Ryan Anderson
P
Somerset Patriots
+0.1
WAR
Age 27
LHP
6'6" / 229 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.41
FIP4.41
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.0%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%11.2%
IP34
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL4545
CMD4040
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 16 | 7 | 30 | 163 | 32 | 33 | 1 | 14.7% | 26.1% | 1.0% | 10.01 | 5.71 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 35 | 0 | 61 | 273 | 64 | 25 | 8 | 17.3% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 4.26 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 37 | 0 | 58 | 229 | 64 | 16 | 2 | 22.0% | 7.8% | 1.1% | 2.17 | 2.81 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 25 | 1 | 30 | 120 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 1.0% | 3.00 | 2.86 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 35 | 0 | 43 | 190 | 38 | 20 | 3 | 15.6% | 11.3% | 2.0% | 4.57 | 4.30 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 34 | — | 34 | 142 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.64 | 4.64 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 33 | — | 33 | 140 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 20.1% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 4.62 | 4.63 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 32 | — | 32 | 137 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 20.2% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.63 | 4.66 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 32 | — | 32 | 133 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 20.2% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 30 | — | 30 | 128 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 20.0% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.73 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 29 | — | 29 | 123 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 19.8% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.85 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 148 | 8 | 222 | 975 | 179 | 122 | 19 | 18.4% | 12.5% | 2.0% | 4.37 | 4.22 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 133 | 7 | 200 | 877 | 161 | 110 | 17 | 18.4% | 12.5% | 2.0% | 4.37 | 4.22 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 2.7% | — | 4.66 | 20.2% | 9.5% | 97 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.79 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.32 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 101 | 89 |
| Haylen Green L 2024 · 4.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.09 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 85 |
| Brian Moran L 2025 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .318 | 2.78 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -1.75 | 1.81 | 421 | 83 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .197 | 4.65 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.46 | 4.19 | 133 | 83 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 83 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 2.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94 | 141 | 82 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.36 | 17.7% | 11.0% | 2.5% | .289 | 5.80 | 19.8% | 2.0% | 40 | +1.44 | 3.98 | 118 | 82 |
| David Rollins L 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.50 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 4.3% | .260 | 5.70 | 15.9% | 12.5% | 20 | +0.20 | 3.60 | 132 | 81 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.61 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.36 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.36 | 153 | 81 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 81 |
| Jeff Belge L 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.2% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 175 | 81 |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.12 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 4.0% | .285 | 6.29 | 12.3% | -0.3% | 11 | +1.17 | 3.36 | 144 | 80 |
| Jake Rice L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.73 | 21.8% | 13.8% | 1.3% | .273 | 6.14 | 16.9% | -1.3% | 54 | +2.41 | 3.14 | 199 | 79 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.21 | 18.1% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.66 | 32.4% | 26.1% | 65 | -0.55 | 1.66 | 186 | 79 |
| Edward Paredes L 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.47 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.55 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.08 | 2.37 | 130 | 79 |
| Daniel Gibson L 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 18.6% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 159 | 79 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.48 | 19.8% | 12.8% | 0.8% | .312 | 4.58 | 17.8% | 3.7% | 76 | +1.10 | 3.48 | 134 | 79 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.18 | 17.9% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 304 | 79 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.27 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 172 | 78 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.02 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .317 | 4.77 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 269 | 78 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.