Joelvis Del Rosario P ACL Athletics
Age 25 RHP 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.9 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 72 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.46
FIP4.46
K%22.1%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP73
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP
K: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -1.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +5.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: +0.31 (72 IP)+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.30.3+$5M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201817ROKDSL Pirates 17011454600%1.68.9%13.3%-4.4%0.0%1.644.04
201817ROKDSL Pirates 17011454600%1.68.9%13.3%-4.4%0.0%1.644.01
201918ROKDSL Pirates 11211502214316092%4.213.2%9.0%4.2%0.0%3.403.13
201918ROKDSL Pirates 11211502214316092%4.219.5%7.2%12.2%0.0%3.402.35
202120ROKFCL Pirates Gold127391575210358%3.222.5%8.0%14.6%3.0%3.263.85
202120ROKFCL Pirates Gold127391575210358%3.233.1%6.4%26.8%1.9%3.262.19
202221ABradenton Marauders20199339076251295%4.714.4%7.6%6.9%3.3%3.684.64
202221ABradenton Marauders20199339076251295%4.719.5%6.4%13.1%3.1%3.683.95
202322MIX2 levels241810445185371575%4.314.7%9.4%5.3%3.5%5.374.97
202322MIX2 levels241810445185371575%4.318.8%8.2%10.6%3.3%5.374.41
202423ROKACL Athletics22414500100%2.035.7%0.0%35.7%0.0%0.000.08
202423ROKACL Athletics22414500100%2.035.7%0.0%35.7%0.0%0.000.60
▸ 2026 Season
202625MLBOAK12127330768289100%6.122.1%9.2%12.9%3.1%4.464.46+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBOAK12127330769289100%6.122.4%9.1%13.3%3.1%4.434.42+0.3
202827MLBOAK12127230368289100%6.022.5%9.2%13.3%3.1%4.444.45+0.3
202726MLBOAK553113129124100%6.222.4%9.1%13.3%3.0%4.394.38+0.1
202827MLBOAK884519043176100%5.622.5%9.2%13.3%3.0%4.404.41+0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career131376321722910100%5.922.5%9.2%13.3%3.0%4.404.02+0.8
/ 200 IP33332008441897626100%6.022.5%9.2%13.3%3.0%4.404.02+3.2
Career775730112781961103374%3.915.3%8.6%6.7%2.6%4.044.33+3.8
/ 200 IP5138200849130732274%3.915.3%8.6%6.7%2.6%4.044.33+2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Joelvis Del Rosario (OGILVIE) 4.46 22.1%9.2%3.1% 4.43 22.5%13.3%144 -0.03
Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 25 SP- 3.77 20.3%8.7%2.4%.309 3.63 21.4%13.2%123 -0.14 1.87 232 83
Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 3.81 FIP 25 SP- 3.81 19.2%5.7%2.9%.311 6.73 17.6%-0.7%51 +2.92 3.81 106 81
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 81
Angel Araiza R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 25 SP- 4.55 16.7%6.5%3.7%.287 3.95 15.0%7.6%193 -0.60 3.53 289 81
Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP 25 SP- 5.50 21.0%12.2%4.8%.320 4.16 23.1%13.2%138 -1.34 3.45 292 79
Brett Sears R 2026 · 3.79 FIP 25 SP 3.79 21.1%7.1%2.9%.244 3.56 23.9%18.1%56 -0.23 3.56 167 79
Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP 25 SP- 4.98 17.6%11.2%3.6%.282 9.58 19.7%7.1%18 +4.60 4.98 105 78
Buck Farmer R 2026 · 4.47 FIP 25 SP- 4.47 19.5%8.7%3.5%.309 3.81 20.9%12.5%309 -0.66 3.05 907 78
Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 25 SP- 3.37 20.3%8.8%1.6%.278 5.10 15.8%6.7%73 +1.73 3.37 119 78
Brett Daniels R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 25 SP- 4.55 22.3%13.0%3.1%.357 4.75 18.9%2.6%77 +0.20 3.98 270 77
Hector Noesí R 2029 · 4.21 FIP 28 SP- 4.21 17.6%8.1%2.9%.261 4.21 250 77
Andy Ferguson R 2027 · 3.57 FIP 26 SP- 3.57 22.3%5.7%3.0%.262 3.13 18.6%10.6%33 -0.44 3.13 137 77
Garrett Stallings R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 25 SP- 4.24 20.7%8.6%3.3%.327 4.15 17.0%8.9%243 -0.09 3.20 595 76
Jason Forjet R 2026 · 3.33 FIP 25 SP- 3.33 17.0%5.3%1.8%.290 4.39 15.9%10.4%102 +1.06 3.33 197 76
Matt Ager R 2024 · 5.00 FIP 23 SP- 5.00 17.1%8.6%4.1%.303 5.00 146 76
Alejandro Martinez R 2027 · 4.24 FIP 26 SP- 4.24 17.5%10.9%2.3%.393 4.44 9.2%3.9%53 +0.20 4.24 166 76
Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 25 SP 4.39 23.0%10.5%3.5%.335 4.65 21.4%11.7%382 +0.26 3.67 509 76
Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SP- 4.28 16.0%10.5%2.2%.338 3.79 13.6%3.1%72 -0.49 3.79 143 76
Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 25.7%12.4%4.2%.296 3.43 18.7%10.3%40 -1.37 2.78 181 76
Jake Bockenstedt R 2026 · 4.62 FIP 25 SP- 4.62 16.9%11.4%2.7%.303 4.01 16.6%4.2%20 -0.61 4.01 214 76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION37222.3%9.2%1.194.44
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78