Sam Hentges — OGILVIE

Sam Hentges P San Francisco Giants

Age 30 LHP 6'8" / 255 lbs MLB peak 0.5 · 2026 ILInjured 15-Day (D15)

2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8391vR 99

ERA3.58

FIP3.52

K%25.8%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%16.7%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4545

CMD5555

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4894.4

Whiff%

p6627.8%

p5322.7%

xwOBA vs

p620.300

SL+2.8 (21%)

SI (16%)

CU (32%)

FB-0.9 (47%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	19	ROK MLE	AZL Indians	11	9	49	217	59	19	4	82%	4.5	18.5%	10.9%	7.5%	2.6%	3.10	4.34	—
2015	19	ROK RAW	AZL Indians	11	9	49	217	59	19	4	82%	4.5	27.2%	8.8%	18.4%	1.8%	3.10	2.92	—
2016	20	A MLE	Lake County Captains	14	14	60	284	73	29	8	100%	4.3	19.0%	12.0%	7.0%	2.9%	6.12	4.60	—
2016	20	A RAW	Lake County Captains	14	14	60	284	73	29	8	100%	4.3	25.7%	10.2%	15.5%	2.8%	6.12	3.85	—
2017	21	ROK MLE	AZL Indians	6	6	13	58	18	3	2	100%	2.2	21.1%	6.5%	14.6%	4.8%	4.85	4.79	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	AZL Indians	6	6	13	58	18	3	2	100%	2.2	31.0%	5.2%	25.9%	3.4%	4.85	3.02	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	23	23	118	505	122	52	4	100%	5.1	18.6%	11.8%	6.8%	1.0%	3.27	3.59	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	23	23	118	505	122	52	4	100%	5.1	24.2%	10.3%	13.9%	0.8%	3.27	2.80	—
2019	23	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	26	26	129	588	126	64	11	100%	4.9	17.4%	12.0%	5.4%	2.6%	5.11	4.58	—
2019	23	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	26	26	129	588	126	64	11	100%	4.9	21.4%	10.9%	10.5%	1.9%	5.11	3.75	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	12	73	335	74	34	10	36%	2.2	21.4%	10.1%	11.3%	3.2%	6.66	4.30	+0.2
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	12	73	335	74	34	10	36%	2.2	22.1%	10.1%	11.9%	3.0%	6.66	4.25	+0.3
2022	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	57	0	62	245	72	18	3	0%	1.1	29.4%	7.3%	22.0%	1.2%	2.32	2.22	+1.7
2022	26	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	57	0	62	245	72	18	3	0%	1.1	29.4%	7.3%	22.0%	1.2%	2.32	2.28	+1.7
2023	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	61	0	57	244	60	20	2	0%	0.9	25.1%	8.1%	17.0%	0.9%	3.47	2.50	+1.4
2023	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	61	0	57	244	60	20	2	0%	0.9	25.1%	8.1%	17.0%	0.9%	3.47	2.50	+1.4
2023	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	61	0	57	244	60	20	2	0%	0.9	24.6%	8.2%	16.4%	0.8%	3.47	2.50	+1.4
2024	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	3	33	131	35	10	3	9%	0.9	29.7%	5.5%	24.2%	3.3%	3.27	3.10	+0.6
2024	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	3	33	131	35	10	3	9%	0.9	29.7%	5.5%	24.2%	3.3%	3.27	3.10	+0.6
2024	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	3	33	131	35	10	3	9%	0.9	26.7%	7.6%	19.1%	2.3%	3.27	3.07	+0.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			208	12	240	1031	258	94	18	6%	1.2	25.0%	9.1%	15.9%	1.7%	4.06	3.10	+4.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	50	4	42	192	43	27	0	8%	0.8	22.7%	13.6%	9.1%	0.0%	2.98	2.91	+0.8
YTD	30	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	50	4	42	192	43	27	0	8%	0.8	22.7%	13.6%	9.1%	0.0%	2.98	2.91	+0.8
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	30	A RAW	SF	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	100%	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2026	30	AAA RAW	SF	9	3	8	35	8	6	0	33%	0.9	22.9%	17.1%	5.7%	0.0%	2.16	3.34	—
2026	30	MLB RAW	SF	40	0	33	154	35	21	0	0%	0.8	22.7%	13.6%	9.1%	0.0%	3.27	2.91	+0.6
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	SF	40	0	33	154	35	21	0	0%	0.8	22.7%	13.6%	9.1%	0.0%	3.27	2.91	+0.6
ROS	30	MLB MLE	SF	2	0	3	11	3	1	0	0%	1.3	25.8%	9.1%	16.7%	2.6%	3.58	3.52	+0.0
ROS	30	MLB CTX	SF	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	25.8%	9.1%	16.7%	2.6%	3.58	3.52	+0.0
2026 TOT	30	MLB MLE	SF	—	—	45	203	46	28	0	—	—	22.6%	13.8%	8.8%	0.1%	3.01	2.94	+0.9
FULL	30	MLB A+C	SF	—	—	36	150	46	28	0	—	—	30.5%	18.6%	11.9%	0.2%	3.80	2.99	+0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	SF	50	0	53	224	57	21	5	0%	1.1	25.4%	9.6%	15.8%	2.4%	3.78	3.85	+0.4
2028	32	MLB MLE	SF	47	0	49	207	51	21	5	0%	1.0	24.6%	10.0%	14.6%	2.6%	3.98	4.11	+0.3
2029	33	MLB MLE	SF	43	0	45	190	45	20	5	0%	1.0	23.7%	10.4%	13.3%	2.9%	4.22	4.38	+0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	SF	48	0	50	211	54	20	5	0%	1.0	25.4%	9.6%	15.8%	2.4%	3.78	3.85	+0.4
2028	32	MLB CTX	SF	45	0	47	198	49	20	5	0%	1.0	24.6%	10.0%	14.6%	2.6%	3.98	4.11	+0.2
2029	33	MLB CTX	SF	41	0	43	182	43	19	5	0%	1.0	23.7%	10.4%	13.3%	2.9%	4.22	4.38	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		343	12	382	1631	406	154	34	3%	1.1	24.9%	9.4%	15.5%	2.1%	4.03	3.33	+5.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		180	6	200	854	213	81	18	3%	1.1	24.9%	9.4%	15.5%	2.1%	4.03	3.33	+2.9
Career	—	MLE		316	97	637	2799	590	297	57	31%	2.0	21.1%	10.6%	10.5%	2.0%	4.22	3.78	+5.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		99	30	200	879	185	93	18	31%	2.0	21.1%	10.6%	10.5%	2.0%	4.22	3.78	+2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sam Hentges (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.59	27.9%	7.3%	2.8%	—	4.10	24.6%	14.6%	147	+0.51	—	—	—
Brian Moran L 2019 · 3.40 FIP	30	SU	3.40	26.9%	10.0%	2.4%	.269	2.99	25.5%	18.5%	99	-0.41	1.80	421	73
Jake Diekman L 2016 · 3.23 FIP	29	SU	3.23	26.7%	11.3%	1.7%	.241	3.09	28.6%	15.8%	115	-0.14	2.36	455	72
Boone Logan L 2015 · 2.96 FIP	30	SU	2.96	26.2%	9.5%	1.6%	.352	3.05	29.7%	20.6%	78	+0.09	2.58	113	72
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	72
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	3.71	181	70
Buddy Boshers L 2018 · 3.22 FIP	30	SU	3.22	22.9%	6.6%	2.2%	.314	3.73	25.3%	14.9%	55	+0.51	2.80	223	70
Antonio Bastardo L 2016 · 4.43 FIP	30	SU	4.43	24.9%	9.8%	4.0%	.268	8.05	15.0%	-1.4%	20	+3.62	3.10	145	70
Daniel Rodriguez L 2015 · 2.89 FIP	30	SU	2.89	20.2%	9.4%	0.6%	.256	4.17	16.3%	5.9%	234	+1.28	2.89	391	70
Kyle Regnault L 2018 · 3.82 FIP	29	SU	3.82	27.6%	9.7%	3.3%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	204	69
Fernando Abad L 2016 · 3.77 FIP	30	SU	3.77	20.7%	10.1%	2.1%	.271	2.95	21.8%	17.1%	88	-0.82	2.37	306	68
Jake McGee L 2017 · 2.70 FIP	30	SU	2.70	25.3%	7.0%	1.6%	.285	4.10	24.0%	18.3%	113	+1.40	1.39	350	68
Zach Phillips L 2017 · 2.85 FIP	30	SU	2.85	19.2%	8.6%	0.5%	.301	3.67	19.1%	10.6%	36	+0.82	2.33	202	66
Justin Wilson L 2018 · 3.56 FIP	30	SU	3.56	29.2%	13.6%	2.2%	.308	3.85	24.0%	13.5%	93	+0.29	2.49	420	66
Sammy Solís L 2019 · 4.05 FIP	30	SU	4.05	26.2%	8.9%	3.7%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	190	66
Phil Coke L 2015 · 3.89 FIP	33	SU	3.89	18.8%	9.1%	2.2%	.373	3.04	18.0%	11.3%	70	-0.85	3.04	101	66
Sam Freeman L 2017 · 3.03 FIP	30	SU	3.03	23.2%	9.8%	1.2%	.269	4.56	21.5%	9.0%	109	+1.53	3.03	299	65
Marc Rzepczynski L 2016 · 2.79 FIP	30	SU	2.79	21.4%	9.8%	0.5%	.306	4.93	16.4%	3.3%	98	+2.14	2.73	181	65
Felix Doubront L 2017 · 4.12 FIP	29	SU	4.12	23.7%	9.0%	3.4%	.304	3.44	17.6%	12.6%	126	-0.68	3.44	291	65
Ryan Buchter L 2017 · 4.45 FIP	30	SU	4.45	24.3%	9.3%	4.0%	.202	4.19	25.3%	15.6%	85	-0.26	2.37	296	65
Arturo Barradas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	29	SU	3.42	18.1%	7.0%	1.8%	.288	3.24	16.1%	9.5%	34	-0.18	3.24	163	65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	50	25.5%	9.3%	1.03	3.89
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Diego Castillo ('22)	1.3	52	28.1%	8.9%	1.07	3.12
Derek Law ('24)	1.5	60	21.5%	8.9%	0.88	3.47