Angel Peralta — OGILVIE

Angel Peralta P FCL Astros

Age 19 RHP 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA6.07

FIP6.07

K%16.6%

BB%19.1%

K-BB%-2.5%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL3030

CMD3535

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	13	3	23	118	33	28	2	23%	1.8	19.0%	29.7%	-10.6%	2.6%	7.83	6.70	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	13	3	23	118	33	28	2	23%	1.8	19.0%	29.7%	-10.6%	2.6%	7.83	6.70	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	13	3	23	118	33	28	2	23%	1.8	28.0%	23.7%	4.2%	1.7%	7.83	5.01	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	12	8	46	185	44	21	1	67%	3.8	16.2%	14.2%	2.0%	0.5%	3.74	3.81	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	12	8	46	185	44	21	1	67%	3.8	16.2%	14.2%	2.0%	0.5%	3.74	3.81	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	12	8	46	185	44	21	1	67%	3.8	23.8%	11.4%	12.4%	0.5%	3.74	2.84	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	13	5	39	174	40	19	3	38%	3.0	15.6%	13.6%	2.0%	2.4%	4.66	4.83	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	13	5	39	174	40	19	3	38%	3.0	15.6%	13.6%	2.0%	2.4%	4.66	4.83	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	HOU	13	5	39	174	40	19	3	38%	3.0	23.0%	10.9%	12.1%	1.7%	4.66	3.49	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	HOU	41	0	43	182	32	30	5	0%	1.1	17.8%	16.6%	1.2%	2.8%	5.73	5.62	-0.5
2027	20	MLB CTX	HOU	20	0	21	89	16	15	3	0%	1.1	17.8%	16.6%	1.2%	2.8%	5.73	5.62	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		20	0	21	90	16	15	3	0%	1.1	17.8%	16.6%	1.2%	2.8%	5.73	5.24	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	151	141	28	0%	1.1	17.8%	16.6%	1.2%	2.8%	5.73	5.24	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		38	16	107	477	80	85	8	42%	2.8	16.7%	17.8%	-1.1%	1.7%	4.95	4.90	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	30	200	889	148	158	15	42%	2.8	16.7%	17.8%	-1.1%	1.7%	4.95	4.90	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angel Peralta (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.07	16.6%	19.1%	2.9%	—	5.62	17.8%	1.2%	43	-0.45	—	—	—
Yeriel Santos R 2023 · 5.89 FIP	19	SW	5.89	17.4%	22.9%	2.5%	.239	5.80	16.0%	-0.9%	276	-0.09	4.44	351	88
Sandy Ozuna R 2023 · 5.42 FIP	17	SW	5.42	15.1%	17.4%	2.5%	.303	4.77	18.3%	7.9%	71	-0.65	3.03	103	87
Dariel Francia R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	17	SW	5.09	19.8%	17.4%	2.7%	.322	5.13	19.9%	-0.4%	98	+0.04	3.84	134	86
Joseph Hernandez R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	18	SW	5.37	15.6%	15.0%	3.1%	.296	4.39	24.7%	8.0%	31	-0.98	4.39	260	86
Sven Schüller R 2015 · 5.92 FIP	19	SW	5.92	13.2%	23.4%	1.8%	.320	4.44	11.5%	0.8%	160	-1.48	3.88	247	85
Jose Alberto Rivera R 2017 · 5.65 FIP	20	SW	5.65	16.1%	19.2%	2.7%	.185	3.68	20.3%	9.9%	115	-1.97	3.39	163	85
Leomar Rosario R 2022 · 5.75 FIP	19	SW	5.75	15.4%	26.4%	1.1%	.282	5.24	19.6%	-2.4%	58	-0.51	4.95	134	84
Luis Reyes R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	17	SP-	6.24	18.4%	20.7%	3.8%	.333	4.28	17.1%	5.1%	129	-1.96	4.02	167	84
Leudy Martinez R 2019 · 5.99 FIP	19	SW	5.99	15.2%	22.0%	2.5%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	116	84
Yosber Sanchez R 2019 · 5.58 FIP	18	SP-	5.58	14.6%	14.9%	3.3%	.315	4.61	20.2%	-5.2%	13	-0.97	3.21	199	83
Edinzo Marquez R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	17	SW	4.97	20.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.250	3.90	13.2%	0.4%	119	-1.07	3.26	188	83
Samuel Vásquez R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	19	SW	5.15	13.3%	17.2%	1.8%	.220	6.13	12.7%	-8.3%	49	+0.98	4.01	273	83
Vitico Valdez R 2023 · 5.68 FIP	19	SW	5.68	11.3%	19.8%	1.9%	.260	4.04	14.7%	-2.5%	43	-1.64	4.04	132	83
Yorman Galindez R 2022 · 4.93 FIP	19	SW	4.93	19.1%	18.3%	2.1%	.374	3.77	22.9%	6.2%	96	-1.16	3.63	201	82
Mason Denaburg R 2019 · 4.98 FIP	19	SP-	4.98	12.8%	17.3%	1.4%	.328	4.95	16.3%	-0.1%	39	-0.03	4.48	151	82
Moises Nolasco R 2016 · 5.49 FIP	19	SW	5.49	12.4%	18.2%	2.0%	.356	3.81	15.5%	4.3%	124	-1.68	3.13	154	82
Juan Soto R 2022 · 5.88 FIP	19	SW	5.88	16.4%	21.4%	2.7%	.274	6.68	8.9%	-15.1%	26	+0.80	5.06	102	82
Miguel Ramirez R 2016 · 5.20 FIP	19	SP-	5.20	12.7%	18.9%	1.4%	.279	3.02	13.8%	8.7%	84	-2.18	2.40	126	82
Maiker Manuel R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	19	SP-	5.12	12.3%	15.2%	2.1%	.329	4.59	15.2%	6.7%	101	-0.53	4.56	148	82
Janser Lara R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	19	SP-	5.61	20.1%	17.3%	3.7%	.354	5.04	17.9%	4.8%	118	-0.57	2.84	220	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	17.4%	17.4%	1.10	5.85
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77