Sam Hentges
P
Sacramento River Cats
+0.2
WAR
INJURED · Injured 15-Day (D15)
Age 30
LHP
6'8" / 255 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2027
ERA3.75
FIP3.95
xFIP2.80
SIERA2.65
K%25.0%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%16.8%
IP25
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2027
STUF6060
CTRL5555
CMD6060
K†6060
FB Velo
p5895.1
Whiff%
p7529.2%
K%
p9029.7%
xwOBA vs
p900.257
SL+2.8 (21%)
SI (16%)
CU (32%)
FB-0.9 (47%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | AZL Indians | 11 | 9 | 49 | 217 | 59 | 19 | 4 | 18.5% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 3.10 | 4.34 | +0.3 |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Lake County Captains | 14 | 14 | 60 | 284 | 73 | 29 | 8 | 19.0% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 6.12 | 4.53 | +0.3 |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | AZL Indians | 6 | 6 | 13 | 58 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 21.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.85 | 4.79 | +0.0 |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | 23 | 23 | 118 | 505 | 122 | 52 | 4 | 18.6% | 11.8% | 1.0% | 3.27 | 3.59 | +2.3 |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 26 | 26 | 129 | 588 | 126 | 64 | 11 | 17.4% | 12.0% | 2.5% | 5.11 | 4.54 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 33 | 12 | 73 | 335 | 74 | 34 | 10 | 21.4% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 6.66 | 4.21 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 57 | 0 | 62 | 245 | 72 | 18 | 3 | 29.4% | 7.3% | 1.4% | 2.32 | 2.31 | +1.9 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 61 | 0 | 57 | 244 | 60 | 20 | 2 | 25.1% | 8.1% | 0.9% | 3.47 | 2.49 | +1.6 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 35 | 3 | 33 | 131 | 35 | 10 | 3 | 29.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.27 | 2.96 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | SF | 13 | — | 13 | 54 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 26.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 3.53 | 3.71 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 30 | MLB | SF | — | — | 15 | 60 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 25.8% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 3.05 | 3.21 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SF | 24 | — | 24 | 103 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 26.3% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 3.70 | 3.81 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 268 | 95 | 597 | 2613 | 547 | 271 | 56 | 20.9% | 10.4% | 2.1% | 4.30 | 3.82 | +10.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 32 | 200 | 876 | 183 | 91 | 19 | 20.9% | 10.4% | 2.1% | 4.30 | 3.82 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sam Hentges (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.71 | 26.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | — | 3.81 | 26.3% | 18.5% | 24 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Boone Logan L 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.05 | 26.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .352 | 3.11 | 29.7% | 20.6% | 78 | +0.06 | 2.64 | 113 | 81 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.07 | 26.2% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 190 | 74 |
| Jake Diekman L 2025 · 3.23 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.23 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 1.7% | .241 | 3.08 | 28.6% | 15.8% | 115 | -0.15 | 2.32 | 455 | 72 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 2.69 FIP | 30 | SW | 2.69 | 25.3% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .285 | 4.13 | 24.0% | 18.3% | 113 | +1.44 | 1.36 | 350 | 71 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.39 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .269 | 2.98 | 25.5% | 18.5% | 99 | -0.41 | 1.81 | 421 | 71 |
| Tony Sipp L 2028 · 2.68 FIP | 32 | SW | 2.68 | 28.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% | .267 | 4.36 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 120 | +1.68 | 2.19 | 195 | 70 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.77 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.21 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.44 | 3.70 | 181 | 70 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2025 · 2.82 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.82 | 29.5% | 7.8% | 2.2% | .275 | 4.39 | 26.4% | 5.9% | 35 | +1.57 | 2.58 | 160 | 70 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.23 | 22.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% | .314 | 3.70 | 25.3% | 14.9% | 55 | +0.47 | 2.83 | 223 | 70 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2029 · 2.76 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.76 | 27.9% | 7.1% | 2.0% | .304 | 2.62 | 28.3% | 21.7% | 119 | -0.14 | 1.56 | 219 | 70 |
| Aaron Loup L 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.15 | 24.0% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .364 | 2.52 | 25.1% | 18.8% | 82 | -0.63 | 2.07 | 363 | 70 |
| Jared Koenig L 2026 · 2.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 2.72 | 23.8% | 7.2% | 1.3% | .279 | 3.00 | 25.4% | 18.3% | 66 | +0.28 | 2.72 | 455 | 69 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2025 · 3.83 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.83 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.4% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 204 | 69 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2029 · 2.97 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.97 | 19.1% | 7.3% | 1.0% | .352 | 3.57 | 16.2% | 8.5% | 89 | +0.60 | 2.97 | 117 | 69 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.54 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 4.2% | .268 | 7.97 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.43 | 2.98 | 145 | 68 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.66 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% | .342 | 2.89 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.77 | 2.89 | 101 | 68 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 3.03 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.70 | 2.38 | 306 | 67 |
| Jorge Ibarra L 2025 · 3.05 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.05 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 1.4% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 146 | 67 |
| Brett Cecil L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.50 | 28.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | .337 | 3.97 | 20.0% | 12.7% | 100 | +0.47 | 1.88 | 191 | 67 |
| Jason Gurka L 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.37 | 20.7% | 6.2% | 2.2% | .357 | 5.13 | 15.5% | 7.9% | 25 | +1.76 | 2.91 | 183 | 67 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.