Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs 1 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 98 | 18 | 19 | 0 | 67% | 2.4 | 12.5% | 24.2% | -11.7% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 5.12 | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs 1 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 98 | 18 | 19 | 0 | 67% | 2.4 | 18.4% | 19.4% | -1.0% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 4.07 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL D-backs Black | 10 | 5 | 36 | 154 | 26 | 20 | 1 | 50% | 3.6 | 11.5% | 16.2% | -4.8% | 1.1% | 2.48 | 4.82 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL D-backs Black | 10 | 5 | 36 | 154 | 26 | 20 | 1 | 50% | 3.6 | 16.9% | 13.0% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 2.48 | 3.68 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs Black | 11 | 5 | 31 | 145 | 24 | 23 | 2 | 45% | 2.8 | 11.3% | 19.8% | -8.6% | 1.8% | 5.17 | 5.65 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs Black | 11 | 5 | 31 | 145 | 24 | 23 | 2 | 45% | 2.8 | 16.6% | 15.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 5.17 | 4.60 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 12 | 7 | 43 | 203 | 44 | 28 | 0 | 58% | 3.6 | 14.7% | 17.2% | -2.5% | 0.0% | 4.81 | 4.04 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 12 | 7 | 43 | 203 | 44 | 28 | 0 | 58% | 3.6 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 7.9% | 0.0% | 4.81 | 3.01 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 2.2 | — | — | — | — | 6.23 | — | — |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ARI | 23 | 0 | 24 | 100 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.7% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.42 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 28 | 121 | 28 | 14 | 3 | — | — | 22.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 2.4% | 4.70 | 3.74 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ARI | 24 | 0 | 25 | 104 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ARI | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.25 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 3.87 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 82 | 16 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 44 | 23 | 137 | 621 | 81 | 116 | 4 | 52% | 3.1 | 13.1% | 18.8% | -5.7% | 0.7% | 4.21 | 4.76 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 34 | 200 | 909 | 119 | 170 | 6 | 52% | 3.1 | 13.1% | 18.8% | -5.7% | 0.7% | 4.21 | 4.76 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Vitico Valdez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 22.7% | 9.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.25 | 23.5% | 14.2% | 25 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 85 |
| Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 85 |
| Casey Legumina R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 85 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 85 |
| Colin Fields R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 83 |
| Ray Gaither R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 80 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 80 |
| Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 79 |
| Mason McGwire R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.50 | 23.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 128 | 79 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 78 |
| Cole Stapler R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 78 |
| John Matthews R 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 78 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2029 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 78 |
| Brett Gillis R 2029 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 78 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.14 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .310 | 4.49 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 90 | +0.35 | 4.09 | 196 | 78 |
| Yusniel Padron-Artiles R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.33 | 17.6% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .343 | 6.52 | 19.2% | 11.3% | 197 | +2.19 | 3.27 | 243 | 77 |
| Geno Encina R 2025 · 4.22 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.22 | 16.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .325 | 7.60 | 12.0% | 2.3% | 76 | +3.38 | 4.22 | 200 | 77 |
| Juan Mendez R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 77 |
| Franco Aleman R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 77 |
| Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 77 |