Jhon Medina
P
Fresno Grizzlies
Age 20
LHP
6'0" / 195 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130139vR 148
ERA5.75
FIP5.75
K%14.9%
BB%15.4%
K-BB%-0.5%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 11 | 4 | 36 | 155 | 29 | 17 | 2 | 36% | 3.3 | 12.7% | 13.7% | -1.0% | 1.9% | 5.00 | 4.82 | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 11 | 4 | 36 | 155 | 29 | 17 | 2 | 36% | 3.3 | 18.7% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 5.00 | 3.63 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 10 | 8 | 42 | 170 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 80% | 4.2 | 15.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 0.6% | 2.36 | 3.26 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 10 | 8 | 42 | 170 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 80% | 4.2 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 15.3% | 0.6% | 2.36 | 2.46 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 12 | 11 | 45 | 187 | 41 | 25 | 2 | 92% | 3.7 | 14.9% | 16.7% | -1.8% | 1.6% | 3.83 | 4.83 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 12 | 11 | 45 | 187 | 41 | 25 | 2 | 92% | 3.7 | 21.9% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 1.1% | 3.83 | 3.53 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 21 | 1 | 44 | 227 | 44 | 44 | 7 | 5% | 2.1 | 14.3% | 22.9% | -8.5% | 4.0% | 10.43 | 6.99 | -1.3 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | COL | 26 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 17 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.9% | 15.4% | -0.5% | 2.9% | 5.75 | 5.75 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.9% | 15.4% | -0.5% | 2.9% | 5.75 | 5.75 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | COL | — | — | 71 | 340 | 61 | 61 | 10 | — | — | 17.9% | 18.1% | -0.2% | 3.0% | 8.66 | 6.52 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | COL | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 14.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.48 | 5.40 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | COL | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 14.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.48 | 5.40 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 14.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.48 | 5.02 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 145 | 116 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 14.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.48 | 5.02 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 54 | 24 | 167 | 739 | 106 | 119 | 16 | 44% | 3.1 | 14.3% | 16.2% | -1.8% | 2.2% | 5.45 | 5.13 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 29 | 200 | 887 | 127 | 143 | 19 | 44% | 3.1 | 14.3% | 16.2% | -1.8% | 2.2% | 5.45 | 5.13 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jhon Medina (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.75 | 14.9% | 15.4% | 2.9% | — | 5.40 | 16.6% | 2.6% | 28 | -0.35 | — | — | — |
| Roberth Fernandez L 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.76 | 11.4% | 16.2% | 2.9% | .356 | 4.92 | 14.7% | 6.3% | 60 | -0.84 | 4.92 | 103 | 84 |
| Javier Navas L 2025 · 6.10 FIP | 19 | SW | 6.10 | 11.1% | 19.7% | 2.6% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 103 | 82 |
| Brayan Restituyo L 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.89 | 17.6% | 14.6% | 2.6% | .397 | 4.44 | 18.4% | 6.3% | 144 | -0.45 | 3.66 | 236 | 81 |
| Brayan De Paula L 2026 · 6.00 FIP | 20 | SW | 6.00 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 4.1% | .272 | 4.44 | 20.9% | 6.1% | 59 | -1.56 | 3.57 | 243 | 81 |
| Bryce Hubbart L 2028 · 5.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.82 | 17.0% | 26.0% | 1.6% | .303 | 5.00 | 17.4% | 3.9% | 136 | -0.82 | 4.73 | 181 | 80 |
| Luis Gutierrez L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.84 | 14.7% | 15.8% | 1.8% | .374 | 4.26 | 15.6% | 6.9% | 191 | -0.58 | 4.14 | 277 | 80 |
| Scott Squier L 2028 · 4.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.89 | 12.2% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .362 | 4.13 | 13.9% | 7.9% | 234 | -0.76 | 3.30 | 276 | 79 |
| Salvador Montano L 2027 · 5.23 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.23 | 11.5% | 15.9% | 2.0% | .301 | 4.60 | 21.3% | -0.0% | 71 | -0.63 | 4.37 | 116 | 79 |
| Oscar Armenta L 2027 · 5.37 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.37 | 11.8% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .318 | 4.90 | 9.8% | -5.0% | 59 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 118 | 78 |
| Lane Ratliff L 2028 · 6.27 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.27 | 12.0% | 12.8% | 4.7% | .344 | 3.29 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 80 | -2.98 | 2.85 | 109 | 77 |
| Gregory Reinoso L 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.11 | 12.3% | 15.6% | 1.9% | .299 | 6.70 | 11.3% | -7.8% | 29 | +1.59 | 4.18 | 105 | 77 |
| Jaret Hellinger L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.79 | 11.3% | 12.4% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.93 | 14.4% | 7.4% | 46 | -0.86 | 3.08 | 209 | 76 |
| Carlos Velez L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.56 | 16.3% | 19.4% | 0.7% | .283 | 3.83 | 17.8% | 2.3% | 35 | -0.73 | 3.83 | 133 | 76 |
| Manuel Osorio L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.22 | 18.7% | 15.3% | 3.2% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 153 | 76 |
| Colby Langford L 2028 · 5.24 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.24 | 21.6% | 22.5% | 2.0% | .273 | 6.09 | 22.9% | -1.5% | 95 | +0.85 | 4.82 | 153 | 76 |
| Kevin Escorcia L 2026 · 5.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.63 | 14.3% | 10.8% | 4.3% | .394 | 3.63 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 118 | -2.00 | 3.26 | 189 | 76 |
| Julian Smith L 2028 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.79 | 14.5% | 17.4% | 1.3% | .399 | 5.33 | 17.9% | 5.8% | 110 | +0.54 | 2.87 | 189 | 75 |
| Maikel Sepulveda L 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.78 | 10.5% | 11.5% | 2.0% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 125 | 75 |
| Estevan Gonzalez L 2029 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.69 | 14.1% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .322 | 4.80 | 14.7% | 0.1% | 130 | +0.11 | 4.62 | 195 | 75 |
| Gabriel Cotto L 2025 · 5.98 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.98 | 11.3% | 18.4% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.15 | 18.5% | 2.4% | 113 | -0.83 | 5.02 | 236 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 15.8% | 14.7% | 1.10 | 5.61 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |