.82 | 383 | 77 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2028 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 77 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2029 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 76 |
| Anderson Cardenas R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 18 | SW | 5.23 | 19.5% | 11.9% | 4.1% | .235 | 3.34 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 38 | -1.89 | 3.34 | 109 | 76 |
| Simon Mathews R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 76 |
| Leury Tejada R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 18 | SW | 4.03 | 16.5% | 10.1% | 1.9% | .286 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 6.2% | 39 | +1.03 | 4.03 | 183 | 75 |
| Saul Teran R 2028 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.23 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 4.3% | .333 | 3.83 | 20.8% | 8.7% | 94 | -1.40 | 2.28 | 158 | 75 |
| Antwone Kelly R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 18 | SW | 4.58 | 19.1% | 12.1% | 2.9% | .290 | 3.92 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 216 | -0.66 | 3.19 | 345 | 75 |