Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Indians | 9 | 4 | 27 | 127 | 26 | 14 | 2 | 44% | 3.0 | 13.9% | 13.8% | 0.1% | 2.2% | 5.93 | 4.88 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Indians | 9 | 4 | 27 | 127 | 26 | 14 | 2 | 44% | 3.0 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 1.6% | 5.93 | 3.69 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | DSL Indians/Brewers | 12 | 12 | 51 | 208 | 49 | 24 | 3 | 100% | 4.2 | 16.0% | 14.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.55 | 4.68 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | DSL Indians/Brewers | 12 | 12 | 51 | 208 | 49 | 24 | 3 | 100% | 4.2 | 23.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 1.4% | 3.55 | 3.36 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 25 | 99 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 4.4% | 3.60 | 4.90 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 25 | 99 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 36.4% | 8.1% | 28.3% | 2.0% | 3.60 | 2.22 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 31 | 0 | 55 | 251 | 81 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.8 | 23.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 6.02 | 4.23 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 31 | 0 | 55 | 251 | 81 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.8 | 32.3% | 10.0% | 22.3% | 2.4% | 6.02 | 2.94 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 20 | 0 | 36 | 144 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 20.6% | 13.9% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 3.00 | 4.09 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 20 | 0 | 36 | 144 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 27.8% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 1.4% | 3.00 | 3.02 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 20 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.04 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 79 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 89 | 16 | 194 | 829 | 164 | 108 | 21 | 18% | 2.2 | 19.8% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 4.49 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 92 | 16 | 200 | 853 | 169 | 111 | 22 | 18% | 2.2 | 19.8% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 4.49 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yeury Gervacio (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.42 | 23.2% | 13.7% | 21 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 77 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 76 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 75 |
| Chris Nunn L 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.26 | 23.0% | 10.9% | 1.3% | .367 | 4.30 | 23.9% | 9.2% | 95 | +1.04 | 3.26 | 180 | 75 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 75 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 75 |
| James Reeves L 2025 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.3% | .226 | 5.24 | 27.0% | 10.8% | 51 | +1.45 | 2.02 | 280 | 74 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 23.8% | 11.7% | 3.0% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 265 | 73 |
| Giovanni Soto L 2025 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 128 | 73 |
| Will Gilbert L 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 72 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 72 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.46 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .259 | 5.31 | 16.5% | -3.3% | 54 | +1.85 | 3.46 | 154 | 72 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 72 |
| A.J. Block L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 22.7% | 12.4% | 1.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 203 | 72 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 72 |
| Jordan Mills L 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.26 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 1.7% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 210 | 72 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 72 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.65 | 20.5% | 8.0% | 2.3% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 308 | 71 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.32 | 21.9% | 11.1% | 1.2% | .368 | 3.66 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 100 | +0.34 | 3.04 | 153 | 71 |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.29 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 4.3% | .285 | 6.48 | 12.3% | -0.3% | 11 | +1.19 | 3.40 | 144 | 71 |