Sandy Ozuna — OGILVIE

Sandy Ozuna P Fresno Grizzlies

Age 20 RHP 6'3" / 177 lbs A peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 103

ERA4.55

FIP4.55

K%22.1%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%11.7%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	14	5	32	144	32	20	3	36%	2.3	15.1%	17.4%	-2.2%	2.5%	4.73	5.42	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	14	5	32	144	32	20	3	36%	2.3	15.1%	17.4%	-2.2%	2.5%	4.73	5.42	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	14	5	32	144	32	20	3	36%	2.3	22.2%	13.9%	8.3%	2.1%	4.73	4.18	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	10	5	37	153	45	11	1	50%	3.7	20.0%	9.0%	11.0%	0.9%	4.14	3.03	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	10	5	37	153	45	11	1	50%	3.7	20.0%	9.0%	11.0%	0.9%	4.14	3.03	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	10	5	37	153	45	11	1	50%	3.7	29.4%	7.2%	22.2%	0.7%	4.14	1.91	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	2	1	6	25	6	1	0	50%	3.0	24.0%	4.0%	20.0%	0.0%	1.50	1.58	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	2	1	6	25	6	1	0	50%	3.0	24.0%	4.0%	20.0%	0.0%	1.50	1.58	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	2	1	6	25	6	1	0	50%	3.0	24.0%	4.0%	20.0%	0.0%	1.50	1.60	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	13	13	34	149	35	15	7	100%	2.6	16.5%	12.1%	4.5%	6.3%	5.61	6.69	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	13	13	34	149	35	15	7	100%	2.6	16.5%	12.1%	4.5%	6.3%	5.61	6.69	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	COL	7	7	14	59	21	4	3	100%	2.0	35.6%	6.8%	28.8%	5.1%	4.50	3.74	—
2026	20	A RAW	COL	6	6	20	90	14	11	4	100%	3.3	15.6%	12.2%	3.3%	4.4%	6.41	5.77	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	COL	6	6	35	148	33	14	4	100%	5.8	22.6%	9.8%	12.8%	2.9%	4.45	4.40	+0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	COL	3	3	17	72	16	7	2	100%	5.7	22.6%	9.8%	12.8%	2.9%	4.45	4.40	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	17	73	16	7	2	100%	4.3	22.6%	9.8%	12.8%	2.9%	4.45	4.02	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	186	81	23	100%	4.8	22.6%	9.8%	12.8%	2.9%	4.45	4.02	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		39	24	109	471	83	58	14	62%	2.8	17.6%	12.3%	5.4%	3.1%	4.62	4.84	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	44	200	864	152	106	26	62%	2.8	17.6%	12.3%	5.4%	3.1%	4.62	4.84	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sandy Ozuna (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	22.1%	10.4%	3.0%	—	4.40	22.6%	12.8%	35	-0.15	—	—	—
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	83
Rayner Urbaez R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	20	SP	3.88	23.6%	11.4%	2.4%	.337	3.35	15.0%	3.0%	27	-0.53	2.55	103	83
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	83
Miguel Díaz R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	20	SP-	3.40	19.3%	7.7%	1.7%	.365	4.40	19.4%	8.2%	233	+1.00	2.18	573	81
Caleb Sampen R 2018 · 3.46 FIP	22	SP	3.46	21.7%	8.3%	2.1%	.358	3.49	15.2%	6.8%	139	+0.03	3.09	213	81
Clarke Schmidt R 2018 · 3.53 FIP	22	SP	3.53	23.1%	8.5%	2.4%	.324	3.26	21.3%	13.1%	108	-0.27	2.77	537	80
Joelvis Del Rosario R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	20	SP-	3.76	22.5%	8.0%	2.8%	.315	4.97	14.6%	6.0%	197	+1.21	3.13	286	79
Fraynel Nova R 2022 · 3.83 FIP	20	SP-	3.83	16.4%	7.9%	2.0%	.296	4.17	14.9%	4.9%	110	+0.34	3.38	129	79
Ulices Campos R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	20	SP-	4.58	17.9%	11.5%	2.8%	.253	5.32	12.0%	1.0%	65	+0.74	4.11	153	79
Ryan Fernandez R 2018 · 4.44 FIP	20	SP-	4.44	19.2%	6.8%	3.8%	.357	3.37	20.8%	13.2%	53	-1.07	3.02	360	78
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	78
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	78
Pedro Reyes R 2023 · 4.17 FIP	20	SP-	4.17	18.0%	9.2%	2.6%	.159	4.92	11.0%	0.5%	90	+0.75	2.87	180	77
Porter Hodge R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	20	SP-	4.20	19.3%	8.8%	2.9%	.336	3.40	24.2%	10.6%	249	-0.80	2.97	349	77
Carson Fulmer R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	21	SP	4.15	21.4%	11.5%	2.5%	.259	4.96	17.1%	4.0%	364	+0.81	3.88	899	77
Connor Cooke R 2022 · 3.35 FIP	22	SP-	3.35	23.7%	8.4%	2.2%	.350	4.13	24.0%	11.4%	56	+0.78	2.93	103	77
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	77
Donal Montas R 2022 · 5.29 FIP	20	SP-	5.29	17.3%	9.1%	4.5%	.217	5.03	10.2%	-3.8%	91	-0.26	4.10	156	77
Nicholas Economos R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	20	SP-	4.95	15.3%	10.7%	3.3%	.233	5.28	10.4%	0.6%	57	+0.33	4.40	223	77
Juan Bello R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	18	SP	4.02	18.3%	6.9%	2.9%	.256	3.93	18.2%	7.6%	155	-0.09	3.77	187	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	22.4%	10.0%	1.13	4.49
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63