Dalvi Nunez

P ACL Padres

Age 20 RHP 5'8" / 200 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Padres Go…	12	11	37	5.30	3.23	24.7%	14.8%	—	K 16.8% · BB 18.5% · FIP 4.52
2026	19	ROKSD	19	1	28	5.79	3.74	17.1%	15.7%	—	K 11.7% · BB 19.6% · FIP 4.60
2027PROJ	20	MLBSD	17	0	18	5.67	5.67	18.8%	17.4%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBSD	16	0	17	5.35	5.23	20.0%	15.0%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsOver Galue (age 20) · Will Kobos (age 20) · Sunayro Martina (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.67

FIP5.67

K%18.8%

BB%17.4%

K-BB%1.3%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	12	11	37	162	40	24	1	92%	3.1	16.8%	18.5%	-1.7%	0.9%	5.30	4.52	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	12	11	37	162	40	24	1	92%	3.1	16.8%	18.5%	-1.7%	0.9%	5.30	4.52	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	12	11	37	162	40	24	1	92%	3.1	24.7%	14.8%	9.9%	0.6%	5.30	3.23	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	19	1	28	140	24	22	0	5%	1.5	11.7%	19.6%	-8.0%	0.0%	5.79	4.60	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	19	1	28	140	24	22	0	5%	1.5	11.7%	19.6%	-8.0%	0.0%	5.79	4.60	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	19	1	28	140	24	22	0	5%	1.5	17.1%	15.7%	1.4%	0.0%	5.79	3.74	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	SD	17	0	18	76	14	13	2	0%	1.1	18.8%	17.4%	1.3%	2.8%	5.67	5.67	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SD	34	0	35	149	30	22	4	0%	1.0	20.0%	15.0%	5.0%	2.8%	5.35	5.23	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	SD	16	0	17	72	14	11	2	0%	1.1	20.0%	15.0%	5.0%	2.8%	5.35	5.23	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	17	73	15	11	2	0%	1.0	20.0%	15.0%	5.0%	2.8%	5.35	4.85	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	127	23	0%	1.1	20.0%	15.0%	5.0%	2.8%	5.35	4.85	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		31	12	65	302	44	58	1	39%	2.1	14.4%	19.0%	-4.6%	0.5%	5.51	4.56	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	37	200	924	133	176	4	39%	2.1	14.4%	19.0%	-4.6%	0.5%	5.51	4.56	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dalvi Nunez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.67	18.8%	17.4%	2.8%	—	5.23	20.0%	5.0%	35	-0.44	—	—	—
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	89
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	88
Sunayro Martina R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	20	SW	4.57	16.3%	16.9%	1.3%	.305	5.69	13.9%	-4.9%	71	+1.12	4.57	118	84
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	84
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	84
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	83
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	82
Darlin Pinales R 2023 · 6.68 FIP	20	SW	6.68	17.0%	27.6%	2.8%	.350	4.44	21.7%	1.1%	117	-2.24	3.61	214	81
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	81
Angel Peralta R 2024 · 6.70 FIP	17	SW	6.70	19.0%	29.7%	2.6%	.200	4.28	15.9%	2.0%	84	-2.42	3.81	107	81
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	81
David Landeta R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	20	SU	5.04	14.5%	15.3%	2.2%	.353	3.86	16.8%	-0.4%	64	-1.18	3.64	111	80
Nicolas Cruz R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	20	SW	4.84	19.2%	16.1%	2.4%	.437	3.32	20.4%	11.4%	117	-1.52	3.01	194	80
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	79
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	79
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	79
Ronny Lopez R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	20	SW	5.33	15.1%	20.6%	1.6%	.232	5.01	13.7%	-5.7%	85	-0.32	4.23	121	79
Jose Pena Jr. R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	20	SU	6.67	13.6%	25.8%	2.6%	.292	3.81	22.3%	9.1%	116	-2.86	3.48	176	79
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	79
Juan Burgos R 2019 · 4.75 FIP	19	SW	4.75	15.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.292	4.38	17.7%	0.8%	58	-0.37	3.50	284	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	19.5%	15.8%	1.09	5.46
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
John Parrish ('10)	1.4	46	17.6%	14.8%	0.88	4.51
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*