Samuel Vásquez
P
Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 233 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION3 act + 37 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126116vR 107
ERA4.71
FIP4.71
K%19.9%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%8.1%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Indians/Brewers | 12 | 12 | 41 | 196 | 34 | 21 | 1 | 100% | 3.4 | 11.8% | 13.4% | -1.6% | 0.7% | 5.88 | 4.19 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Indians/Brewers | 12 | 12 | 41 | 196 | 34 | 21 | 1 | 100% | 3.4 | 17.3% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 0.5% | 5.88 | 3.29 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Indians Red | 11 | 5 | 36 | 153 | 30 | 21 | 2 | 45% | 3.3 | 13.3% | 17.2% | -3.8% | 1.8% | 4.21 | 5.15 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Indians Red | 11 | 5 | 36 | 153 | 30 | 21 | 2 | 45% | 3.3 | 19.6% | 13.7% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 4.21 | 3.90 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Indians | 12 | 7 | 27 | 133 | 22 | 23 | 3 | 58% | 2.2 | 11.2% | 21.6% | -10.4% | 1.6% | 8.33 | 5.77 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Indians | 12 | 7 | 27 | 133 | 22 | 23 | 3 | 58% | 2.2 | 16.5% | 17.3% | -0.8% | 2.3% | 8.33 | 5.47 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 19 | 0 | 22 | 117 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.5% | 20.2% | -5.6% | 3.2% | 9.55 | 6.20 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 19 | 0 | 22 | 117 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 17.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 9.55 | 5.55 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 35 | 0 | 42 | 188 | 47 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.5% | 15.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 4.50 | 4.26 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 35 | 0 | 42 | 188 | 47 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 1.1% | 4.50 | 3.27 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 53 | 245 | 53 | 41 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.4% | 20.8% | -6.4% | 1.6% | 4.05 | 5.37 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 53 | 245 | 53 | 41 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.6% | 16.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 4.05 | 4.39 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 57 | 244 | 49 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.8% | 13.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 3.16 | 4.04 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 57 | 244 | 49 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.1% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 0.8% | 3.16 | 3.36 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | — | — | — | — | 9.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIA | 35 | 0 | 37 | 155 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 4.71 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 4.71 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 40 | 171 | 33 | 23 | 4 | — | — | 19.2% | 13.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 5.03 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.9% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 4.71 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 34 | 0 | 36 | 153 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.69 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.69 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.69 | 4.33 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 167 | 98 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.69 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 181 | 24 | 282 | 1292 | 186 | 223 | 19 | 13% | 1.6 | 14.4% | 17.2% | -2.8% | 1.5% | 5.11 | 4.88 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 129 | 17 | 200 | 917 | 132 | 158 | 14 | 13% | 1.6 | 14.4% | 17.2% | -2.8% | 1.5% | 5.11 | 4.88 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Samuel Vásquez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.71 | 19.9% | 11.8% | 2.6% | — | 4.71 | 20.2% | 8.6% | 36 | +0.00 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 90 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 86 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 85 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 85 |
| Armando Rivero R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 85 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.87 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.03 | 1.61 | 124 | 85 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 85 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .289 | 4.20 | 24.7% | 12.1% | 62 | +0.52 | 3.68 | 181 | 84 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 84 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 84 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 84 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 84 |
| Confesor Lara R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 16.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 111 | 84 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .306 | 3.61 | 20.1% | 13.5% | 54 | -0.24 | 2.88 | 157 | 84 |
| Derek Eitel R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 83 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.47 | 3.92 | 256 | 83 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 83 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.01 | 17.2% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .266 | 3.89 | 22.4% | 10.5% | 62 | -0.12 | 3.24 | 159 | 83 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.28 | 18.3% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .304 | 3.13 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 51 | -1.15 | 3.02 | 214 | 83 |
| Justin Courtney R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.26 | 16.8% | 12.8% | 3.6% | .331 | 9.13 | 18.4% | 7.1% | 21 | +3.87 | 4.53 | 108 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 36 | 20.1% | 11.7% | 1.01 | 4.70 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |