Ryan Anderson — OGILVIE

Ryan Anderson P Somerset Patriots

Age 27 LHP 6'6" / 229 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110119vR 127

ERA4.92

FIP4.92

K%17.2%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%5.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	7	30	163	32	33	1	44%	1.9	14.7%	26.1%	-11.4%	1.0%	10.01	5.71	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	7	30	163	32	33	1	44%	1.9	19.6%	20.2%	-0.6%	0.6%	10.01	4.72	—
2022	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	35	0	61	273	64	25	8	0%	1.8	17.3%	10.8%	6.5%	3.7%	4.26	5.04	—
2022	23	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	35	0	61	273	64	25	8	0%	1.8	23.4%	9.2%	14.3%	2.9%	4.26	3.93	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	58	229	64	16	2	0%	1.6	22.0%	7.8%	14.2%	1.0%	2.17	2.80	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	58	229	64	16	2	0%	1.6	22.0%	7.8%	14.2%	1.0%	2.17	2.80	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	58	229	64	16	2	0%	1.6	27.9%	7.0%	21.0%	0.9%	2.17	2.17	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	25	1	30	120	34	10	1	4%	1.2	22.9%	9.2%	13.8%	1.0%	3.00	2.86	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	25	1	30	120	34	10	1	4%	1.2	22.9%	9.2%	13.8%	1.0%	3.00	2.86	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	25	1	30	120	34	10	1	4%	1.2	28.3%	8.3%	20.0%	0.8%	3.00	2.27	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	43	190	38	20	3	0%	1.2	15.6%	11.3%	4.4%	2.0%	4.57	4.29	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	43	190	38	20	3	0%	1.2	15.6%	11.3%	4.4%	2.0%	4.57	4.29	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	43	190	38	20	3	0%	1.2	20.0%	10.5%	9.5%	1.6%	4.57	3.63	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	NYY	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.0	17.2%	11.3%	5.9%	2.7%	4.92	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55	0	58	244	43	27	7	0%	1.0	17.7%	11.3%	6.4%	2.8%	4.91	4.94	-0.3
2028	29	MLB MLE	NYY	52	0	55	233	42	26	7	0%	1.1	17.9%	11.3%	6.5%	3.0%	4.96	5.03	-0.3
2027	28	MLB CTX	NYY	21	0	22	93	16	10	3	0%	1.0	17.7%	11.3%	6.4%	2.8%	4.91	4.94	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	NYY	30	0	31	131	23	15	4	0%	1.0	17.9%	11.3%	6.5%	3.0%	4.96	5.03	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	52	221	39	25	6	0%	1.0	17.8%	11.3%	6.5%	2.9%	4.94	4.61	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	149	96	23	0%	1.1	17.8%	11.3%	6.5%	2.9%	4.94	4.61	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		148	8	222	975	179	122	19	5%	1.5	18.4%	12.5%	5.8%	2.0%	4.37	4.21	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		133	7	200	877	161	110	17	5%	1.5	18.4%	12.5%	5.8%	2.0%	4.37	4.21	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Anderson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	17.2%	11.3%	2.7%	—	4.98	17.8%	6.5%	113	+0.06	—	—	—
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	88
Tony Cingrani L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	27	SU	4.19	18.1%	13.3%	1.7%	.271	3.50	32.4%	26.1%	65	-0.69	1.68	186	85
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	84
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	84
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	84
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	83
Stephen Peterson L 2015 · 4.59 FIP	27	SU	4.59	13.0%	9.5%	2.5%	.284	3.04	17.3%	6.3%	55	-1.55	3.04	120	83
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	82
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	82
Michael Johnson L 2018 · 5.19 FIP	27	SU	5.19	13.4%	10.0%	3.6%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	256	82
Ozzie Mendez L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	14.6%	6.7%	2.6%	.269	3.99	11.3%	3.0%	68	-0.17	3.95	161	81
Justin Wright L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	26	SU	4.42	14.7%	13.7%	1.5%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.28	109	81
Jose Meraz L 2015 · 4.71 FIP	27	SU	4.71	13.3%	12.0%	2.2%	.331	4.06	15.3%	6.7%	44	-0.65	3.78	110	81
David Rollins L 2017 · 5.58 FIP	27	SU	5.58	18.0%	12.1%	4.5%	.260	5.68	15.9%	12.5%	20	+0.10	3.59	132	81
Kit Scheetz L 2021 · 5.08 FIP	27	SU	5.08	16.2%	13.6%	2.9%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.34	195	81
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	80
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	80
Bryan Harper L 2016 · 4.13 FIP	26	SU	4.13	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.197	4.63	14.9%	1.0%	46	+0.50	4.13	133	80
Juan Martinez L 2019 · 4.81 FIP	27	SU	4.81	14.4%	9.2%	3.2%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	273	80
Braulio Lara L 2016 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	17.7%	11.0%	2.5%	.289	5.80	19.8%	2.0%	40	+1.45	3.96	118	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	17.6%	11.3%	1.08	4.93
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99