Vitico Valdez — OGILVIE

Vitico Valdez P ACL D-backs

Age 22 RHP 6'4" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.31

FIP5.31

K%20.3%

BB%15.4%

K-BB%4.9%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	9	6	22	98	18	19	0	67%	2.4	12.5%	24.2%	-11.7%	0.0%	4.15	5.12	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 1	9	6	22	98	18	19	0	67%	2.4	18.4%	19.4%	-1.0%	0.0%	4.15	4.07	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	10	5	36	154	26	20	1	50%	3.6	11.5%	16.2%	-4.8%	1.0%	2.48	4.74	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs Black	10	5	36	154	26	20	1	50%	3.6	16.9%	13.0%	3.9%	0.6%	2.48	3.68	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	11	5	31	145	24	23	2	45%	2.8	11.3%	19.8%	-8.6%	1.9%	5.17	5.68	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	11	5	31	145	24	23	2	45%	2.8	11.3%	19.8%	-8.6%	1.9%	5.17	5.68	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Black	11	5	31	145	24	23	2	45%	2.8	16.6%	15.9%	0.7%	1.4%	5.17	4.60	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	12	7	43	203	44	28	0	58%	3.6	14.7%	17.2%	-2.5%	0.0%	4.81	4.04	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	12	7	43	203	44	28	0	58%	3.6	14.7%	17.2%	-2.5%	0.0%	4.81	4.04	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	12	7	43	203	44	28	0	58%	3.6	21.7%	13.8%	7.9%	0.0%	4.81	3.01	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	4	0	8	37	9	5	0	0%	2.1	—	—	—	—	6.48	—	—
YTD	22	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	4	0	8	37	9	5	0	0%	2.1	—	—	—	—	6.48	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	ARI	4	0	8	37	9	5	0	0%	2.1	24.3%	13.5%	10.8%	0.0%	6.48	2.76	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ARI	38	0	40	170	36	23	5	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.3%	8.1%	2.9%	5.05	4.94	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	ARI	19	0	20	84	18	11	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.3%	8.1%	2.9%	5.05	4.94	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		19	0	20	83	18	11	2	0%	1.0	21.4%	13.3%	8.1%	2.9%	5.05	4.56	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	111	20	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.3%	8.1%	2.9%	5.05	4.56	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		46	23	141	637	85	118	4	50%	3.1	13.4%	18.4%	-5.1%	0.7%	4.29	4.67	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	33	200	906	121	167	6	50%	3.1	13.4%	18.4%	-5.1%	0.7%	4.29	4.67	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Vitico Valdez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.31	20.3%	15.4%	2.9%	—	4.94	21.4%	8.1%	40	-0.37	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	88
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	85
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	83
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	83
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	82
Josh Gessner R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	22	SW	5.47	17.0%	15.0%	3.5%	.299	5.35	12.0%	-10.1%	34	-0.12	2.98	126	81
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	81
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.74	17.4%	0.9%	149	+0.06	4.54	202	81
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	80
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	80
Alix Hernandez R 2023 · 4.80 FIP	19	SW	4.80	21.7%	15.6%	2.8%	.254	4.91	22.5%	10.2%	119	+0.11	3.55	170	80
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	80
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	79
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	79
Luis De La Cruz R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	20	SW	4.31	17.5%	16.9%	1.0%	.281	5.19	18.3%	-2.9%	124	+0.88	3.55	158	79
Jeisson Cabrera R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	20	SP-	4.42	21.3%	15.5%	2.1%	.227	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	244	79
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	79
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	79
Ryan Cardona R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	22	SW	5.07	20.9%	17.7%	2.7%	.274	4.27	18.5%	4.3%	292	-0.80	3.62	367	78
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	21.0%	14.1%	1.12	5.15
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99