Hendrick Caña P FCL Cardinals
Age 18 LHP 6'0" / 181 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 22 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102111vR 120
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
K%22.7%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%12.8%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP
K: +3.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+3KBB: +1.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+2BBCONTACT: +3.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+3CONTACTSTAM: +3.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+3STAMTotal WAR: +1.15 (63 IP)+1.2WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202517ROKDSL Cardinals114371593720336%3.415.8%15.7%0.1%2.4%2.435.08
202517ROKDSL Cardinals114371593720336%3.423.3%12.6%10.7%1.9%2.433.78
▸ 2026 Season
202618ROKDSL Cardinals11114118754100100%3.719.6%6.7%13.0%0.0%3.982.29+1.1
ROS18MLBSTL4422932193100%5.522.7%9.9%12.8%3.0%4.454.45+0.0
ROS18MLBSTL022.7%9.9%12.8%3.0%4.454.45
2026 TOT18MLBSTL632807519326.8%6.8%20.0%1.0%4.153.05+1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719MLBSTL5523982393100%4.623.1%9.4%13.8%2.9%4.364.31+0.1
202719MLBSTL2211461141100%5.523.1%9.4%13.8%2.9%4.364.31+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2211481141100%5.723.1%9.4%13.8%2.9%4.363.93+0.1
/ 200 IP41412008441947018100%4.823.1%9.4%13.8%2.9%4.363.93+3.4
Career2215783466238468%3.517.9%10.8%7.0%1.1%3.243.57+1.2
/ 200 IP5739200891159971068%3.517.9%10.8%7.0%1.1%3.243.57+4.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Hendrick Caña (OGILVIE) 4.45 22.7%9.9%3.0% 4.31 23.1%13.8%23 -0.14
Juan Rojas L 2026 · 3.65 FIP 18 SP- 3.65 23.0%7.6%2.8%.279 4.23 15.9%2.4%164 +0.58 2.74 279 86
Blake Townsend L 2028 · 3.96 FIP 20 SP- 3.96 26.7%11.2%3.1%.286 4.11 18.5%4.8%96 +0.15 3.40 263 84
Robinson Ortiz L 2026 · 3.85 FIP 18 SP- 3.85 21.0%11.0%2.1%.312 5.34 15.2%0.6%98 +1.49 2.29 261 84
Pablo Aldonis L 2028 · 4.25 FIP 20 SP- 4.25 20.7%8.0%3.4%.324 2.67 21.9%13.1%68 -1.58 1.89 135 82
Osvaldo Hernandez L 2027 · 3.53 FIP 19 SP- 3.53 20.4%8.1%2.0%.324 3.32 15.0%7.7%142 -0.21 3.04 312 81
Jordan Woods L 2028 · 4.61 FIP 20 SP 4.61 20.5%10.3%3.5%.329 4.13 20.3%7.4%112 -0.48 3.74 143 81
Brock Selvidge L 2027 · 3.66 FIP 19 SP- 3.66 19.9%11.7%1.4%.321 3.75 17.8%7.6%287 +0.09 3.04 330 80
Johan Simon L 2028 · 3.42 FIP 20 SP- 3.42 19.8%10.2%1.3%.302 4.50 17.6%1.1%41 +1.08 3.42 158 79
Aidan Deakins L 2029 · 3.83 FIP 21 SP- 3.83 18.9%8.5%2.3%.323 5.29 17.1%6.0%62 +1.46 3.83 119 77
Javier Chacon L 2027 · 5.42 FIP 19 SP- 5.42 22.5%13.1%4.7%.295 4.69 20.3%3.5%94 -0.73 4.63 181 77
Jeremy Gonzalez L 2026 · 3.82 FIP 18 SP 3.82 19.6%10.6%1.9%.290 4.26 14.3%-0.5%78 +0.44 3.39 143 77
Sam Hentges L 2027 · 4.34 FIP 19 SP- 4.34 18.5%10.9%2.6%.333 3.91 18.9%7.4%192 -0.43 2.22 594 76
Wilkin Paredes L 2027 · 4.23 FIP 19 SP 4.23 16.2%9.1%2.4%.353 4.88 11.8%3.1%248 +0.65 4.23 294 76
James Gonzalez L 2026 · 3.47 FIP 18 SP- 3.47 18.7%7.8%1.8%.327 4.87 17.1%7.0%91 +1.40 2.31 455 76
Yereny Teus L 2027 · 3.49 FIP 19 SP 3.49 19.2%12.0%0.9%.284 3.71 23.1%9.9%122 +0.22 2.98 166 76
Francis Texido L 2026 · 3.92 FIP 18 SP 3.92 20.4%7.4%2.9%.260 5.62 15.6%-3.7%258 +1.70 3.92 309 76
Lachlan Wells L 2026 · 4.18 FIP 18 SP 4.18 18.0%7.4%3.0%.256 4.25 15.9%9.4%153 +0.07 3.21 335 75
Michael Kennedy L 2026 · 3.54 FIP 18 SP- 3.54 21.9%13.9%1.0%.250 4.43 18.2%9.1%195 +0.89 3.54 237 75
Jesus Gomez L 2026 · 5.12 FIP 18 SP 5.12 19.3%12.4%3.8%.275 4.31 24.3%9.8%23 -0.81 4.22 121 75
Ethan Lindow L 2026 · 4.33 FIP 18 SP 4.33 19.1%12.4%2.3%.329 3.19 19.8%14.0%111 -1.14 3.19 435 75