Sam Hentges
P
San Francisco Giants
Age 30
LHP
6'8" / 255 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 39 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7685vR 95
ERA3.33
FIP3.26
K%27.3%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%18.4%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4093.8
Whiff%
p7028.5%
K%
p6825.6%
xwOBA vs
p450.317
SL+2.8 (21%)
SI (16%)
CU (32%)
FB-0.9 (47%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | AZL Indians | 11 | 9 | 49 | 217 | 59 | 19 | 4 | 82% | 4.5 | 18.5% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 3.10 | 4.34 | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | AZL Indians | 11 | 9 | 49 | 217 | 59 | 19 | 4 | 82% | 4.5 | 27.2% | 8.8% | 18.4% | 1.8% | 3.10 | 2.92 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Lake County Captains | 14 | 14 | 60 | 284 | 73 | 29 | 8 | 100% | 4.3 | 19.0% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 6.12 | 4.32 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Lake County Captains | 14 | 14 | 60 | 284 | 73 | 29 | 8 | 100% | 4.3 | 25.7% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 2.8% | 6.12 | 3.85 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | AZL Indians | 6 | 6 | 13 | 58 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 100% | 2.2 | 21.1% | 6.5% | 14.6% | 4.8% | 4.85 | 4.79 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | AZL Indians | 6 | 6 | 13 | 58 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 100% | 2.2 | 31.0% | 5.2% | 25.9% | 3.4% | 4.85 | 3.02 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | 23 | 23 | 118 | 505 | 122 | 52 | 4 | 100% | 5.1 | 18.6% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 1.1% | 3.27 | 3.61 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | 23 | 23 | 118 | 505 | 122 | 52 | 4 | 100% | 5.1 | 24.2% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 0.8% | 3.27 | 2.80 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 26 | 26 | 129 | 588 | 126 | 64 | 11 | 100% | 4.9 | 17.4% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 5.11 | 4.85 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 26 | 26 | 129 | 588 | 126 | 64 | 11 | 100% | 4.9 | 21.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 1.9% | 5.11 | 3.75 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 12 | 73 | 335 | 74 | 34 | 10 | 36% | 2.2 | 21.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 6.66 | 4.30 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 12 | 73 | 335 | 74 | 34 | 10 | 36% | 2.2 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 6.66 | 4.25 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 57 | 0 | 62 | 245 | 72 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.4% | 7.3% | 22.0% | 1.2% | 2.32 | 2.22 | +1.7 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 57 | 0 | 62 | 245 | 72 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.4% | 7.3% | 22.0% | 1.2% | 2.32 | 2.28 | +1.7 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 61 | 0 | 57 | 244 | 60 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 25.1% | 8.1% | 17.0% | 0.9% | 3.47 | 2.50 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 61 | 0 | 57 | 244 | 60 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.6% | 8.2% | 16.4% | 0.8% | 3.47 | 2.50 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 3 | 33 | 131 | 35 | 10 | 3 | 9% | 0.9 | 29.7% | 5.5% | 24.2% | 3.3% | 3.27 | 3.11 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 3 | 33 | 131 | 35 | 10 | 3 | 9% | 0.9 | 26.7% | 7.6% | 19.1% | 2.3% | 3.27 | 3.07 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 33 | 4 | 27 | 120 | 29 | 20 | 0 | 12% | 0.8 | 25.6% | 17.1% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 2.00 | 3.10 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | SF | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 45 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.3% | 8.9% | 18.4% | 2.4% | 3.33 | 3.26 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | SF | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 45 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.3% | 8.9% | 18.4% | 2.4% | 3.33 | 3.26 | +0.6 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | SF | — | — | 66 | 285 | 74 | 35 | 4 | — | — | 26.0% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 1.4% | 2.79 | 3.20 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | SF | — | — | 57 | 240 | 74 | 35 | 4 | — | — | 30.9% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 1.7% | 3.25 | 3.25 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SF | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 60 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.7% | 9.4% | 17.3% | 2.6% | 3.80 | 3.86 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | SF | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 54 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.9% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 2.9% | 3.99 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | SF | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 48 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 3.2% | 4.23 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SF | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 56 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.7% | 9.4% | 17.3% | 2.6% | 3.80 | 3.86 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | SF | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 51 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.9% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 2.9% | 3.99 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | SF | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 45 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 3.2% | 4.23 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 361 | 12 | 403 | 1714 | 442 | 159 | 39 | 3% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 2.3% | 3.94 | 3.35 | +9.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 179 | 6 | 200 | 850 | 219 | 79 | 19 | 3% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 2.3% | 3.94 | 3.35 | +4.8 | ||
| Career | — | 299 | 97 | 622 | 2727 | 577 | 291 | 59 | 32% | 2.1 | 21.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 2.2% | 4.21 | 3.85 | +11.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 96 | 31 | 200 | 877 | 186 | 94 | 19 | 32% | 2.1 | 21.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 2.2% | 4.21 | 3.85 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sam Hentges (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.57 | 27.9% | 7.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.11 | 25.9% | 16.1% | 147 | +0.54 | — | — | — |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.29 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .269 | 3.00 | 25.5% | 18.5% | 99 | -0.29 | 1.67 | 421 | 71 |
| Jared Koenig L 2026 · 2.86 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.86 | 23.8% | 7.2% | 1.6% | .279 | 3.14 | 25.4% | 18.3% | 66 | +0.28 | 2.86 | 455 | 71 |
| Boone Logan L 2026 · 2.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.85 | 26.2% | 9.5% | 1.4% | .352 | 3.01 | 29.7% | 20.6% | 78 | +0.16 | 2.44 | 113 | 68 |
| Jake Diekman L 2025 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.25 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .241 | 3.03 | 28.6% | 15.8% | 115 | -0.22 | 2.33 | 455 | 68 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 68 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.29 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .268 | 8.16 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.87 | 3.04 | 145 | 68 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 67 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.17 | 22.9% | 6.6% | 2.1% | .314 | 3.73 | 25.3% | 14.9% | 55 | +0.56 | 2.81 | 223 | 66 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2025 · 2.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.44 | 26.7% | 7.4% | 1.2% | .281 | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.5% | 30 | +1.85 | 2.44 | 124 | 66 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 2.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.58 | 25.3% | 7.0% | 1.3% | .285 | 3.84 | 24.0% | 18.3% | 113 | +1.26 | 1.52 | 350 | 65 |
| Justin Wilson L 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.48 | 29.2% | 13.6% | 2.1% | .308 | 3.86 | 24.0% | 13.5% | 93 | +0.38 | 2.48 | 420 | 64 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2025 · 2.67 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.67 | 29.5% | 7.8% | 1.9% | .275 | 4.48 | 26.4% | 5.9% | 35 | +1.81 | 2.51 | 160 | 64 |
| Tony Sipp L 2028 · 2.70 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.70 | 28.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% | .267 | 4.25 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 120 | +1.55 | 2.18 | 195 | 64 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2026 · 2.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.87 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 0.5% | .256 | 4.18 | 16.3% | 5.9% | 234 | +1.31 | 2.87 | 391 | 63 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.16 | 26.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 190 | 63 |
| Héctor Santiago L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.4% | 12.4% | 3.4% | .299 | 4.70 | 22.5% | 11.9% | 154 | +0.08 | 4.40 | 713 | 63 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 62 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.42 | 24.3% | 9.3% | 4.0% | .202 | 4.09 | 25.3% | 15.6% | 85 | -0.33 | 2.37 | 296 | 62 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 62 |
| Luke Westphal L 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.48 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .321 | 4.52 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 51 | 26.5% | 9.1% | 1.11 | 3.90 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Diego Castillo ('22) | 5 | 52 | 28.1% | 8.9% | 1.07 | 3.12 |